Zomato - Should you order?

Quick commerce is not about offering more discounts or burning cash; it’s primarily focused on convenience. Relying on cash burn is not a sustainable strategy. Compared to competitors like Swiggy or Zepto, Zomato provides fewer discounts, often none at all. Instead, they emphasize enhancing the user experience on their platform and maintaining high delivery standards.

I am from NCR and I have Zomato Gold, Swiggy Black, and Zepto Pass. I can personally vouch for Zomato/Blinkit when it comes to overall experience. On the other hand, Zepto offers the most discounts, but it is burning the most cash.

Quick commerce revolves around convenience, where consumers prefer premium-priced products for immediate delivery and on impulse. In contrast, e-commerce is driven by discounts, with consumers seeking the lowest prices and willing to wait 24 to 48 hours for delivery.

E-commerce giants like Amazon that are entering the quick commerce space are not aiming to disrupt the market or engage in price wars. Rather, they are extending their e-commerce business to experiment in this sector, ensuring they do not miss out on potential growth if quick commerce expands significantly.

Zomato’s food delivery business is stable, and Blinkit offers a generational opportunity to participate in the disruption of industries such as retail, grocery and e-commerce.

Zomato has executed its strategy effectively compared to its peers. It’s important to note that India is currently the only country experiencing a quick commerce boom, and strong execution is crucial in this competitive landscape. Having said that after going through the call it looks like Blinkit may extend losses for the next 2 quarters due to capex on expansion (+1000 more stores) accelerated dark store expansion to dampen profitability and lower throughput on the new stores.

Worth noting:

Bistro (10-minute food delivery) is targeting the large in-office population requiring quick access to snacks, meals, and beverages within 10-15 mins. This market is currently addressed by on-site vendors/vending machines and is not catered to evenly across geographies by the existing food delivery options.

District app: While the core business continues to be profitable, the quarterly loss in 3QFY25 was largely driven by the investment in the new District app (team, marketing, tech costs). Most of the investments from hereon will be focused on getting customers to transition to the new app and growing their selection on the platform. It is likely to operate in losses for the next year.

Disclosure – Invested with 8% allocation so my views can be biased.

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In an interview yesterday on CNBC TV 18 with PPFAS MF manager, Prashant (Anchor) said that someone who is invested in zepto told him that company has cash for about 6-8 months left in their bank account (Post 2 fund raises) and they want to do an IPO soon. Zepto will have to stop/cut their discounts if they want the valuation. Rs 1200 cr loss in FY24 and still offering more discount. Total uphill task now to show improved metrics if they want to go public. All the efforts of Zepto in particular look like a desperate attempt to break network effect of blinkit and to gain market leadership. If it isn’t able to show profitability path before IPO, then zomato might be the winner. Just my opinion, biased.

(PS - Interview link - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zuC5CZrwjlo. Watch from 10th minute for the statement)

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Zepto has burned about Rs 1,000-1,100 crore in the last three months in the hypercompetitive space. The firm recently hit $3 billion in gross sales, trailing Blinkit’s $3.7 billion and is expanding its dark store network.

Blinkit expanded its losses in the December quarter to Rs 103 crore due to aggressive expansion, which has impacted the overall profitability of its parent company, Zomato.

Zepto is considering increasing the size of its public offering to $800 million-$1 billion. Most recently valued at $5 billion.

Source: ET Tech

Disc: Invested

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Whole interview is worth watching. I found interesting is thinking of blinkit.

The quick commerce company caters to a broad customer base that includes younger, working professionals in metro areas as well as an older demographic in smaller cities. The focus is on convenience and immediate need fulfilment.

While Dmart’s target customer base is more general, focusing on price-conscious consumers looking to buy a variety of goods at best price. Dmart model is built around offering the best of prices.

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They say internally they used to refer company as Eternal and had decided the day something significant than Zomato in hatched they would change the name. With blinkit now needing more funds and hence larger revenue, significance of zomato reduces….hence it seems eternal…I maybe wrong in my assessment….

