1.Yes, 38% of cinema-goers wanting lower ticket and food prices highlights genuine price sensitivity, and OTT plus large-screen home viewing makes audience mobilisation more difficult. Those risks are real, especially for a small and emerging company like Connplex.
2.At the same time, Connplex’s Q3 FY26 operating update shows strong execution: rapid expansion in cinemas, screens, capacity, and presence across cities and states, with admissions up 57% YoY and occupancy improving from 21% to 31%.
3.Average Ticket Price has actually softened (₹284 → ₹270), while Spend Per Head on F&B has increased (₹85 → ₹94), indicating that premium experience plus sensible pricing can coexist.
4.Theatre viewing remains a distinct experiential product; communal viewing, large-format screens, and event movies cannot be fully replicated by OTT or home TV, and Connplex appears to be capturing that segment.
5.Their ability to add new screens at very low incremental capital cost materially improves operating leverage and reduces balance-sheet risk compared to traditional multiplex models.
6.I agree there are risks: small-cap nature, concentration risk, execution dependence, and general industry headwinds. These must be acknowledged.
7.However, the current data suggests that Connplex is scaling rapidly in under-penetrated markets with improving footfalls and monetisation, rather than struggling to attract audiences.
8.An analogy from Prof. Sanjay Bakshi illustrates this well: “The rabbit runs faster than the fox because the fox is running for dinner, but the rabbit is running for its life.” In his example, Colgate was the rabbit and Unilever the fox when competition emerged. Applying the same logic here, Connplex is the rabbit and PVR is the fox — the challenger is hungrier, more focused, and often executes faster.
So, while I fully recognise the risks and price-sensitivity arguments, my view is that Connplex currently looks more like the rabbit — nimble, motivated, and executing — whereas the incumbents are the foxes. Hence, I respectfully agree to disagree.
My views may be biased as I am invested.