Solara Active Pharma Sciences - Pure Play API

Can someone point out the near-term triggers for the stock? In my understanding, the API is a commodity business. It is heavily dependent on the Chinese supply. The demerged high-margin CRAMS business will take 4-5 years to scale up. It will have to go through equity dilution to unload the debt.

So what exactly is the thesis here?
Value unlocking upon demerger: Neither of the businesses has any near-term triggers. I don’t see any reason to hold any of them.
Mean reversion of margins in the API business: No certainty when it will happen. Heavily dependent on China. They even had to shift the Vizag plant (a dedicated Ibuprofen facility) to a multipurpose facility and transfer to the new demerged entity. Management is not confident about the API business.

The only problem is that there is no certainty of near-term growth in the thesis. Please let me know if my view is wrong.

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Debt reduction is an immediate triggere they are projecting a finance cost of 85 crore from present 115 crore company doesn’t seem to be operating in commodity api since the overall gross margin is 57%.with sales increasing operating leverage can play here,the business is still having an opm of 16% and is trading at 8 times price to operating cash flow

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Just adding a little more relative picture here, Gross margin of 57% is very high even if 10% revenue gets added at a gross margin of 53% the growth in EBITDA is more acute and I think it is true because if you look at other api companies many dont have gross margins above 50%. It is not a commodity business like paracetamol, ibuprofen, metformin etc. Overtime these apis become commodities it is a cyclical business for sure. But for players operating in these high gross margins with no product concentration and operating in regulated markets have relatively less competition. The interest cost of 85cr is also conservative in my opinion because with 650 cr debt turnsout to be 13% which is very high. The scope for operating leverage is huge as usually API companies with gross margins above 50% operate at 20-25% ebitda margins. Since the capacity utlisation is low at 60% Q4 is operating deleverage. It is most likely a written down asset in the Visakhapatnam gross block only a 250 cr is recuperated for their crams vertical. Rest the mgmt haven’t figured out what to do with capacity. Their crams vertical takes a long time to scale up as they dont have dedicated R&D center as of now. The mgmt is also not actively trying to build it, with capital structure as the top priority. So a 1300 cr revenue is not an easy task as ibuprofen is a lost business permanently look at IOL chemicals, SMS lifesciences how large their ibuprofen capacities are. 1200 cr is a likely outcome and a margin of 17% with operating deleverage and an interest cost of 80cr. cash flow from operations of 200 cr is reasonable to expect. Enterprise value is 2700 cr with 650 cr debt and shares outstanding of 4.3 cr a mcap of 2100 cr as of Fridays closing price 480. It is fairly priced not a discount in my opinion. If there is a reduction in cost of money and scaleup of non ibuprofen business are triggers. They do have many APIs they haven’t commericalised but their effort as of now is to maximise the current portfolio with debottlenecking, selling in more geographies and portfolio optimisation.

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Here’s a summary of the striking points from Solara Active’s Q4 FY25 concall and presentation:

  1. Sandeep Rao and Sarat Kumar take up as new CEO and CFO respectively. It is yet another change in the Co’s tumultuous history of management churns.

  2. The Co’s focus is on staying vested in high gross margin businesses and shifting the company back to regulated markets.

  3. The revenue and EBITDA guidance miss was attributed to intense competition in the Ibuprofen range of products.

  4. Overall contribution of revenue from regulated markets is 76%. Focus on Ibuprofen derivatives and incremental capacities in high margin products.

  5. The CRAMS & Polymer business will be named as Synthix Global Pharma Solutions Ltd.

  6. Regarding the Ibuprofen issue management explained that there is presently excess capacity in India coming from new plants with newer technologies. And the routes of synthesis for these players are far more efficient.

  7. The pricing that currently prevails in the market is less than the Cos manufacturing costs and hence investing WC in a biz which does not add value makes no sense. Also adapting newer technologies in the Ibuprofen business would lead to big regulatory changes in their clients files and given the Co wants to retain 100% of them investing more is prohibitive at this time.

  8. Regarding Ibuprofen derivatives the Co is making headway. And Ibuprofen including derivatives is less than 45% of the Co’s revenue.

  9. CRAMS and Polymer business GM is 65% whereas API business is around 53-55%. That is if the Co does not have to sell more plain Ibuprofen.

