Premier Explosives

The Pinaka opportunity is 2800cr (all incl, not for PEL only), which appears sizeable.

Will brahmos be similar…?

Could someone help on the size of NIPUN mines oppurtunity?

Regarding Chaffs and flares, in the previous concall, it was indicated that the subsequent orders may max upto 20% of the current order, on an annual basis, to cover for IAF expenditure on trg and replacement of expired inv…current indication of rs 300cr per year is really stretched IMHO

Export potential…further development in this would be interesting (we are importing niche def products from israel, supplying to them is an achievement, and indication of increasing queries, incl from Europe, if results in orders, would be a kicker)…and could bring exciting legs for the biz

They dont require any capex for exec of the current and future orderbook…should keep expenses in check.

Invested and biased…looking at the next 6 qtr

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Nipun Mines:

  • The DRDO refers to Nipun mines—anti-personnel mines created and built locally—as “soft target blast munition.” The purpose of anti-personnel mines is the same as that of anti-tank mines, which are intended to target heavy vehicles.
  • These mines are meant to act as the first line of defense against infiltrators and enemy infantry.
  • They are smaller in size and can be deployed in large numbers.

As per recent concall, Nipun mines is premier explosives product (Refer to concall dated 31.10.2023) and company had an order of Rs 40 cr. Bulk production of Nipun mines has started, and the first instalment of these will be offered from pre-dispatch inspection in the fourth quarter of FY’24

Thanks…thats really helpful
This is one big bulk reqmt and 40Cr should be just a start. May be a recurring annual reqmt…or rather will certainly be.

A little bit of correction here.

  • FY24 revenue will be 300cr +/- 10%. So 270-330cr as per management.
  • Order book might be 100cr less as there might be some mismatch due to GST even though mentioned in presentation that order book is excluding GST
  • FY25 600 cr is a possibility not a guidance

Other points to add:

  • Tax to be 25%.
  • Industrial explosives prices are decreasing each year

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The management has proposed a plan to raise funds. What can be the requirement for such fund raise, given that the company has enough capacity?
There was also an earlier notification for an in-principle approval for capex in Orissa of 864 crores.

Can someone share their thoughts on these actions of the company?

The Rs 864cr capex plan is spread into three stages and is a ten-year plan, as directed by the MD.
High defense explosives would be the focus of the first phase (Investment required Rs 200cr approx.), with ammunition and propellants taking up the next two. Phase 1 will begin right away and is anticipated to be completed by the end of FY25.

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Is this information published somehwere by the management?

Here is the link:

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Stock Split 1:5
Fund Raise: Rs 400cr

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Management always gives very high order book projections but it doesn’t seem to reflect in the revenues. Did anyone notice this? Below I have copied promoter’s statement from the last conference call.

‘’‘In terms of order inflow and backlogs, we started financial year ‘24 with
an order book of almost Rs 521 Crores and as it peaks, the new orders of Rs 760 Crores in the year till end of March 2024. Our current outstanding order
book stands at approximately Rs 964 Crores, a strong growth of 85% year-on-
year and translates into 3.6x of our Financial Year 2024 revenue.’’’

If they had an order book of 521 crores last year, and still it translates to only 272 Crores of revenue then it doesn’t make sense to make any use of the order book projections. Even if we remove the GST part from the 521 Crores number still a lot of the orders have spilled over to next year taking the order book to 964 Crores.

Now why 964 Crores number is insignificant is because the company hasn’t told us by when these orders need to or will be executed, if these will get executed in 3 years’ time then it doesn’t translate to a significant revenue growth which can lead to P/E re-rating. If someone has any idea by when is the management aiming to execute these orders and by when the customers will be billed and the amount will translate to revenue, it would be very helpful if they could share these details.

They have specified the timeline during earnings calls. During Q4, they have mentioned its to be executed over 2 years. Earlier during Q2 call too, they had specified the timeline for various key orders.


Q4 call

Thanks for sharing the snippets. In that case if execution happens in time, we should see a huge uptick in revenues.

Premier Explosives Q1FY25 Concall Summary

Business Updates

  • Going forward will receive regular orders from the Ministry of Defense of similar quantity as received in last quarter
  • Current order book stands at Rs 900 crore translating to 3x of last year revenues
  • The company has received clearance from Odisha government to setup a facility with a total investment of Rs 864 crores over next 10 years in three phases
  • The company has entered into manufacturing of mines and ammunition which is now to be manufactured in the domestic sector instead of being imported
  • The improved cash flows will be utilized to strengthen the balance sheet

Participants

White Pine Investment Management

Arihant Capital Markets

Mount Intra Finance Pvt.

