Rail Vikas Nigam - profitable PSU

Couldn’t find a thread about it so starting one here.

About Company

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL), a CPSE under Ministry of Railways, was created with the twin objectives of raising extra-budgetary resources and implementation of projects relating to creation & augmentation of capacity of rail infrastructure on fast track basis. The Company, incorporated on 24.01.2003, became fully functional with the appointment of all Directors of Board by March 2005. The Company has been granted Mini-Ratna status on 19.09.2013.

RVNL is implementing projects by awarding composite contracts on turnkey basis as per the international practices and standards. As on 31.03.2017, RVNL has completed 213.82 km of New Lines, 1590 km of Gauge Conversion, 2353.32 km of Doubling and 2837.07 km of Railway Electrification i.e. 6994.21 km of project length. In addition, five Workshop Projects and one cable stayed bridge have also been completed. These projects are being executed through 36 PIUs spread across the country.

Besides Doubling and Gauge Conversion, RVNL has also diversified to:

  • Railway Electrification
  • Railway Workshops
  • Metro Railways
  • Technically challenging new Hill Railway lines, etc.

The Company generally works on a turnkey basis and undertake the full cycle of project development from conceptualization to commissioning including stages of design, preparation of estimates, calling and award of contracts, project and contract management, etc.

The projects undertaken by the company are spread all over the country and for efficient implementation of projects, 37 project implementation units (PIUs) have been established at different locations to execute projects in their geographical hinterland. They are located at Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata (4 units), Chennai, Secunderabad (2 units), Bhubaneshwar (3 units), Bhopal (3 units), Jhansi, Kota, Jodhpur, Waltair (2 units), Bengaluru, Pune, Raipur (3 units), Lucknow (2 units), Rishikesh, Ahmedabad (2 units), Kanpur, Varanasi (2 units), Chandigarh, Mughalsarai, Ambala and Guwahati.

The company’s major client is the Indian Railways. Its other clients include various central and state government ministries, departments, and public sector undertakings. Rail Vikas Nigam Limited came out with an Initial Public Offering (IPO) of 253,457,280 equity shares of Face Value of Rs 10 each of the company through an offer for sale by the President of India, acting through the Ministry of Raliways, Govt. of India (the selling shareholder) for a cash price of Rs 19 per equity share aggregating to Rs 477.11 Crores. The face value of equity shares is Rs 10 each.

sources: https://in.linkedin.com/company/rvnl and Markets

Financials

Profit and loss

source: Rail Vikas Share Price, Rail Vikas Stock Price, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Stock Price, Share Price, Live BSE/NSE, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Bids Offers. Buy/Sell Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. news & tips, & F&O Quotes, NSE/BSE Forecast News and Live Quotes

Balance Sheet

source: Rail Vikas Share Price, Rail Vikas Stock Price, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Stock Price, Share Price, Live BSE/NSE, Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. Bids Offers. Buy/Sell Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd. news & tips, & F&O Quotes, NSE/BSE Forecast News and Live Quotes

RVNL has a good order book. It has guided for order inflow of ₹15000 cr in FY23E. It has bid for orders of ₹21000 cr. Of the of opened tenders of ₹6000 cr, it has won orders of ₹2000 cr.

It is also trying to diversify from railways. Rail Vikas Nigam announced that its consortium with P Singla Constructions has been awarded the Letter of Award (LoA) by National Highways Authority of India (NHAI) on 11 July 2022 for Construction of 4 laning of NH-S from Kaithlighat to Shakral Village in Himachal Pradesh. The estimated cost of project is Rs 1844.77 crore.

Key risk is that it is almost entirely dependent on government.

Disclaimer: Invested since ipo.

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Why RVNL stock price rising ?

Discl: Invested in RVNL as a part of my PSU basket containing Defence, Railway & renewable Energy stocks.

Not a buy or sell recommendation. The stock price of all railway stocks have gone up quite a lot. Investment in PSU stocks carry an inherent risk of changes in govt policy which may or may not be favourable to the investors. please do your own assesment before investing.

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RVNL bags ₹1,545 cr Maldives contract at an estimated cost of ₹ 1,544.60 crore the company has announced.
On December 22, the company had bagged an order said to be of ₹ 198 crore for construction of Bhesan Depot and workshop from Gujarat Metro Rail Corporation (GMRC), to be executed within 20 months.
Recently, RVNL has won a contract worth ₹ 137 crore for increasing speed potential to 160 kmph in Pradhankhanta - Bandhua section of Dhanbad Division under East Central Railway.

RVNL is clearly on a fast track.

Disclosure: I am invested in it.

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The issue with these kind of stocks is that sooner or later there would be a OFS and one should be ready to digest the volatility - that happened recently with IRCTC.

In case of RVNL, the Govt holds 78% and they would have to mandatorily reduce to 75%.
And whenever there is an OFS, the govt sells @7-10% discount to market price and most people especially the traders involve in short selling in order to buy at lower levels. Even some investors sell stocks in order to buy at lower level.

However , if you are a long term investor , you need not worry these kind of short term volatility, as long as order book is bulging and earning visibility is there.

Discl: Invested at a price point of @ Rs 30 a share. Partially profit booked recently and in the process of adding again at decline.

It is not an investment advice. Please do your own assessment before investing.

