Recent actions of US have sown the seeds of distrust .
No industrialist or a company would do capacity - expansion or woudl plan for growth in this kind of scenario as there is a risk of a policy flip-flop as far as export is concerned.
Better to focus on domestic market players .
There may be initial spike in the stock - prices of US exposed businesses - but they might just go back to the old levels in very immediate term .
But don’t see them becoming multibagger as global situation has not changed much - it has just become normal ( pre-tariff announcement days )
In the medium to long term, we should go back to same scenario where we were in Jan/December .
Companies with higher valuations may jump a bit in short term but ultimately they would mean-revert as per their business growth .
What To Do ?
Don’t get trapped by short - term moves .
Do the same what we were doing before this noise around tariff.
Hi, I just found this forum on Elliot Wave exists in Value Pickr, I also checked that the original author of the forum is currently Tracking Godrej Properties.
I am personally an investor in Godrej Properties and have been tracking its EW counts. Above I have share my chart with the Supercycle counts of EW. Here are the important findings:
Godrej Prop seems to be in the beginning of a new EW Cycle. It seems to have completed the Corrective Waves and is waiting for bearishness in the Nifty to lift to start the upward move.
Stock price has retraced around 61.8% of the previous entire cycle. (1920 Rs = 61.8% Fibonacci Ratio). This is most likely the max fall rang where it is consolidating since a long time.
The new rally of Godrej Properties will coincide with the last leg of Nifty50’s grand cycle ie the 5th wave, after it completes the current bear market correction. As such it is my presumption that Godrej Props will have a very steep 5 wave rally with Nifty’s 1 impulse wave. The history shows it always had a rapid rally and huge downfalls.
These conclusions make me think Godrej prop is a good stock to enter currently as per Eliiot wave analysis. Open to Community views.
Discl: Not buy/sell recommendations. Views are biased as an investor in this stock.
I see what you are suggesting. If its a corrective orthodox triangle, the E wave needs to come down its full length.
However sometimes in market, the orthodox triangles are not made and the 5th wave often cuts off in the middle.
My estimation was that this will be one such unorthodox triangle and will end midway as the broader market is also in the recovery cycle.
Thus, as long as Nifty continues its recovery from 4th wave, i aee Godrej Prop to follow. If it misses and goes back, Godrej prop will come down to finish the E wave.
I see you have 5 wave bear cycle markings. I generally use ABCs or WXYXZs for the correction. But yeah as per that cycle marking, it indeed has a 5th wave pending. And chances of it being truncated one is what you seem to have projected.
I am sharing a close up view of my corrective wave marking.
Sorry, but current movement doesn’t change that there was no relative strength.. ofcourse it was deep value buy
I have lot of respect for you and don’t want to start an argument in this forum..
I just wanted to learn the basis of your selection