The biggest concern is the two brothers not getting along. I dont know how the split will impact. additionally the market leader PAGE is also not doing great.
What makes you infer this?
Technically speaking, there is an RSI divergence on the charts.
Well, I donât know much about charts and technicals, but my thesis is (1) p/b bottoming out to all-time-lows, and at the same time (2) p/e instead being at a significant premium to the historical p/e, together indicate a bottoming-out of the price. To me: (2) above is indicative of âhopeâ of good things to come. Additionally, I rationalized all this in light of the narrative I shared earlier (all bad news baked in).
KRBL
I feel KRBL offers an opportunity for an asymmetric bet:
The stock price has taken a big hammering in the last few months. Some of it is of course because the business didnât do relatively well in the last couple of quarters; as per my understanding the reason for that is the export business to the gulf countries took a hit because of a multitude of reasons
(1) the relationship with the distributor in Saudi Arabia didnât work outâŚwhile they are looking for a new distributor but as of today their exports to the country are almost nil
(2) business in Iran has taken a hit because of the ongoing conflict in the region
(3) shipments are delayed/expensive because of Houthi situation
In my view all the issues above a transitionary and should sort themselves out in due course. Additionally, in the last concall the MD said that Europe exports are growing at a fast clip + they are working hard towards finding a new distributor in Saudi Arabia.
Disc: invested; this is not a buy/sell recommendation, please do your own due diligence