Consolidated Cash flow from operation is more than Consolidated Net Profit.
Debt to equity is less than one.
Land takeover for Gorakhpur Metro - There was some news that company land will be takeover by Government for Gorakpur Metro. Management clarified that they have some land bank in Gorkhpur city a portion of which will be taken over for Metro Rail
Company designated as Shell Company by SEBI - According to this disclosure, shell company status has been removed.
Excessive leverage - Having completed a recent expansion, company has planned for another expansion at the cost of 510 crore. Such rapid expansions are marred with multiple risks.
Increase in price and non-availability of raw material - Company does not have captive mine of iron ore or coal. Rapid increase in price of any raw material can derail the company.
Iron & steel companies are coming out with wonderful results. Tata Sponge has done very well. Multiple source say India is having very good demand for Steel. Expansion of capacity will lead to increase in topline & bottomline of company.
Company relies heavily on subsidies from UP and accounts for it in P&L even if it has actually received only a fraction of the payment. It shows this subsidy as ‘short term’ advances to - Pradeshiya Industrial & Investment Corporation of U.P. Ltd (PICUP) even if those payments are pending for years. No provision has been made against these.
Company rely on subsidiary of UP Govt. - True. Also UP Govt does not wish to pay the subsidiaries. Now this is big in comparison to the size of company and is a investment risk. But Hon’ble Supreme Court has dismissed the petition of UP Govt. which comforts me that company has put a right demand and sooner or later it will be realized. This is surly a investment risk, a investor is taking, if she chooses to invest.
But management has been quite open, transparent and public about it.
Management is planning an expansion based on unrealized subsidiary for Govt. - I think this a very tentative plan given the company has completed an expansion as close as December 2017. I think we need to monitor this plan and it will surely evolve. Over leverage is the risk we need to keep an eye on.
Steel segment is loosing money wheres power is profitable - Below find segmental results for q3fy18. Now the case has reversed Steel is profitable and power is losing money. I could imagine since steel was loosing money for last few year the company may not be running the plant at full capacity and may be selling power. You would appreciate the management kept the company profitable throughout the bad period of steel cycle.
What do you think about the remuneration of the management?Their remuneration is very low wrt profits and they get no dividends.Still the MD chandra prakash agarwal has bought one percent of the company.He has put in atleast 10 crores on 13/1/2017 to buy almost one percent of the company.(Source:Page 50 annual report 2017).His remuneration is 15.6 lakh(page 54 annual report 2017) and his remuneration from gallant metal is 19.2 lakh.
What do you think the lifestyle of the managers is like if they earn 19 lakh per year.
Salary is like profit and loss account. Your question concern the balance sheet of person. You need to the consider the accumulated wealth of person over the lifetime to know what s/he capable of buying.
There are many-many possibilities - He could have inherited vast track of land, which he could have sold in personal capacity to buy the shares. I do think we could have sufficient data on personal net-worth to argue the case.
Invested. Views may be biased. This is no recommendation just an expression.
There are certain & obvious red flags which i want to raise:
Check the shareholding pattern of the company, almost 97% is controlled by the promoters.
64% is the direct shareholding and the rest ~33% is being held by a complex web of shell companies
with multiple cross holdings.Individual share holders comprise just 3%.
Last time i checked almost a year back and noticed that all the shareholder companies (Holding almost 33%) are based in Kolkata with similar addresses, AAR COMMERCIAL COMPANY LIMITED, CAMELLIA TRADELINK PRIVATE LIMITED etc etc. They all seem Paper shell companies.
Also if you notice the share price since its debut on NSE, you will notice that whatever be the market conditions this script is un affected, the free float being negligible the promoter seems to easily fix the share price at any value they seem OK with. May be capital gain/loss management?The script remains at same price for months alltogether.
Aug 2014 to Feb 2016 the script was at fixed price of 380 Rupees in a straight horizontal line, whether the results were good or bad.Suddenly the script rose to 600 in 2 weeks for no apparent reason and then was made to fall to 200 very swiftly.
The reason given for fall from 600 to 200 was that UP govt was contemplating acquiring company’s land for a metro Project in Gorakhpur. At That stage even the DPR study for Mtero was not initiated,moreover the company is situated in outskirts of Gorakhpur city where the metro will never go.Obviously the company just used it as an excuse.
Individual shareholder is on its own in this company, the script price will always be dictated by the promoters and not by the markets or steel cycle!!