Route Mobile - Internet, Mobile & Telecom

Twilio just reported quarterly results for March 2022. Revenue growth at 48%.


Organic Revenue Growth is at 35%

Full report here.

Takeaways for me:

  • This industry has tremendous tailwinds. There is plenty of White Space in this industry.
  • Twilio is down 72% from its high.
    • 75% P/S derating down to 7 from 28. De-Frothing.
  • Route is down 33%.
    • 45% P/S derating down to 5.8 from 11.2
  • Business momentum remains strong, valuations not so.
  • What is needed for Route: Good revenue growth along with reasonable margin expansion (RM has low GM). Execution is key.
  • What can help Route
    • Organic growth of 25 to 30%
    • Send clean momentum, this is a very high margin business
    • Mr. Messaging, is slightly margin accretive, will add to revenues
    • Masivian, good growth momentum
  • Route has so far made good use of the equity capital raised in acquiring companies & tech. Management is walking the talk so far.
  • What can go wrong
    • Low growth
    • Margin contraction
    • Poor M&A Integration

Disc: Not an investment advice, RM is a significant part of my portfolio.

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