StageInvesting +Elliot Waves

Lincoln Pharma
CMP 324

If you wnat our frank view , we don’t like this company due to certain fundmental reasons and won’t keep it in our porfolio as an investor.

From technical and trading prespective , here is our view.

The stock has given a break out on falling trendline and now it is retesting.

In short-term ,it can go to 315-310 levels where it might find good support.A break below these levels can take it much below 300.

On upside, if it starts closing above 335 and stays there for few weeks , it can go to next resitance levels of 365 and 385.

As it might take few months to reach these levels, we would reveiw it again after few months only after it is able to cross 385.
Weekly Chart


Disclaimer :This post is just for learning few methods of price-patterns. Views are personal. No buy/sell recommendations. These are probability study methods and chances of success/failure depend upon various factors

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Hi Stageinvesting, your views on Ion Exchange and CCL products?

Lumax Industry
CMP 1890

Is this stage 2 ? The new wave !

Well it looks like,but currently we’re at a critical juncture at 61.8 5 levels of whole retracement. Many a times stocks start their reverese journeys at this juncture.

Fingers crossed.

But if the stage 2 continues, then we might see new ATH , although there are 2-3 key resistances as marked by red lines.
Weekly Chart
Keep in consideration that scenarios of weekly charts play out in 6-9 months.


Disclaimer :This post is just for learning few methods of price-patterns. Views are personal. No buy/sell recommendations. These are probability study methods and chances of success/failure depend upon various factors

TVS Srichakra
CMP 3197

It has moved up 20% from the levels posted 24 days back .

Hopefully it maintains the projected journey.


Disclaimer :This post is just for learning few methods of price-patterns. Views are personal. No buy/sell recommendations. These are probability study methods and chances of success/failure depend upon various factors

1 Like

Redington -Follow-up
CMP 178

Journey continues on the projected path.

Long way to go.

Next review level is 200.

Let’s go step by step.
Weekly Chart
Keep in consideration that full -scenarios of weekly charts play out in 6-9 months.


Disclaimer :This post is just for learning few methods of price-patterns. Views are personal. No buy/sell recommendations. These are probability study methods and chances of success/failure depend upon various factors

3 Likes

Hi @StageInvesting Thanks for sharing your analysis and knowledge on framework. Could you please share how VaTech Wabag and Technoe Electric looks. Thanks in advance,

How Traditional TAs at looking at various markets and various asset classes on Nov End.

PC—Technical-30thNOV-20221130172742.pdf (1.6 MB)

Va Tech Wabag
CMP 345

Chart looks fine and currently at an important jucture.

In very short term, it might give some minor correction as daily MACD and RSI are overheated.
In medium term, it has resitance near 400-410 . If it crosses the same then we can see 700 levels in coming months/year.
Monthly Chart


Disclaimer :This post is just for learning few methods of price-patterns. Views are personal. No buy/sell recommendations. These are probability study methods and chances of success/failure depend upon various factors

3 Likes

Technoe Electric
CMP 315

Currently near an important resstance zone. Can correct or consoidate a bit after inching little higher.

Once it starts giving closes above the red line, we can see new highs in coming months.It is in buy zone in all time frames - daily/weekly/monthly and that adds to the confidence for medium term.
Unable to mark clear Elliot waves , hence little sceptical too.
Weekly Chart


Disclaimer :This post is just for learning few methods of price-patterns. Views are personal. No buy/sell recommendations. These are probability study methods and chances of success/failure depend upon various factors

3 Likes

Sail
CMP 85

Would kindly request you to study and learn about stage analysis . It has been mentioned in many earlier posots. That would help you to do basic analysis at your end.

As per the stage-anlysis method, we are not getting much confidence on this script.

Till the time it does not closes above 40 Weeks Moving Average (green curve) for 2-3 weeks, we would stay away from this stock .
Weekly Chart


Disclaimer :This post is just for learning few methods of price-patterns. Views are personal. No buy/sell recommendations. These are probability study methods and chances of success/failure depend upon various factors

4 Likes

Follow-Up
CMP 3190

Well, as of now it is going as per projections .

Latest news of China easing some rules of Covid restrictions is helping it.

Well we have 40 WMA resistance nearby and also we’re nearing to falling trend-line. It may go there and consolidate/correct a bit.

For further significant move it needs to corss these 2 resistance zones with volumes in coming weeks and months.
Weekly Chart

1 Like

Hi @StageInvesting can you have a look at Manappuram chart?

Hello @StageInvesting any view on Vimta Labs?

Hi @StageInvesting
I am been following the thread and trying to understand
Do you have new elliot wave count for nifty ?
Is the correction over as per your analysis?

Hi @StageInvesting , please can you guide on the chart of stride

Sorry to say that we’re very much worried about current status of the markets .
Sentiments are extremely bullish whereas global macro data is not supportive of this rally.

Hence not replying to any stocks-queries.

Would like to say that is is time to be extrmely catious.

5 Likes

PayPal
Market is very kind. It rewards the patient investors.

Playing out as per expectaions- moved up without consolidating in a range.

Supplies have to be absorbed during consolidation- any sudden move after such a decline won’t take a stock very far.

3 Likes

A perfect shorting candidate: Laurus lab. In stage 4 decline. look at the red volume towers in daily chart.


Disclosure: Not shorted neither Invested. chart is for knowledge purpose.

4 Likes

Tesla - CMP 158

Going as per projections, nothing new to add.

Monthly MACD yet to complete its full cycle and that gives more confidence wrt aearlier projection.
Monthly Chart

Kospi -Korea

What happens when a whole- country goes into euphoria .

Korea - the market went up 2.5 times ( similar to us ) after COVId fall .

Whole country went into trading while sitting at home .

Even 12-13 years old kids were trading . Private schools started courses for trading for the kids of grade 5 and above . Marriages were being fixed by showing P & L statements though person did not have any real time job .

Data suggests that about 30% Koreans between the age of 20-35 left their stable jobs to take full-time trading .

Strange fact is that during this period, FIIs sold Korean stocks worth US $ 30 Billion but all selling was absorbed by domestic people .
Last year ,retail investors made up 67% of average daily trading volume on South Korea’s stock-market.

Small investors known as “ants” have borrowed so much money to dabble in stocks that at least half a dozen brokerages have stopped offering them leverage.

Several TV series related to stock market investors have become very popular and are topping the ranks of TRPs.

The upcoming drama “Stock Struck,” aims to reflect the pain and growth of a wider group of investors, according to an official synopsis provided by its producer Studio Dragon.

The plot will focus on how five different investors’ lives are changed by mapping out their own unique ways of investment. A soon-to-be-bride, an English teacher and a convenience store part-timer are among the ordinary people or society underdogs who join forces to understand the market and see growth in both in their investments and personal lives.

Smaller projects have also garnered the interest of local audiences, such as “Stock of High School,” a single-episode drama which aired on July 22 on domestic television network tvN. The main protagonist is a female high school student from a low-income family who starts working as a broker for her wealthy classmates.

Where is Korea now !

Market has corrected 30% from the top ,has gone below pre-covid levels and is still falling .
Mental depression cases have gone 6 fold and annual suicide has gone by 26 per 100000 ( highest in the world )

Lesson : Domestic investors have a limit , they can’t fight global liquidity issues and every bubble ends badly .

27 Likes