Pitti Engineering Limited: Is it on an inflection point?

Hi there, thanks for your kind words! I am glad you found my notes helpful.

This industry is highly fragmented, but Pitti is indeed a market leader in the organized lamination and machining. Currently, they have 8% market share as the management notified in the last concall, but they aspire to take it to 10-12% in coming years as they add more capacity (72000 tonne max volume, total market size is 500,000 tonne). Pitti competes with a lot of player in a few parts of the value chain (like sheet metal, machining, tool shop), but according to the management, no competitor does the complete value addition. Next competitor is half the size of Pitti. Please refer to the following concall snippet for understanding the competitive landscape.

Management also claims that is there is not a single facility in India that makes shaft machine components, fabricated components and sheet metal (value chain of the motor assy). Trend is customers are moving towards suppliers that are moving up the value chain like Pitti because they want to simplify and consolidate the supply chain.

Management also says that lamination and casted components used in motors made in India are 40-45% cheaper than China

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Tempel Steel: Second largest in India (18000 tons current capacity in FY23)
Magcore, Capston: All in the range of 8000-10000 tons.

As far as the moats are concerned, Pitti management claims to have the following competitive advantages:

  1. High library of products used in the value chain. Company claims to have 5000 products active for the clients and adding 5-10 new products every year. Any new entrant has to develop 5000 or more products to keep up.

  1. ‎Lengthy Approval Process by the clients: Takes 4-5 years for the clients to get a new vendor approved that too per product basis.

  1. Company has their own tool shop, their machine shop, mfg facility. One stop shop for all the operations to create finished goods. This helps in achieving good quality, better cost, less issues with dealing multiple vendors for the clients. A new player has to do all the value chain operations under one roof which is quite cost intensive.

  2. Economies of scale: All other players are pretty small in terms of volume. Second player is at 18k tons capacity while Pitti is at 32000, planning to go to 58k (80% of 72k tonne volume)

Hope this helps!

Disc: Invested, so I have vested interest in this company.

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Am invested 10% of portfolio in this stock…

  • One of the cap good stock that has not gone insane in valuation in this bull market , even though have appreciated a lot …

  • it is a tier 3 company, [but a market leader in its segment] with absolutely no pricing power …

  • Till the time cap goods sector grows ( siemens, abb etc) , this should grow fine… Fy25 should be a big one in earnings considering capex completion in fy24… but not sure on way forward beyond that

  • being a cyclical … i cannot invest beyond 10% … When to get rid of this (AT the peak) is the real challenge

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Two-year NSE daily chart of Pitti Engineering Limited.

From May 2021 to Aug 2022, the price moved in an upward channel. Now the lower band of that channel (if extended) will act as resistance. So the current rise is likely to face resistance at 460-470 levels. If that level is breached from below, the price may again move in the same channel. Real rise will come, if the upper band is also breached.

Disclosure: I have a long-term view of this company that is nearly a decade. I am heavily invested from 30-40 levels. Not investing at current levels.

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Here is a link to the 2022-23 Annual Report of Pitti Engineering Limited.

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One thing that I have noticed in Pitti’s concalls is that Chairman Mr. Sharad Pitti is never present in concalls and VC Akshay Pitti answers all the questions. Other senior management personnel are there just sitting, and nothing else. I have very strong opinions about this and feel the company is insulting those senior management leaders by not letting them speak and using them like a showpiece. Would like to get opinions of other members here.

Disclaimer - Invested and re-evaluating the business

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Results

Q1 FY24 concall :.
Shouldn’t look at revenue for the Co, as it depends on raw material prices
Ebidta / ton is moving upwards with more share of assembled products
80% of 72000 ton capacity to be used up by FY26
Co. Doesn’t want to make full motor. But looking for opportunities in contract manufacturing
Current Co. Tonnage is 10k ton, q2 would be 11k and there onwards adding 500-600 ton for remaining 2 quarters
Export for renewable to start in q2.
Pitti casting merger to be completed by q1 next FY (fy 25)
Net debt is aroung 280cr, and Working capital is around 70 days
Opportunity for direct export to EU is opening up. Potential of 150-200 cr in next 2 yeras.

Disc : Invested
Not a comprehensive coverage of the concall. Please refer to concall record on company website

Concall link

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How is revenue related to Raw material prices

The company passes on increase /reduction in raw material prices to customers. So, revenue is Lowe when the raw material price is lower. But Ebidta / ton stays same, irrespective of the Raw material price

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Does this imply they don’t have pricing power? Even if they are getting raw material cheap , they can give to clients at constant price. Will improve margins?
Please correct me if I am wrong

This is in fact good. Margins doesn’t fluctuate much, unlike commodity businesses. Anyway company is increasing Ebidta/ ton as the revenue mix changes to more assembled products and also ramping up of Europe revenue in next 2 years

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Contract manufacturers do not have pricing power. A case in point is Dixon Technologies Limited. It is a contract manufacturer of televisions, washing machines, smartphones, LED bulbs, battens, downlighters and CCTV security systems for companies such as Samsung, Xiaomi, Panasonic and Philips. It has 17 manufacturing units in India. The PE of the company is over 100.
Management of Pitti Engineering Limited have also consciously decided to keep their margins low and stable. The rise in earnings will be through increase in volume. This is good for the health of the company.

