Vishnu prakash R Punglia LTD(VPRPL)-"Steering India's Water Management Future"

:ocean: Vishnu prakash R Punglia LTD(VPRPL)-“Steering India’s Water Management Future” :ocean:

INTRODUCTION
Established in the year 1986, Vishnu Prakash R Pungalia Limited (VPRPL) is an integrated engineering, procurement and construction (“EPC”) company with experience in design and construction of infrastructure projects. VPRPL is engaged in the business of designing and constructing infrastructure projects for the Central and State Governments, autonomous bodies, and private bodies

  • Market Cap : ₹2,945 Cr
  • Current Price : ₹ 236
  • Stock P/E : 24.1
  • ROCE : 24.7 %
  • ROE : 23.6 %
  • Intrinsic Value : ₹ 283
  • Promoter holding : 67.8 %
  • Debt to equity : 0.55

Overview

1. BUSINESS OPERATIONS

Key Operations Areas
:white_small_square:Water Supply Project: Revenue Share ~85%
:white_small_square:Railway Projects: Revenue Share ~7%
:white_small_square:Road Projects: Revenue Share ~6%
:white_small_square:Irrigation Network: Revenue Share ~1%
:white_small_square:Other Projects: Revenue Share ~1%

i) Water Supply Projects (WSP) -
The company has 36 years experience in executing WSPs comprising of construction and development of pipelines, water tanks, reservoirs, tunnels, overhead tanks, water treatment plants, and irrigation projects. It has executed 75+ WSPs and is one of the prominent cos in Rajasthan in water supply projects.

ii) Railway Projects -
earthwork, construction of bridges and supply of materials and track linking, railway station platforms, administrative buildings, rail over-bridges, and station quarters.

iii) Road Projects -
construction of highways, bridges, culverts, flyovers, and subways; projects related to irrigation like dams, canals, tunnels, pressured pipe systems, etc.

iv) Irrigation Network Projects -
sewerage, industrial effluent treatment plants on an EPC basis.

2.SECTOR DETAILS

The water management sector holds critical importance in India’s path to sustainable development. As urbanization and industrialization continue to surge, the need for effective water management solutions has reached unprecedented levels. For ensuring the continued growth and prosperity of the nation."

India is facing a water scarcity problem, and ensuring efficient water usage and supply will be the government’s focus moving forward. The company’s stronghold in key states (chart 1) will prove beneficial
Sources: NITI Aayog, Mint

3. GOVERNMENT BACKED

  • The Indian government has launched several initiatives like the Jal Jeevan Mission and AMRUT to ensure water supply to every household
  • The Jal Shakti Ministry allocated Rs 98,418 crore in the interim budget for 2024-25 with its flagship Jal Jeevan Mission
  • Jal Jeevan Yojana: The govt.'s mission to supply tap water to every rural home in India.
    Rajasthan still has a long way to go, and the company has strong focus here
    Stats: ~25% of households across India still to get tap water, and thus a significant opportunity

4. PROMOTER DRIVEN

*The company is promoted by the Pungalia family(68.7%) who are in the EPC business for last 4 decades. The leadership team is driven by Mr. Vishnu Prakash Punglia, Mr. Manohar Lal Punglia, Mr. Sanjay Kumar Punglia, Mr. Kamal Kishor Pungalia and Mr. Ajay Pungalia.

5.BUSINESS MODEL

• The company has an integrated business model with in-house execution team and a fleet of more than 500+ construction equipments which helps in reducing its dependence on third-party for key materials and services required for project execution.

6.ORDER BOOK:SCALABLE BUSINESS

Order book as of March 31, 2024, stands at ₹4,717 crores to be executed over the next 24-36 months.

7.FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE FY24:

Orderbook at 3x of FY24 revenue

Q4FY24:
Rev⏫44% at 657cr
EBITDA :arrow_double_up: 64% at 205cr
OPM at 15.96%:arrow_double_up:196bps
PAT⏫68% at 67cr

FY24:
Rev⏫26% at 1473cr
EBITDA :arrow_double_up:34% at 210cr
OPM at 14.24%
PAT :arrow_double_up:35% at 122cr

GROWTH DRIVERS :top:

  • Company aims to maintain order book turnover ratio around 3 times.

  • Strong growth in revenues driven by successful execution of ongoing projects across segments.

  • Margin expansion due to cost control, operational efficiency, and timely project execution.

  • Robust bid pipeline with hopes of new opportunities materializing in the coming months.

  • EPC only contracts Focus only on EPC projects, with or without O&M. No HAM or BOT projects.

  • Diversify into other segments while not losing focus on core business

  • Make investments in latest equipments and Focus on high value contracts

  • Further strengthen foothold in the state of Rajasthan. Selective Geographical diversification

    POSITIVES :+1:

  • :chart_with_upwards_trend:Company has competencies to bid for large value projects and successfully secured projects in Uttarakhand, Uttar Pradesh, and Madhya Pradesh.

  • :chart_with_upwards_trend:Active participation in the Jal Jeevan Mission and AMRUT 2.0 scheme projects.

  • :chart_with_upwards_trend:No immediate need for additional Capex as current equipment is adequate for upcoming projects.

  • :chart_with_upwards_trend:VPRPL’s strong market position and expertise in water management make them a preferred partner for government projects. Their competitive edge lies in their execution capabilities

  • :chart_with_upwards_trend:Strong pipeline of government tenders and projects in the water supply, roads and railways segments with focus on infrastructure development by central and state governments provides a good industry tailwinds.

    RISKS :-1:

  • :chart_with_downwards_trend: Working capital requirements are on the higher side, common in infrastructure companies.

