Tata Power Limited

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Pls update sheet based on Q2 FY 24 number

Thank You!!! :slightly_smiling_face:

Presentation and Transcript file :

3b232287-d732-4b18-98c2-e351db100f64.pdf (bseindia.com)

7355fd30-e718-427a-81b3-7acca3011daa.pdf (bseindia.com)

A to Z of Smart Meters - Sanjay Banga - Tata Power

Capacity Addition in FY24
Fossil Fuel | 1674 MW
Solar | 5531 MW
Wind | 1931 MW
Others. | 106 MW

PSP - Pump Storage Projects

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Markets eye Tata Sons listing in the next 18 months !

Tata power also own 2% into Tata Sons

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TATA POWER GETS AVERAGE TARIFF HIKE OF 24% VS 12% REQUESTED BY THE CO FOR FY24 - 25.POWER SECTOR COMPANIES REACTS MOSTLY ON THE MERCHANT PRICES.They hit a peak of Rs 8.4 /kWh in Aprโ€™09 and subsequently started to slide and the whole
sector went down with them - utilities, equipments and financiers.Tata power tariff hike is a strong indication that it will continue to outperform itโ€™s peers.

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Tata Power LOI by a PFC subsidiary

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Tata Power to acquire 40% stake in Bhutanese hydropower project.

Tata Power is investing approximately Rs. 830 crore to acquire a 40% stake in Khorlochhu Hydro Power Limited (KHPL), a Bhutanese hydropower project.

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Could you elaborate how it would help in increase in their revenue / profit?
I am holder of tata power stock. Hence curious to know
Thanks

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Successful execution of the said project will surely help the company but investment decisions should not be dependent on a particular company update.

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Few of my takeaways from Q1 FY25 of Tata Power
.
Tata Power continues to demonstrate strong momentum, reporting its 19th consecutive quarter of growth. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on Indiaโ€™s robust power demand, which grew 11% in Q1. Tata Powerโ€™s diversified portfolio across generation, transmission, distribution and renewables provides multiple avenues for expansion.

๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐œ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ญ:

The company is making significant strides in renewable energy, with 8 GW of projects under implementation. Tata Power is shifting focus towards more complex hybrid and round-the-clock renewable projects, which offer better returns. The 4 GW solar cell and module manufacturing plant is ramping up, with full capacity expected by Q3.

A notable new initiative is the 600 MW hydro project in Bhutan, marking Tata Powerโ€™s entry into cross-border power. The company is also exploring opportunities in small modular nuclear reactors, though details are still emerging.

๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐ƒ๐ฒ๐ง๐š๐ฆ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ:

Decarbonization remains a key theme, with Tata Power supporting group company Tata Steelโ€™s clean energy transition through large hybrid projects. The rooftop solar segment is seeing a massive uptick in inquiries, potentially 10x higher than last year, driven by government incentives.

๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐“๐š๐ข๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ:

The governmentโ€™s focus on renewable energy, especially the PM Surya Ghar rooftop solar program, provides a significant growth runway. Support for pumped hydro storage projects aligns well with Tata Powerโ€™s initiatives in this space. Duty reductions on green energy equipment will benefit the sector.

๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐‡๐ž๐š๐๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ:

Transmission infrastructure constraints could potentially limit the pace of renewable capacity additions in the medium term. Land acquisition for large projects remains an ongoing challenge.

๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ/๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ:

There were questions about the slow growth in the renewable project pipeline. Management clarified this was a deliberate strategy to focus on executing the existing 8 GW portfolio before bidding aggressively for new projects, especially given transmission constraints.

๐‚๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ž๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž ๐‹๐š๐ง๐๐ฌ๐œ๐š๐ฉ๐ž:

While the rooftop solar space is seeing increased competition, Tata Power believes its brand, quality, and market access give it a 50-60% market share in the quality-focused segment. In utility-scale renewables, the company is shifting towards more complex projects to maintain an edge.

๐…๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฃ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ:

Tata Power plans to invest INR 20,000 crore in FY25, with 55-60% allocated to renewables. The company aims to commission over 3 GW of renewable capacity (own + EPC) in FY25 and over 4 GW in FY26.

๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅ ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ:

The capex mix reflects Tata Powerโ€™s strategic priorities - 55-60% in renewables, 30% in T&D, and 10-15% in thermal and new initiatives like pumped hydro. Despite the aggressive investment plan, the company maintains a stable balance sheet with net debt/EBITDA below 3x.

๐Ž๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ง๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ & ๐‘๐ข๐ฌ๐ค๐ฌ:

The massive opportunity in rooftop solar and potential distribution privatization in some states present significant growth avenues. However, execution risks in large projects and potential delays in transmission infrastructure development could impact growth trajectory.

๐‘๐ž๐ ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐‚๐ฅ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ž:

Recent policy initiatives like support for pumped hydro and small modular reactors are favorable. The continuation of Section 11 (mandating coal-based plants to operate) until October provides near-term stability for thermal assets.

๐‚๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฌ๐ž:

Strong demand growth and increased inquiries for rooftop solar installations indicate positive customer sentiment. Tata Powerโ€™s focus on quality and long-term reliability in the rooftop segment seems to resonate with customers.

Disclaimer: This is a general analysis and does not constitute financial advice.

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India urgently needs privatization of its DISCOMs!

90% of Indiaโ€™s power distribution, controlled by respective state governments, has now become a breeding ground for inefficiencies. The accumulated losses stand at INR 6.5 lakh crore as of FY23, which is well over 20% of Indiaโ€™s central budgeted annual revenue. Reasons?

  1. ๐ˆ๐ง๐ž๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ: Issues in power procurement, billing, and collection practices
  2. ๐‡๐ข๐ ๐ก ๐œ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฌ: Rising cost due to higher interest rates, rising power demand, and the cost of imported coal
  3. ๐๐จ๐จ๐ซ ๐œ๐š๐ฌ๐ก ๐Ÿ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ: Delayed consumer payments, leading to insufficient cash income, preventing timely payments to energy generators
  4. ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ญ๐š๐ซ๐ข๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ฌ: Many times insufficient tariffs can contribute to losses
  5. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐Ÿ๐ญ: High levels of theft can contribute to losses

One of the only state to have privatized its power distribution is Odisha where 51% stake was taken over by TATA Power, which has swung back to profits and demand continuing to rise 20% YoY due to effective & efficient service. Similar is the case of Delhi which has seen minimal outrage this year despite demand hitting new high in summers. There too, it was Tata Power who played the key role!

More on this coming on โ€˜Finding Outperformersโ€™

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Highlights

  • The MoU includes plans for the development of 10GW of renewable energy capacity across Bikaner, Jaisalmer, Barmer, and Jodhpur.
  • 2GW solar module manufacturing facility in Jodhpur.
  • Proposed โ‚น1,000 crore investment in setting up 1 lakh EV Charging points across Rajasthan.
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