ICICI Sec

Systematix Group

RN Associates

Fairvalue Capital

QnA

  • The delivery of shafts got delayed due to the Red Sea crisis which led to delivery in raw material coming to the company and delivery should happen by September
  • The execution has been good in the last three months and there was no significant order inflow in last three months leading to run down of unexecuted order book
  • The annualized EBITDA margins should stay in the range of 18%
  • For Brahmos Missile government is going to look at export and the company has also supplied material to Bharat Dynamics for Aakash missile which too is being looked at export market
  • The company has absorbed DRDO technology for mines and ammunition grenades and this will reflect post one year into the revenues of the company
  • The asset turnover from the Odisha facility should be 3-4 times
  • In the coming five years the annualized revenue run rate should be Rs 1000 crores
  • The Odisha facility should add revenues of close to Rs 500-600 crores over the next 4-5 years
  • The SSLV program needs a lot of capital investments and the returns on these investments also need to be looked at. Though the company is qualified it will be looked at in the future
  • There is no consistency in the business, as revenues cannot be predicted on a quarterly basis. As per RFP the company participates and on winning the orders the company gets revenue
  • Untill last year the company was coming under MAT which will no longer be the case as all the carry forward losses have finished and taxes will range at 23% going forward
  • The export revenues contribute around 25% of the total revenues and going forward this run rate and atleast around 20% of revenues should be maintained from exports. There is no dilution of margins in the export business. It is similar to domestic business
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8356e45b-761b-4866-baff-38779f5b29da.pdf (4.1 MB)

The management stated that, “The 100% requirement of propellants and energetics flows to Premier Explosives because as on date, we are the only qualified source.”
As per company:

  • The outstanding order book stands at Rs. 750 crores forming 1.8x of Financial Year 2025 revenue.
  • During the quarter, execution of old orders has paved the way for bidding and securing larger high value orders from the Ministry of Defense, the Indian defense industry and international defense entities.
  • They have also stated that In Q4Financial Year '25, they received orders from various entities such as BrahMos Aerospace Private Limited for propellant casting and assembly of BrahMos Ramos boosters and various overseas clients for design and development of rocket motors and supply of defense explosives which are under different stages of execution.
  • Coming to future outlook, Premier is the only Indian Company qualified to manufacture countermeasures and specializes in exporting fully assembled rocket motors. Along with rocket motors, it also manufactures and exports warheads, mines and ammunition under the Atmanirbhar Bharat initiative. With the Ministry of Defense promoting domestic production and reducing imports, this policy supports Premier’s growth by driving local manufacturing.The revenue from operations for Q4 FY ‘25 stands at Rs. 74.1 crores as compared to 86.8 crores in Q4 FY ’24which shows a de-growth of 14.6% year-on-year. Our operating profit for Q4, '25 stands at Rs. 9.6 crores as compared to Rs. 15.1 crores in Q4, FY '24. The operating margins for the quarter stand at 12.9%. We reported a net profit of Rs. 3.7 crores compared to Rs. 6.6 crores in Q4 FY '24.
  • The revenue from FY ‘25 stands at Rs. 417.5 crores as compared to Rs. 271.7 crores in FY ‘24 translating a growth of 54% year-on-year. Operating profit, FY ‘25 stands at Rs. 58 crores as compared to Rs. 58.5 crores in FY ‘24. The operating margins stood at 13.9% in FY ‘25. The net profitin FY ‘25 stood at Rs. 28.6 crores compared to Rs. 28.1 crores in FY ‘24.
  • The Company’s current order book stands at Rs. 750 crores, out of which the defense segment order is majority of Rs. 610 crores, which is equal to 81% of the total order book. Explosives segment stands at Rs. 73 crores, and the service segment which is operational and maintenance service segment stands at Rs. 67 crores.
  • The total order book of Rs. 750 crores, which is, of course, the period of this is expected to be executed in a period of 18 months. Out of this, 100 crores are of export and balance is domestic.
  • Order inflow guidance for FY ‘26 is expected to be maintained at 800 crores.
  • About the accident that happened in a large mixing plant, propellant mixing building, where the building has totally collapsed and the equipment also damaged the mixer. And the cause for the accident is being investigated. We have two facilities, Katepalli and Peddakundukur, for propellant manufacturing. So, most of the tactical missiles and all those are produced at Peddakundukur facility and also we have a parallel line at Katepalli for doing it. So, the only area which can get affected is the large diameter rocket motors, which is supplied to ASL and ISRO. The total revenue from this is expected to be Rs. 25 crores to Rs. 30 crores of the total revenue. So that there will be effect on that amount.
  • As far as financial impact is concerned, we are fully insured.
  • The company attributed the fall in revenue for the order to the vagaries of orders. However, “our total turnover is higher than the previous year turnover of Rs. 271 crores. This is the highest turnover in the Company’s history.”
  • Our target is Rs. 600 crores of revenue for the current financial year and expect to reach Rs. 1,000 crore turnover by 2030. And EBITDA margin is between 18% to 20% is our future.
  • The company tried to shrug off late delivery charges. It did not rebut the statement from an investor that "due to these LD charges, that EBITDA margin dropped down significantly from that level to currently around 12.9%."Unless the delays are caused by force majeure it really doesn’t reflect well on execution efficiency.
  • “We have only one order in which we have LD. So, when we are executing that order, there will be a reduction of 15%. So, that also we are requesting them to reverse it and give it back to us. So, that effort is also going on. Otherwise, only on particular order, there will be 15%. Otherwise, rest of the order, there is no LD.” The company lost 35 cr in total, not an insignificant amount, due to LD.
  • As for *MRSAM, we have order of more than 500 numbers from BDL. BDL is the only integrating agency and Premier is the only propellant supplying agency. Only thing is, we are dependent on the hardware as FIM from BDL. Right now they are providing us around 30 numbers per month hardware. So, whatever filling propellant and then delivering back.
  • Medium Range Surface - To - Air Missile (MRSAM) is a high response, quick reaction, vertically launched supersonic missile, designed to neutralize enemy aerial threats – missiles, aircraft, guided bombs, helicopters.
  • There is also a significant increase in payables and inventory. Last year turnover was Rs. 271 crores. This year it is Rs. 417 crores. Turnover has also gone up. Accordingly, inventories have also gone up. The increase in payables is almost close to 10x.
  • We are not working directly with Philippines. We are exporting industrial explosives to Thailand and Philippines. Not the defense.