  10. EBITDA margins can be around 20% in the next 2 years.

  11. While the Co will reduce capital allocation to the P&L of Ibuprofen it by no means wants to exit the business.

  12. The Co’s CDMO business is more in the line of contract manufacturing of complex drugs rather than mfg of patented drugs for innovator companies. Its a small business for the Co likely to the tune of ₹100 Crs

  13. The finance costs is expected to reduce by 200 bps in FY26.

  14. The Vizag plant is being planned to use for the CRAMS business but Co stated thatvit cannot be fully used for CRAMS. They will revert once specifics of the scheme are in place.

  15. Interest cost for the year is expected to be 85 crores

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Promoter entity bought about 4% shares worth ~ 90 Crs. from open market on 16-Jun-2025.

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My notes from the earnings call for Q1’FY26

  • Management seeing first green shoots of growth
  • Current focus is to Optimize Cost, Network and Operational Efficiency
  • Management in parallel is seeding new markets and new customers-This will take 8-10 quarters to playout
  • There is a pricing pressure on Ibuprofin business. The share of Ibuprofin revenue reduced from 50% to 30%. Company focussing more the Ibuprofin derivatives to protect the margins
  • Current capacity utilization-60%
  • Polymer and Crams Business
  1. Currently size around 100 Cr. The growth for FY26 is expected to be tepid
  2. Ramping up will take about 3-4 years time
  3. 200 Cr. debt would be push down to this business
  4. Potential to grow to 400-500 Cr business in 3-4 years. For that about 200 Cr Capex would be needed
  5. There will have to be fund infusion in this business given the smaller size

My impression is - The growth during FY26 and probably in FY27 is likely to be un-impressive. However the margins and balance sheet clean up will be focus for next 6-8 quarters

Disc-Invested. May lighten some part of the position to invest where there is going to be more excitement during FY26 and FY27 i.e. Laurus

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Did some research on Solara’s DMF Filings as a slightly more technical eq research experiment. I thought I could share my findings here for feedback.

API (polymer/binder class) Notes
Sevelamer Carbonate (polyallylamine resin) Hypophosphatemia binder; manufactured at Cuddalore.
Sevelamer Hydrochloride (polyallylamine resin) Same class as carbonate; Cuddalore facility.
Colesevelam HCl (cross-linked poly(allylamine) bile-acid sequestrant) Anti-hyperlipidemic polymer resin.
Colestipol (polymeric bile-acid sequestrant) Hypercholesterolemia polymer resin.
Patiromer Sorbitex Calcium (cross-linked polymer potassium binder) Anti-hyperkalemia polymer; Cuddalore facility.
Sodium Zirconium Cyclosilicate (insoluble ion-exchange framework; often grouped with polymer binders operationally) Inorganic lattice (not a polymer), used similarly as a K⁺ binder.

I found Patiromer Sorbitex Calcium to be the most interesting, primarily because it has:

  • High barrierers in terms of chemistry: it’s a cross-linked, water-swellable ion-exchange polymer made via tightly controlled suspension polymerization; you must hit very narrow specs for particle-size distribution, cross-link density, swelling, and potassium-exchange capacity. Small drifts wreck performance.
  • Complex finishing & counter-ion loading: the calcium–sorbitol counter-ion step, multi-stage washing to strip residual monomers/crosslinker, bioburden/endotoxin control, and low-temp drying that preserves bead morphology make scale-up non-trivial.
  • Few qualified suppliers & newer market: unlike sevelamer/colesevelam/colestipol (mature, widely generic), patiromer still has limited approved sources, so regulatory/process know-how is a real moat and margins tend to be better.

Along with a a generally wide Usecase:

  • Chronic hyperkalemia control in CKD (stages 3–5) and heart-failure patients. Lowers serum K⁺ over hours.
  • RAASi enablement/maintenance: lets clinicians start, keep, or up-titrate ACEi/ARB/ARNI/MRA (incl. spironolactone/finerenone) without recurrent K⁺ spikes.
  • Outpatient stabilization / post-discharge: reduces ED revisits by keeping K⁺ in range after an acute episode; sometimes used after a fast-onset agent (e.g., SZC) as the maintenance binder.
  • Dialysis-adjacent CKD (select cases): helps between sessions or in peritoneal dialysis.

