SmallCap Hunter : Trying to find the dark horses with triggers

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04/07/2024

PREFACE:
The company originally filed DRHP for a combo IPO of fresh equity issue worth Rs. 45 cr. and an offer for sale of 7800000 equity shares. According to the Lead Manager, SEBI returned this document saying that company has good earnings and is not in need of cash, hence opt for OFS route only. Based on this suggestion by the regulator, LM refiled the fresh DEHP in January 2024 with requisite size of offer and finally got approval for an OFS of Rs. 130.15 cr.as per final RHP. It is a debt free company as of now and is capable of meeting any fund needs from its internal accruals. Thus at the behest of regulator, the IPO was a fully secondary offer.
The IPO price was Rs 136 and it was listed on 10th June at NSE & BSE

ABOUT COMPANY:
Kronox Lab Sciences Ltd. (KLSL) is a manufacturer of high-purity speciality fine chemicals. It manufactures products compliant with reagents, pharmacopeia, and various food grade standards used in the pharmaceutical, nutraceutical, veterinary, food, biotech, chemical analysis and research, metallurgy, personal care and other specialty markets.

The company’s product groups include acetates, carbonates, chlorides, citrates, hypophosphates, nitrates, nitrites, phosphates, sulphates, and other ultra-pure fine chemicals.

KLSL manufactures High Purity Speciality Fine Chemicals for diversified end user industries. Its High Purity Speciality Fine Chemicals are used mainly as:
(i) Reacting agents and raw material in the manufacturing of Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients (APIs);
(ii) Excipients in pharmaceutical formulations;
(iii) Reagents for scientific research and laboratory testing;
(iv) Ingredients in nutraceuticals formulations;
(v) Process intermediates and fermenting agents in biotech applications;
(vi) Ingredients in agrochemical formulations; (vii) ingredients in personal care products;
(viii) Refining agents in metal refineries; and (ix) ingredients in animal health products, amongst others.

Company’s products are manufactured in accordance with industry standards like IP, BP, EP, JP, USP, FCC, LR, AR, GR and ACS in addition to custom manufacturing specifications, which differ from the industry standards, required by its customers in 10 mesh to 100 mesh.

Its range of more than 185 products spanning across the family of phosphate, sulphate, acetate, chloride, citrate, nitrates, nitrites, carbonate, EDTA derivatives, hydroxide, succinate, gluconate, among others are supplied to customers in India and more than 20 countries globally.
In addition to the manufacturing of products in accordance with various domestic and international standards, KLSL also undertakes custom manufacturing to achieve high levels of purity, as specified by the client, having different purity levels than the prescribed industry standards. Custom manufacturing requires deep domain knowledge, expertise and understanding of the characteristics of each chemical and its compounds, including decreasing the level of existing impurities and the processes to be deployed to reach the desired level of purity.

Manufacturing Facilities The company has 3 manufacturing facilities spread over 17,454 sq. meters, having an aggregate installed capacity of 7,242 TPA, which are situated at Vadodara in Gujarat, and is close to the seaports of Mundra, Kandla, Hazira and Nhava Sheva.

Expansion Co. intends to establish a new manufacturing unit at GIDC Dahej – II Industrial Estate and the company has acquired land measuring 20,471 sq. meters for it. In the new plant it plans to produce High Purity Speciality Fine Chemicals like acetate, adipate, ascorbate derivatives, aspartate derivatives, benzoate, citrate derivatives, EDTA derivatives, gluconate derivatives, glycinate derivatives, lactate, malate derivatives, orotate derivatives, propionate, sorbate derivatives and succinate.

User Industries
Pharma - 41%
Scientific Research & Laboratory Testing - 29%
Nutraceuticals - 25.5%
Others - 4.5%

Geographical Revenue Bifurcation
India - 68.5%
Exports - 26.5%
SEZ Sales - 5%
Merchant Exports - 1%

Exports USA is the leading export market contributing 80% of their export revenue; they have presence in 20 countries including, Argentina, Mexico, Australia, Egypt, Spain, Turkey, United Kingdom, Belgium, United Arab Emirates, China, etc.

Repeat Customers During the Fiscal Years 2023, 2022, and 2021, the company served 351, 316, and 283 customers, respectively. In the last 3 years the company served over 592 customers, with 141 (23.82%) placing repeat orders.

R&D Capabilities The company has established an in-house research, development, and testing (RDT) laboratory to develop and test products. During Fiscal Years 2023, 2022, and 2021, the company manufactured and sold 157, 156, and 159 products, respectively.

Customer concentration
Top 10 Customers - 50.5%
Top 20 Customers - 65%

KLSL’s blue-chip customer list included name like Sanofi, Divi’s, Mankind Pharma, Lupin, Dr. Reddy’s, Sun Pharma, Zydus to name a few.

Key Things to Note :
(1) Company is a small niche player in the segment since last 14 years.
(2) It has plans to expand capacities 3.5x times its current capacity.
(3) CAPEX planned over FY25-FY26 is worth ~60 cr. v/s current gross block of 36cr.
(4) EBITDA margins over last 5 years are 21% + each year.
(5) Consistently good positive Operating Cash Flow Generation with last 8 years average EBITDA to OCF conversion at 53.13 %.
(6) Exports currently contribute 26 % to total revenue.
(7) Exports are majorly to USA which signifies credible quality of its products.