PS: I have just started reading the concall of Solar. One gets entirely different vibes. While Premier Explosives management appears on the defensive all the time, the Solar team is buoyant.

Disclaimer: Have made a small investment in Premier Explosives. May shift to Solar.

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I was invested in this stock before split and already made good money. Now I’ve reduced my position significantly as found some points which didn’t give me confidence to hold this any longer. Below are the points.

  1. 2 fire related incidents in a span of 2 months in Telangana plant. 3-4 deaths in these incidents. State government ordered closure of this plant. Although this plant contributes little to the revenues, still expecting some impact on financials.

  2. No news on MoU with Astra Microwave for joint sale of products.

  3. They’ve formed a JV with Nibe for joint manufacturing of defence products. However, Nibe itself is a shady company and there are many posts on Valuepickr about redflags in this company. Did they not do any background check about Nibe before entering into JV.

I hardly have very less shares of the company now.

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Detailed Notes with Commentary and Actionable Insights: Premier Explosives Limited Q1 FY '26 Conference Call

I. Document Overview

Nature: Transcript of the Conference Call hosted by Stellar IR Advisors Private Limited for Premier Explosives Limited (PEL).

Date of Call: August 13, 2025.

Purpose: Discussion pertaining to the company’s financial results for the first quarter ended June 30, 2025.

Key Management Present: Mr. T.V. Chowdary (Managing Director) and Mr. Vijay Kumar (Chief Financial Officer).

Disclaimer: The call contains forward-looking statements based on the company’s beliefs, opinions, and expectations as of the date, which are not guarantees of future performance and involve unforeseen risks and uncertainties.

II. Q1 FY '26 Financial Performance Highlights

Revenue from Operations: INR 142.1 crores, marking a strong growth of 72% year-on-year (YoY) and 92% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ).

Commentary: This indicates a significant acceleration in the company’s top-line growth, especially compared to previous periods.

Operating Profit (EBITDA): INR 20.9 crores, growing 35% YoY and 118% QoQ.

Operating Margin: Stood at 14.7%.

:black_small_square: Commentary/Actionable Insight: A participant noted a 4% drop in EBITDA margin YoY. Management attributed this to most defense products being dispatched in the next quarter and valuing stock at cost or market value, whichever is lower. They expect margins to improve from Q2 FY '26 onwards. This suggests that Q1 may have had a temporary impact due to inventory valuation and timing of dispatches. Investors should monitor Q2 margins for the anticipated recovery.