  • :chart_with_downwards_trend: Rajasthan is the highest revenue contributor, not unusual for smaller regional infrastructure firms.

  • :chart_with_downwards_trend: 85% revenues solely from water supply projects.

  • :chart_with_downwards_trend: Order book fluctuation possible; dealing with govt (99%) carries risks of project delays and potential scams.

  • :chart_with_downwards_trend: No aggressive debt funding planned, with a focus on maintaining debt equity ratio under one.

Screener link:
(Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Ltd share price | About Vishnu Prakash R | Key Insights - Screener)

Website link: https://www.vprp.co.in/

:warning: Disclaimer: Invested and biased

12 Likes

one more con,company have negative operating cashflow

They have addressed this in their Concall
Due to Elections the government is releasing the payment a bit late!!

3 Likes

Vishnu Prakash R Punglia Ltd. (VPRPL-KSIPL) JV bags contract from North Western Railway for redevelopment of Bikaner Railway Station in Rajasthan on EPC basis.

Won two orders worth : 471 cr,
Mcap : ~ 2,900 cr
Date : 24 july 2024

  • Added 10% to total order book.

  • Should grow at 25-30% as per management

  • Operates in perfect demand sectors - Water Supply Projects + Railways + Roads + Irrigation

:+1: Diversify into other segments(Railways) while not losing focus on core business(water supply)

Disc: Invested and biased

2 Likes

See last 3 year operating cashflow

Vishnu Prakash R Punglia wins Rs 386 crore order:

The company has secured a new contract worth Rs 386.35 crore from WDFC for a connectivity project. This win is a positive development and will likely boost the company’s order book and revenue.

I think the order is worth of 38.635 crores and not 386 crores.

1 Like

No, It will become approx 382 crores (3824x1000000=3824000000)

No, recheck it again 386.5 million means 38.6 crores

You are right but order value is in four figure

3824 million, NOT 386 million

1 Like

VPRPL Awarded Contract by WDFC FIELD UNIT-JAIPUR-CIVIL and the

Date of order: August 9th 2024
order value is 38 crores :white_check_mark:

“Please don’t get confused with the old order received on the date 24th july”

Ok. I was under that impression. Thanks for bringing clarity.

Why VPRPL stock fall today , can anyone please explain

Bad results and over expectation from participants

1 Like


I found some Criminal charges against the company while going through the DRHP
Page no 416
Disc- Not invested

112657900.cms.pdf (372.1 KB)
Anand Rathi’s coverage on the stock. Reaffirmed buy with TP of 300 Rs within 12 Months.

Some good pointers I noted down:

- Anand Rathi. Buy. TP 300 Rs. {26-28% Upside)


••••••••••• Investment Rationale
- EPC company with low PE (~24) and high ROCE of 24%.  ⚠️Industry Avg PE 17.22
- 3 yrs ROE Avg - 25% (Not Cagr)
- 1 yr revenue 1470 Cr while having an order book of 4900 + 510 Crores already.
- New bidding orders pipeline of approximately ₹5,000 crores Awaited. historic conversion rate is around 17% to 18%. So approx 800 Crores of more order expected.


•••••••••• Management Guidance
- Revenue growth guidance for FY25 projected between 15% to 20% on a conservative basis.
- Company has enough cash reserves to execute the the orderbook.
- Management expects Margins to improve further. And EBITDA will be better.


- Gave Good returns to 1 MF house that had position in it - Quant Small Cap Fund
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/unique-picks-stocks-held-by-only-one-mf-scheme-in-july-deliver-big-returns/fund-favorites/slideshow/112647204.cms


Disclaimer: Not invested yet.
1 Like

VPRPL Q1FY25 Concall Pointers :

  1. Growth Guidance:
  • Revenue Growth of 15-20% on a conservative side. They should exceed this.
  • Profit Growth should be much higher than the sales growth.
  • Regular demand is there as these are public utility projects.
  • Q1 is usually the weaker quarter.
  • Revenue Breakup quarter wise:
    Q1: 10-15%
    Q2: 20%
    Q3: 35%
    Q4: 35%
  1. Revenue Breakup project wise:
  • Water Related Projects: 67%
  • Railway Related Projects: 17%
  • Road Related Projects: 6%
  1. Orderbook:
  • Till 30th June Order book of around 4917Cr. After June as well, got 510Cr of new orders.
  • Strong Prospective pipeline of 5000Cr, bid winning rate is around 17-18%.
  1. Cash Flows:
  • Debtor Days is around 160days, due to election time, should go back to 60-70days.
  • As Payment Cycle improves, debt will be reduced as well.
  1. Cost Savings:
  • Backward Integration - RMC Plant, Crusher Units, Hot Mix Plants etc helps to increase margins.

Disc: Have a tracking position, no reco.

2 Likes

In the below tracker, I have started tracking important company goals for VPRPL. These goals are referred to as ‘monitorables’ in the tracker.I will update this document regularly to reflect the current status of these goals.

Here’s a snapshot of what the tracker includes:

  • Company Ticker: For identifying the company
  • Monitorable Description: Description of the goal or metric being tracked
  • Date of Announcement: When the monitorable was announced
  • Deadline: Target date for achieving the monitorable
  • Status: Current progress (e.g., Not Fulfilled, Pending)
  • Verification Link: A link to see where I got the information about the goal.

I hope this information makes it easier to observe how well companies are progressing towards their stated goals.

Screenshot of the tracker below:

Full tracker attached below:
Tracking Company Monitorables-34.xlsx (146.6 KB)

Post Script: DM if you want me to track the monitorables for any specific company.

2 Likes