Strengths of Kronox Lab Sciences
Client retention: Manufacturing niche specialty chemicals for clients requires a lengthy R&D (research and development) and audit process. This creates significant exit costs for clients. As a result, it becomes costly for them to switch suppliers, ensuring they stick with the company. Kronox maintains a sales record of over five years with almost one-third of its client base despite having no long-term contracts.

Weaknesses of Kronox Lab Sciences
Heavy reliance on pharma and biotechnology industries: Over 70 per cent of Kronox’s revenue was linked to the pharma and scientific research segments as of nine months ending December 2023. A slowdown in these industries can significantly impact the company’s financial performance.
Revenue concentration: Kronox caters to over 500 clients. However, its top 10 clients contribute nearly 45 per cent of total revenue. A walkout or reduced demand from even one key client can adversely affect the company’s financials.



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Compiled Notes from here & there

17 Likes

Kronox is a great company. Though the chemical sector is not doing well, even in this downturn the company has maintained its profitability. Good long term bet in my view.
Disclosure- Invested

4 Likes

Why Cadsys India is hitting back to back lower circuits. Now available at 203 rs price. Any thoughts on this stock would be highly appreciated.

3 Likes

Techknowgreen Solutions is a new listed company in upcoming environmental consulting field. Have written a detailed blog at Techknowgreen Solutions - Microcap in need of the hour business

1 Like

Where did you find the company plans to expand capacities by 3.5 times?

Disc. Invested

Q1 FY25-First Concall

warrants issue to promoters and non promoters at Rs300 and current price is around 400

D2C (Retail) : HoReCa sales - 75:25

Risk- See, natural calamities when you are in a business which is dependent on agriculture, some of those risks are we are exposed to them. Something we have done recently and we will continue to do more of is that we have recently taken a new parcel of 150 acres of land under active farming which is approximately 200 kilometers away from our winery. Now, what that does is that it slightly derisks us from an agro-climate risk perspective, so those are the initiatives that one can deploy to reduce any risk, which is nature related.

Our revenue guidance for the year though still remains at north of 15%.

Guiding only 15% growth and no EBIDTA guidance bcz we are going to be doing a major capacity expansion as I mentioned earlier as well, which is going to give us a 25% increase in our overall installed capacity over the previous financial year.
Topline and EBIDTA will grow YoY for next 3 Years(Not giving specific guidance for OPM).

Hotel sector will grow so Fratelli will grow as they operate in Premium and super Premium segment.

We are a family driven business that is professionally managed.

While in Q1, the trading business of the listed entity contributed approximately Rs. 100 crore in revenue, this will reduce dramatically in Q2 and will completely shut down in Q3.

150cr m 100cr agro ke hata de to means 50cr sales from Wines in Q1.

In Q1 we delivered revenues of approximately Rs. 45 crore relative to Rs. 46 crore for the same quarter last financial year. This follows challenges in availing permits, owing to the disruption due to the general elections and of course that aspect has been resolved now in Q2. Q1 is also seasonally off quarter, and we are already seeing the other trends as well reverting to the norm.

we are now the second largest brand in the country and about 4 times the size of the number 3.

Export - only less than 3% of revenue and it will grow 20% this year(due to small base),but majorly focusing on domestic.

Capex will go live in By December 2024

No geographical Concentration- I would like to say is that we don’t have a high dependence on any one region. The South, the West and the North regions contribute handsomely of course to our overall topline. And they are all within the range of 25%-30% . And then of course, that is followed by the East region in number 4 . That is the rough split.

Our top markets, which we identify is our big 6-7 and they would be Maharashtra, Karnataka, Delhi, Telangana, West Bengal, and Goa,

we enjoy a strong presence in all segments with a major focus on Premium and Luxury segments. For FY21, we had 70% contribution from the premium and super premium segments, and this has risen to 73% in FY24 on an expanded operating base.

70% plus revenue has been coming from our Premium and Luxury segments now for the last couple of years

Rs. 600 above is what we classify as Premium in our portfolio.

we have come to command 30% market share in our industry today where time is a very powerful moat as mentioned previously as well. There are a few additional moats in the business that I will briefly like to touch upon today. We have imported now and adapted approximately 12 varietals from the best wine growing regions in the world and have successfully cloned them as well. The process of identifying and incorporating new varietals is still ongoing.

As we look to the next level of growth, the benefit we have is that we have over 400 acres of active farming and approximately 1,400 acres overall, which are under cultivation. This along with favorable agroclimatic around our vineyards works in our favor at the moment . These natural moats in business distinguish us and give us a strong lead in terms of operating excellence in business.

In this financial year, we have renovated our Master Selection range and launched it in Q1.