Net Profit (PAT): INR 15.3 crores, showing a substantial growth of 110% YoY and 314% QoQ.

PAT Margin: Stood at 10.8%.

Cash Profit: INR 18.2 crores generated in Q1 FY '26.

Key Driver for Revenue and Margin Improvement: Higher contribution from the Defense and Space segment, which accounted for 86% of the revenue in Q1 FY '26, up from below 80% previously.

Commentary: This shift towards the higher-margin Defense segment is a positive trend for profitability.

Outstanding Order Book: INR 988.5 crores as of June 30, 2025.

Significance: This represents 2.4 times the financial year 2025 revenue.

Segment Split:

:black_small_square: Defense segment: INR 860 crores (87% of total).

:black_small_square: Explosives segment: INR 69 crores (7% of total).

:black_small_square: Service segment (Operational & Maintenance): INR 59 crores (6% of total).

Commentary/Actionable Insight: The strong and growing order book, heavily skewed towards the high-margin Defense segment, provides excellent revenue visibility and confidence in future growth trajectory.

III. Operational Status & Challenges

Fire and Explosion Incident (Katepally Village, Telangana): Occurred on April 29th, 2025, in one of the 61 production buildings (big solid propellant mixer unit).

Impact: Did not have a material impact on overall operations, but the propellant plants remain under suspension as a regulatory measure.

Regulatory Action: Pollution Control Board temporarily directed the plant shutdown.

Resolution Expectation: Actively engaging with authorities to obtain necessary clearances within a few weeks. The propellant plant is expected to start within 1 month.

Financial Impact of Suspension: Approximately INR 20 crores over 2 years.

Insurance: Facilities are fully insured, and the company anticipates receiving the insurance claim in the coming months.

Reconstruction: The building that collapsed will take 2 years to reconstruct.

Status of Other Plants: The two manufacturing facilities in Katepally and Peddakandukur (high explosives, warheads, ammunition) are already functioning and producing.

Commentary/Actionable Insight: While the incident caused a temporary setback to the propellant plant and an estimated financial impact, management indicates it’s contained, insured, and other key operations are back online. The expected restart of the propellant plant within a month is positive. Investors should monitor the actual timeline for clearance and the receipt of insurance claims.

Chaffs and Flares Order: 62% executed so far, with the balance 38% (approximately INR 180 crores) to be completed by December 2025 or March 2026 (before financial year-end).

Penalties (LD): The company is already at the maximum 15% penalty slab, so no further penalties are expected.

Waiver/Share: Application for waiver of Liquidated Damages (LD) is pending with the Ministry, with positive results expected before March 2026. The company is also working with its vendor to share the LD.

Impact on Margins: Once executed, an uptick in margins is anticipated.

Commentary/Actionable Insight: The completion of this order and potential waiver of penalties could further boost margins in subsequent quarters. Monitoring the outcome of the waiver application is relevant.

IV. Strategic Outlook & Growth Drivers

“Atmanirbhar Bharat” Initiative: The Ministry of Defense’s promotion of domestic production and reduction of imports directly supports PEL’s growth by driving local manufacturing.

Core Competencies/Specializations:

◦ Only Indian company qualified to manufacture countermeasures.

◦ Specializes in exporting fully assembled rocket motors.

◦ Also manufactures and exports warheads, mines, and ammunition.

Market Focus: Focused on becoming a key player in both domestic and export markets.

Emergency Procurement Orders: Actively participating in emergency procurement orders.

RFPs in Pipeline: Participated in approximately INR 700 crores worth of RFPs .

Commentary: Even securing a portion of these RFPs would significantly boost the company. While defense orders take time to mature (5-6 months even for emergency procurement), this indicates a strong potential pipeline.

Revenue Guidance for FY '26: Stands by the previously indicated turnover of INR 600 crores .

Commentary/Actionable Insight: This guidance implies continued robust growth from the Q1 FY '26 revenue of INR 142.1 crores.

V. Capex Plans & Funding

Odisha Plant (Greenfield):

Products: Ammunition, warheads, and raw materials like HTPB.

Phases: Divided into 3 phases.

Status: At a nascent stage; land identification by the Odisha government is in process, which may take up to a year. Planning and design will start after land acquisition.

Capex:

:black_small_square: Phase 1 (initial and infrastructure development): Around INR 100 crores .

:black_small_square: Total Capex (over 10 years, across 3 phases): Around INR 800 crores .