The treatment of chronic hyperkalemia is a growing niche within nephrology and cardiology. New potassium binders like patiromer sorbitex calcium (brand Veltassa) and sodium zirconium cyclosilicate (brand Lokelma) have expanded the market beyond older resins (e.g. SPS/Kayexalate). In 2024, the global hyperkalemia treatment market was valued around $719 million, and it is forecasted to surge to ~$2.9 billion by 2032 (22.6% CAGR). Growth is driven by the rising prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) (estimated ~850 million cases worldwide and increased use of RAAS-inhibitor drugs in heart failure/CKD, which often precipitate hyperkalemia. Hyperkalemia affects an estimated 3.7 million people in the US alone with especially high incidence in advanced CKD (up to ~26% of CKD patients experience hyperkalemia). Patiromer is indicated for maintaining safe potassium levels in CKD and heart failure patients who need to remain on RAAS therapies, addressing an important unmet need in these populations.

Now, I was looking into key players in terms of API Suppliers, and to my knowledge, relatively few manufacturers have the know-how to produce patiromer at scale. Two known companies have already filed US Drug Master Files (DMFs) for patiromer API: Formosa Laboratories (Taiwan) and Solara Active Pharma (India). Formosa filed a US DMF (#32966) in June 2019, and Solara filed its DMF (#33634) in March 2019 – both DMFs are active and GDUFA certified complete. Unimark and Maithri may have developed patiromer as well.

On the formulation/brand side, CSL Vifor Pharma (formerly Vifor, which acquired Relypsa) is the sole marketer of Veltassa globally. Veltassa (patiromer powder packets) was first approved by the US FDA in 2015 and in Europe in 2017, and Vifor has since launched it in major markets (including a partnership with Zeria Pharma to market Veltassa in Japan). As of 2021, Veltassa’s global net sales were ~CHF 114 million (~$125M), indicating a moderate uptake (sales have been somewhat flat due to competition from AstraZeneca’s Lokelma and reimbursement hurdles). No generic version is on the market yet as patents remain in force. However, at least one generic challenger has emerged: India’s Alkem Laboratories filed a Paragraph IV ANDA in 2019 (on the first day eligible) to produce generic patiromer. Vifor (Relypsa) sued Alkem in early 2020, and the case was settled – Alkem/Ascend have secured tentative FDA approval but are enjoined from launching until the agreed-upon date (likely near patent expiry). Also Lupin and Cipla as pursuing generic Veltassa for the post-2030 period.

Patiromer has been part of Solara’s pipeline for a few years. The company filed 9 DMFs in FY2019, one of which was patiromer, marking its entry into this high-value API. Since then, Solara has likely been engaging in scale-up and validation of the manufacturing process. In investor communications, Solara’s management has occasionally referenced its polymer products. For instance, a discussion with analysts (Aug 2025) alluded to Solara’s “polymer-based APIs” being housed in the main API business post a demerger – confirming patiromer remains a focus molecule for the standalone Solara entity. Solara’s FY23 Annual Report explicitly states: “We have developed a portfolio of polymer medicines, including … Patiromer… We achieve this by collaborating with innovator companies in the CRAMS segment.”. This is a significant disclosure: it suggests that Solara is already working with innovator(s) under CRAMS (Contract Research and Manufacturing Services) for patiromer. It is quite possible that Solara has been supplying patiromer (or intermediates) to Vifor or its contractors as a second-source supplier. Such collaboration could be in the form of providing R&D quantities for formulation development or even trial batches. If true, this means Solara is already generating some revenue from patiromer (even if modest), and more importantly, it validates Solara’s quality – the innovator accepting Solara as a partner implies Solara’s patiromer meets stringent specs.

I think the immediate commercial impact or potential is limited, give this is likely a 5-8 year play, but I thought it was worth exploring. I will be attempting to value and understand the other molecules before making more a judgement, given that I know little about the chemistry and reality behind these molecules!

I’m not sure if something like this is suitable for this forum, but it was an enjoyable experience. Please correct any mistakes I may have made.

The real beauty of equity investing lies in the depth of learning it forces upon you—each company opens a new world of thought. Over time, that specialized knowledge compounds, becoming transferable across industries and valuable far beyond markets themselves.

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They will be part of the spinoff right? all the polymer bases apis will be in crams vertical

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