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I can see (in mumbai) that Blinkit has started levying handling charges. For orders <200 Rs.16 for > 200 Rs. 12. Has anyone else noticed this?
ive also noticed that they have introduced something in the lines of surge. Free delivery only if the order value is > 500.

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Facinating reading of Indus Valley Annual Report 2025. One can download full reports via https://blume.vc/reports/indus-valley-annual-report-2025.

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Nice scuttlebutt on Blinkit and Zepto from the rider POV (Twitter thread)

https://x.com/aumvats/status/1907037143664603530

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Has anyone who is invested in quick commerce industry knows how to value these companies? Definitely PE is not the answer.

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i think Blinkits current AOV is much lesser than currently reported (Rs. 700) and should not be extrapolated from here. this is due to 2 reasons:

  1. AOV is calculated on the MRP of the products purchased when most of the products sold are 10-15% below MRP. This means the actual average order value which the customer pays is much lesser than the reported AOV (most likely 10-15% lower).
  2. Q3 has higher AOVs due to festivities which must not be extrapolated for the year
    Considering both the points I guess fair AOV that customer actually pays must be around 600 for the whole year for Blinkit (I may be wrong).
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You should look at Contribution Margin. as CM is calculated after all the discounts.
if the CM is 4% of the headline number of 700 (just an example) then that gives you a better matrix to compare/evaluate.

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Zomato is planning to cap foreign ownership at 49.5% to help Blinkit be eligible to hold inventory and improve margins as reported by news articles

How do members of VP see this? What are other implications and any possible downside from this ?

  1. If FII ownership goes above 50%, the company is considered as foreigner-owned. And the implication is some restrictions like FDI limit and a few more.
  2. Currently, FIIs own 44.36%, hence there won’t be immediate selling.
  3. Due to FII restriction, FIIs will stop buying above 49.5%, hence aggressive buying by FIIs is restricted in future. Sameway dii is more stable vs fii - hence extreme share price volatility may be avoided.
    2 & 3 have limited impact anyway.
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The weightage of Zomato in MSCI and FTSE index can reduce, which may led to some selling by FII and passive funds. Now when blinkit can have it’s own inventory so it’s margins may improve due to private labeling

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Source: r/StartUpIndia

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Maybe. Isolated or individual opinions like these don’t have any effect on a business. Extrapolation is one issue with businesses like these. I run no business, no human emotions cannot be taken away running one. Even Berkshire Hathaway might have had its share of problems. If the problems are structural and powerful enough to destroy a business from within, then any name can vanish, no one is eternal.

All these are ineffective, if there are longevity and profitability. And, these can be corrected. Within a few months, it is possible to see a completely different opinion, an opinion of praise in the place of rant.

I use Zomato regularly, never faced any issues. Also have a position. Not biased, but do take my view with a pinch of salt.

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Interesting read, maybe real interest and work going on in blinkit at present….

Don’t believe until officially denied ?

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Over the past three months, I’ve noticed a clear shift among some of my family members who used to frequently order food online. They are now preferring offline purchases. When I asked why, they highlighted a few points:

High Delivery Fees: Delivery charges have risen sharply, and free delivery is now available only on high order values. (Platforms like Zomato and others have been increasing platform charges over the last quarter, and customers are noticing.)

Fewer Offers: Earlier, platforms gave frequent deals and cashbacks, but now these have reduced sharply. (For example, Zepto has discontinued “Zepto Cash,” and Blinkit’s convenience fees often cancel out any discounts.)

Avoiding Zomato for Fast Food: Many now order directly from restaurants or use Uber Parcel to pick up food, as prices on Zomato are often much higher than the restaurant’s menu price.

making money from Indian consumers is becoming increasingly difficult, given how price-sensitive and adaptable they are.

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What’s happening here? I thought things would get better with Blinkit capturing the market. Looks like competition is fierce.

I’m not sure but rumor has it that they’ll shut down the 15 min delivery services. Which was their core business no? :skull: