Weak Q1FY25 print on the back of muted disbursements, y-o-y degrowth of 6.6% and increase in gross non-performing assets by 56 basis points to 1.46%.
Management sounded optimistic of its full year guidance despite Q1 weakness, however, it remains to be seen how growth picks up in the coming quarters.
Investor Presentation - 1QFY25
Today there was an article on Livemint paper, about the promoters looking to exit.
PS: Admin, if this violates any regulations/rules of share, please delete it.
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Trying to make sense of recent news, whether the owner exit will be a overhang wrt valuations and becomes a value trap in near term.
As per fundamentals, the stock is available at a best bargain since COVID times. So, it is still attractive from that POV.
As per the owner exit / change, I am trying to build the best and worst case scenarios.
Best case scenario is if is bought by another prominent player with more funds and more reach.
Worst case scenario is to be bought over by a player with poor track record of governance / asset quality management.
Neutral scenario is to go with status quo.
We can take the owner’s expectation of 15-20% premium as a baseline return in a year’s time.
Disc: Invested
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