I am not an expert on the valuations, but here is what I see.
Jeena Sikhoâs Q3FY26 PAT was more than 2.5 times HCGâs last 4 quarters PAT combined. Yet, if they are trading at similar market caps, then it is HCG that is relatively overvalued, though it doesnât mean Jeena Sikho is undervalued.
I know, HCGâs earnings might be suppressed and all, canât say as I donât track it.
But for Jeena Sikho, I can say the valuation is slightly on richer side, but not yet in overvalued zone. It is pricing in good execution and any slip will hurt.
I understand, it can never get high valuation to the likes of Speciality Hospitals which are going to be steady. Because, there are too many risks in it, promoter dependency, peopleâs belief in ayurveda, regulations etc.
All I can do is let the execution play out till any risks show up or valuation goes overboard.
Guys, look for forward PE and growth then you realise which is expensive and cheap.
Jeena Sikho forward PE is ~32 (based on Q3 FY26 earning), even though Q3 is soft quarter for their business. And they will easily grow > 50%. Its very high ROCE business that means they will be generating high cash compare to competitor and this will in turn help them to acquire other businesses or invest to grow their business rapidly.
They have appointed Grant Thornton as statutory auditor and Forvis Mazars as internal auditor. They are reputed auditors in world. If they can still manipulate the balance sheet then the whole theory will obviously fail.
So far whatever he (Manish Acharyay) has promised has executed on that line or may be more. Letâs see how long he delivers.
Jeena Sikho Lifecareâs quarterly PAT already exceeds Healthcare Global Enterprises (HCG)âs trailing annual PAT.
On earnings alone, HCG screens more expensive.
But markets arenât pricing current PAT - theyâre pricing durability.
1.Jeena Sikho: high growth, asset-light, high execution risk
2.HCG: capital-heavy, steady oncology play, slower growth, higher perceived predictability.
Different business models. Different risk profiles. Different futures being discounted.
Execution will decide which valuation sustains.
JSLL is a rare 40%+ CAGR growth company that is fundamentally redefining the Indian healthcare landscape. question its valuation relative to asset-heavy giants like HCG, the market is rewarding JSLLâs asset-light, tech-enabled wellness model.
Acharya Manish has consistently âwalked the talk,â and the guidance for 1000 Cr PAT signals massive institutional scale. The shift to Big 5 auditors (Walker Chandiok & Co LLP) provides the transparency needed to justify a 50+ PE. Unlike traditional hospitals burdened by multi-crore machinery, JSLL scales through protocols and âIntegrated Medicineââa model that is high-margin and highly replicable.
In reality, simplicity that scales often outperforms complexity that stagnates. JSLL isnât just a clinic; itâs a lifestyle platform capturing the vast chronic care market. With validated governance and aggressive expansion, it remains a powerhouse for the next five years.
I tried to model JSLL and find out its intrinsic value with the help of claude. Assumptions made are to the best of my knowledge. Hoping to hear the communityâs view on this and let me know if you believe some assumptions need to be tweaked.
TLDR:My analysis says itâs Undervalued at the current valuation and if we hold it for 10-11 years we can earn a 21.2% CAGR CAPITAL GAINS (ASSUMING ITS EV/EBITDA MULTIPLE COMPRESSES BY ALMOST HALF TO WHAT IT IS TODAY) and not taking into account the dividend payouts.
PS: The Comps Sheet still needs some work to be done.
have you ever heard them on FM? i think they have stopped doing this only recently but it was there for good several months i remember. either they have changed their strategy deliberately or by some regulations i dont know. also try to talk to any patient, u might know, with terminal disease who had visited them?