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If it goes down a bit due to OFS, there may be an opportunity to add more.

With Budgetary Allotment Of Rs 2 41 Lakh Crore In Fy 2023 24 Indian Railways Plans To Boost Infrastructure Enhance Passenger Experience

In FY 2023-24, the Ministry of Railways is also focusing to boost connectivity to the remotest part of the country.

The ministry has set a target to lay tracks for a distance of 7,000 km in the next fiscal. This includes new lines, doubling, tripling, gauge conversion, etc.
RVNL was incorporated as an 100% owned PSU of Ministry of Railways (MoR) on 24-1-2003 with the twin objectives of raising extra-budgetary resources and implementation of projects relating to creation and augmentation of capacity of rail infrastructure on fast track basis.

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RVNL along with its Russian counterpart is the lowest bidder for 200 Vande Bharat trains worth 58000 Crores. (both Sales & Service)

Because the Russian counterpart was interested into this business, they must have quoted lower… But will they make profit???..only time will tell.

Discl: Remain invested in all railway PSU stocks as a part of my PSU and dividend yield basket in spite of heightened volatility +/- 10-15% .
The risk factor which is a hanging sword is the Stake Sale/ OFS in all these kind of stocks where Govt still holds more than 75% stake
It is not an investment advice. please do your own assessment before investing.

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Additional context is to offset relatively cheaper Russian oil. Its a win-win for both countries. Also important is to consider significant AMC which follows. RVNL will stand to gain.

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VANDE BHARAT WORKING

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From BSE Corporate announcements:

The Exchange has sought clarification from Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd on June 20, 2023, with reference to news appeared inhttps://www.moneycontrol.com dated June 20, 2023 quoting “RVNL sheds 3% after Vande Bharat train JV gets derailed”

News article in question:

Also related:

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RVNL on anyone’s radar still?

Yes , I am holding since last 2 years . bought @30.level. everytime there was an OFS , it fell by 10% only to bounce back by 15% later.
I think there could be one more OFS .

It is perhaps due to bulging order book and earning visibility for next 6-7 years … …
The risks are :

Another OFS by Govt to bring it down to 75%

Any Change in Govt policy on Reducing railway infra capex

Execution by RVNL- it may not perform well QoQ consistently due to long gestation of railway projects

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RVNL stock analysis from various Brokerage houses

Recent developments :

(1) The company has recently established its solely-owned subsidiary company named ‘Kinet Railway Solutions Ltd’. According to the Share Purchase Agreement signed, RVNL holds a 25 per cent stake, while joint stock company Metrowagonmash and Locomotive Electronic Systems possess 70 per cent and 5 per cent stakes, respectively. So Vande Bharat train Deal is back on track. Govt to consider more such trains.

(2) Received a letter of award (LOA) from the National Highways Authority of India (NHAI) worth Rs 808 crore. The LOA is for "rehabilitation and upgradation from 4 to 8 laning of Chandikhole – Paradip Section of NH-53 (Old NH – 5A) from Km. 60.000 to Km. 76.646 (Package-4) in Odisha on HAM mode – 2nd Call,

(3) Indian Railways launching more non-AC general category Regular trains between major cities to meet the demand of low-income passengers and migrant workers, which normally was being done only during festival seasons. More trains meaning more business for all railway stocks that include Ircon, Rvnl , railtel, Rites, IRFC.

Discl . Rvnl forms part of my railway basket… it is not an advice to sell or buy railway stock. PSU stocks carry inherent risk of change in Govt policy. They may ignore minority share holders interest…
Any change in strategy of enhancing railway infra capex may affect stock performance
please do your own assessment before investing

OFS for 5.36% stake sell for both retail and non retail investors at 8% discount on 27th /28th July

Dude you were right about this…

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I have seen this happening in the past. But I continue to hold in spite of temporary decline due to OFSand it has paid me more than 3 X during last 18 months.

Discl: Remain invested for long term. It is not a buy or sell recommendation.
PSU stocks in general carry inherent risk of frequent OFS especially if the stock does well and govt policy changes may affect the stock performance. But in my view , the long term story remains in tact due to earning visibility for next 5- 6 years due to order book and increased railway capex . Also RVNL is in to maintenance contract.

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Today’s CNBC TV interview with RVNL Director Mr Rajesh Prasad…Post recent OFS, Govt holding stands at 72.84%.

Cum order book 65000 crore till date aiming to reach 75000- 100000 Crore. Participated in 169 competitive Bids in open market so far.

You may please watch the TV interview right at the top of the article… watch till the end to get more insights on various projects- 11 mnts duration.

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More orders on pipeline - the railway related stocks including Kavach manufacturers those are likely to be beneficiary.

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New order for … Rs 1097,68,43,890 (including Tax)

Are my eyes deceiving me?

https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/5e54e8b2-1615-496c-bd31-71dcfb0be8a7.pdf

And then there is this (reported just hours ago):

According to information received from departmental sources, after survey and technical investigation, the final DPR of about Rs 29,000 crore for the 121.76 km long railway has been sent to the Railway Board Delhi. Of this, 70 per cent of the track will be inside tunnels. Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) has planned to connect Gangotri and Yamunotri Dham with a rail line.

Hard to say how much of the ₹29000 Cr comes to RVNL. Help me make sense of this.

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