We have also launched Pinot Noir and this adds a much sought after varietal in our premium range. We are also working on a range of launches and renovations in the upcoming quarters, which are all poised to cater to various cohorts of consumers.
We have created exclusive brands, some of these including Svara for the Taj Group of hotels, Ghungroo for the ITC hotels and Amaris from Living Liquidz, which is a leading premium retailer, all of with whom we enjoy very strong relationships. Within select states, we have leading market shares in the HoReCa channel as well. This includes markets of Delhi, West Bengal, Karnataka, and Odisha.
At an overall level, we have derived significant contribution from the HoReCa channel, and this share will continue to grow as of course, new outlets keep opening year-on-year.
Furthermore, there is a major traction consumption across Tier-2 and Tier-3 towns for hospitality and modern retail or what we call MTO brands. As these brands cater to the next set of patrons, we will be ready with our distribution reach. Having an edge in the HoReCa and the MTO channel will allow us to seamlessly extend our strengths into newer markets as these new outlets get inaugurated in new towns and cities.

Wine tourism- Going forward, we are investing to open a 40 key multiuse property which will be spread over 170 acres at Akluj .This will strengthen our brand visibility, enhance B2C selling and add a supplementary profitability stream to our business. We are looking at introducing some new formats to explore in-city opportunities for vineyard tourism as well.
This strategy has five key pointers to it, firstly, being an integrated wine maker, our investments foremost are being channeled into development of vineyard acreages. We are continually introducing and adapting select imported varietals into the country.
in order to support the business of producing and selling a higher value, high quality portfolio of wines, we are continually investing in technology both at the manufacturing end and also across the sales functions.

Yes, ma’am, we are. We operate in Maharashtra. Maharashtra offers a wine promotion scheme and we are beneficiaries of it just like any other winery in Maharashtra
Top three brands in our portfolio would be the two Reds, which is firstly Reds as you probably would know, is the highest contributing segment in our wine business and in the wine industry as well. And therefore, we have two very strong brands in the Red Wine segment, one with Cabernet Sauvignon and the other being Cabernet Franc-Shiraz both contribute roughly 8%-8.5% to our overall business.
So, the whole thing about our portfolio is that we have a lot of hero brands which are contributing between 5%-7% of our topline and that consists of roughly 7 to 8 major brands.

Wine Tourism - We are expecting to build a 40 key property in Phase-1 at our location. We expect our ARRs to be around Rs. 20,000 - Rs. 25,000 per room night. In terms of occupancy rates, I think first maybe up to 3 years, it may be around 40% odd, but after 3 years it will pick up to about 60%-70% is our expectation.

In our CAPEX outlay for the next 2 years, all of it will get committed in this financial year, but some will get spend this year and some in the year after. But we expect to spend about Rs. 30 odd crore in capacity expansion and brand building. We are expecting to spend ~Rs. 5 odd crore in expanding area under cultivation. I mentioned already about Rs. 45 crore - Rs. 50 crore in building the hospitality business . These are some of the broad areas where we are committing our CAPEX.

Right now- more than 85% capacity utilisation
At this point of time, we have roughly Rs. 90 crore of debt in our balance sheet. About Rs. 15 crore is long term debt, and the balance is working capital. We may take an additional Rs. 10 crore - Rs. 15 crore of long-term debt going forward to complete all the CAPEX that we have planned over this year and the next year.

our Value contributes between 20%-25% looking at market specific trends. That has been the trend roughly for the last 3-4 years. Premium as a category, roughly all put together like I said is contributing almost 75%. Like I said, the Super Premium and Luxury is contributing about 15%, Premium is contributing anything between 55%-60%. And Cans, on the other hand contributes roughly 5%, that is our product mix

2 Likes

Which company’s concall have you sent above? @saurabhgupta

1 Like

Anyone tracking Yash Optics and Lenses?
Thanks

Any idea which companies make water meters?

There is a company named Filtra consultants…involved in the trading business of such water related products

3 Likes

Yash optics: IPO Rs.53.15Cr raised, Rs.18.25Cr capex for backward integration, Rs.11.85Cr for new machinery at existing unit, 10Cr for WC & 6Cr for loan repay, rest for general and issue expenses. It has good nationwide penetration in Indian market & 10% export income. ~RHP.

2 Likes
1 Like

Hi @kdjolly,
Where are you getting your information from for sakar?
I’m unable to find any company presentations or concall transcripts after Oct 2022.
Thanks in advance!

The Information is collected from various updates:

https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/SAKAR_06032024114328_ANNOUNCEMENT.pdf

https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/SAKAR_09052024130353_Sakar_Announcement.pdf

https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/SAKAR_08072024135242_Saka_Announcement.pdf

Genus power recently ventured into making water smart meter

3 Likes

India Gelatin, fundamentally the company looks good.

But there are few things to keep in mind.

Technically there is rounding top pattern forming typically highs have already been made.

Company is operating at Peak margin, Peak ROCE, means lesser scope of improving it further.


1 Like

How can with China dumping and Chemicals sector being downturn this company be in peak margins? How?

1 Like

I am not sure what business the company is in. I just shared view based on my preliminary observations.

Also please check quarterly margins not yearly🙏🏽
You had mentioned worried. Yearly margins give wrong picture ?

1 Like

I hardly feel competent to advise, but in my opinion this company is in business which is cyclical in nature. So you should check the valuations based on historical price to book and price to sales too.