Commentary/Actionable Insight: This long-term, substantial capex plan indicates a significant growth ambition and future capacity expansion. The timeline for land acquisition is a key determinant for the project’s progression.

Katepally Plant Capacity Enhancement:

Areas: RDX, HMX, and integration of rockets.

Timeline: Immediate. RDX plant expansion has already started and is expected to come into production before December 2025 .

Capex for RDX Plant: Approximately INR 25 crores .

Commentary: This shorter-term capex for existing facilities will provide quicker returns and operational boosts.

Fundraise Plans: Looking for either QIP (Qualified Institutional Placement) or preference issue.

Amount: INR 300 crores .

Purpose: Primarily for capex (around INR 200 crores) and the balance for repayment of term loans and general corporate purposes. Also includes INR 50 crores for a JV payment.

Timeline for Results: New investments are expected to start yielding results in FY '26-'27.

Commentary/Actionable Insight: The fundraise is critical for supporting the ambitious capex plans and strengthening the balance sheet. Successful completion of the fundraise will be a positive trigger.

VI. Joint Ventures & Partnerships

JV with Global Munitions Limited: Formed Global Premier Limited .

Proposed Manufacturing: RDX, HMX, rocket motors, energetic materials, propellants, and warhead filling.

Status: In early stages, assessing total investment needed. Land is under acquisition.

Expected Contribution: Will take at least 1 more year to get licenses and start trial production.

MOU with Astra Micro Products: No significant development.

Commentary/Actionable Insight: The JV with Global Munitions appears to be a strategic move to broaden product offerings and capacities, aligning with PEL’s focus on energetic materials and rocket motors. Its contribution is a medium-term prospect.

VII. Specific Product & Segment Discussions

PETN: Produced and consumed for self-consumption (detonating fuse, cast boosters). Also sold and exported to international buyers. The company was one of the first to manufacture PETN in India in 1985.

Commentary: Clarifies that PETN is not largely imported, and PEL has a long history and capabilities in this area.

Explosives Business (Mining): Expecting growth, but it won’t compete with the Defense segment due to fierce competition and reverse auctions leading to lower prices.

Current Supply: Not supplying bulk explosives to Coal India, but supplying to Singareni Collieries and recently won a tender for accessories. Expected to participate in bulk explosives tenders later in the calendar year.

Commentary: Management prioritizes higher-margin defense business over low-margin bulk explosives, which is a prudent strategy.

QRSAM (Quick Reaction Surface-to-Air Missile): PEL is the qualified source for the propellant of QRSAM, meaning any QRSAM production (by BDL or BEL) will require propellant from PEL.

Timeline: Expected to go into FY '27.

Commentary: This positions PEL as a critical supplier for a key domestic defense program, ensuring a steady revenue stream once production scales.

VIII. Other Financial Notes

Other Income: Increased significantly due to the reversal of a previously recognized loss provision on some long-term contracts that are no longer expected to incur losses.

Clarification: Not related to the LD charge for chaffs and flares.

Commentary: This one-time gain contributed to the strong Q1 results.


Overall Actionable Insights for Stakeholders:

  1. Monitor Defense Segment Performance: The strong shift towards the high-margin Defense and Space segment is a key driver for PEL’s profitability. Continued high contribution from this segment will be crucial for sustained growth.

  2. Watch Capex Execution and Fundraise: The ambitious capex plans, particularly for the Odisha plant, are long-term growth enablers. Successful fund-raising (INR 300 crores) and timely execution of capex (e.g., RDX plant by Dec 2025) are critical.

  3. Track Propellant Plant Reopening: The restart of the suspended propellant plant, anticipated within a month, is important for full operational capacity.

  4. Observe Chaffs and Flares Order Completion: The completion of the remaining INR 180 crores of this order, along with the outcome of the LD waiver application, could provide an additional boost to margins.

  5. Evaluate RFP Conversion: The participation in INR 700 crores worth of RFPs represents a significant pipeline. Conversion of these bids into firm orders will provide further growth visibility.

  6. Understand JV Progress: The Global Premier Limited JV is a future growth avenue. Monitoring its progress, especially land acquisition and licensing, will indicate its potential contribution.

  7. Long-Term View: Given the nature of defense contracts and large-scale projects like the Odisha plant, PEL requires a long-term investment perspective.

  8. Risk Awareness: The forward-looking statements carry inherent risks and uncertainties, as explicitly stated by management. Recent safety incidents (e.g., the fire and the unfortunate loss of life outside the process building) highlight operational risks, even if management considers their financial impact limited

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