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Hi sir,
Is this you?
Just started tracking from my side and found this in shareholding pattern.
The levels you mentioned in this post and the name and levels in SHP are similar. So asking.

Thanks,
Suresh

My notes of 21st August 2023 concall,

Financial Performance

  • Net revenue for the quarter: Rs. 290.71 crores (-6.54%).
  • Drop attributed to reduced raw material prices passed on to clients.
  • Achieved highest-ever quarterly EBITDA: Rs. 42.43 crores (+19.69% YoY).
  • Recorded highest quarterly volume: 9,958 metric tons.
  • Blended EBITDA per metric ton: Rs. 42,607.
  • Net profit surged to Rs. 13.97 crores (+19.3% YoY).
  • Net debt: Approximately Rs. 280 crores.
  • Working capital cycle: Around 70 days.

Capacity Utilization

  • Lamination utilization: 77.79%.
  • Machining utilization: 86.28%.

Order Book Breakup

  • Order book totals Rs. 799 crores.
  • Approximately Rs. 200 crores in long-term orders (executable beyond 12 months).
  • Balance of Rs. 600 crores executable within the next 12 months.

End-User Applicationwise Demand and Order Inflows

  • Indian Railways: Decline of 8.1%
  • Renewable Energy: Decline of 72.5%
  • Oil & Gas: Decline of 69.2%
  • Special Purpose Motors: Decline of 17.6%
  • Growth in Data Center Backup, Power Generation, and Others

Demand Environment

  • Strong demand across all end-user segments.
  • Revenue impact due to lower raw material prices passed on to clients.
  • Revenue mix varies by quarter based on end-user market demand.

Seasonality

  • No apparent seasonality observed in end-user applications.
  • Demand fluctuations based on market conditions.

Siemens Locomotive Order

  • Siemens received 1,200 locomotives of 9,000 HP from Indian Railways.
  • Pitti Engineering anticipates benefits but mentions Siemens is still in the design and contracting phase, so it’s too early to determine the impact.

Exports Revenue

  • Exports revenue at Rs. 92 crores, comprising 32% of total sales.
  • Core exports were railways and mining.
  • Emerging traction in marine and renewable energy applications, particularly in Europe.

CAPEX and Utilization

  • Brownfield expansion progress at Aurangabad and Hyderabad on track.
  • Current capacity: 50,200 tonnes.
  • Planned capacity expansion to 72,000 tonnes.
  • Anticipating over 80% utilization for both sheet metal and machining until new capacity is commissioned.
  • CAPEX plans remain intact, with slight adjustments if the merger is approved.
  • Capacity expansion to 72,000 tonnes is expected to come on stream between the end of this year and Q2 FY24.
  • Exponential growth in tonnage anticipated, potentially starting from FY25.
  • Annual sales target: 42,000 to 44,000 tonnes, utilizing some new capacities.
  • Focus on approvals and product development before aligning capacity additions.
  • CAPEX incurred during the quarter: Rs. 17 crores.
  • Total CAPEX for the next 15 months is around Rs. 220 crores.
  • Aim to complete CAPEX by Q2 FY25, including the shift of the Hyderabad facility to Aurangabad and modernization.

Growth Outlook for FY24 and FY25

  • Revenue top-line less crucial due to raw material price fluctuations.
  • Sales volume has increased every quarter, with the highest-ever sales volume recorded this quarter.
  • Sequential quarter-to-quarter growth of about 5% in volume.
  • Margins have reached a record high, with EBITDA per tonne around Rs. 42,000.
  • Post capacity expansion, EBITDA per tonne expected to reach Rs. 44,000 to Rs. 45,000 in the near future.

Growth Timeline

  • Run rate for this financial year: Around 44,000 tonnes
  • Annual target breakdown: 10,000 tonnes in Q1, 10,500 to 11,000 in Q2, with incremental increases in subsequent quarters.

EBITDA per Tonne Expansion Levers

1. Product Mix and Capacity Expansion

  • EBITDA per tonne blends sheet metal and machining business.
  • Machining capacity expansion outpaces lamination capacity.
  • Higher machining utilization results in a more value-added product mix, leading to increased EBITDA per tonne.

2. Automation and Labor Efficiency

  • New capacities are highly automated, reducing labor requirements.
  • Enhanced automation contributes to EBITDA expansion.

3. Economies of Scale

  • As the company grows, costs spread over higher tonnage, driving EBITDA expansion.

4. Product Mix Projection

  • Trending towards more assembled products.
  • Anticipates assembled products constituting over 80% of sales in the next 2 to 3 years (currently 70-75%).

5. Future of Lamination Business

  • Loose laminations will remain in the product mix.
  • Some applications require on-site assembly, and customer preferences also influence the mix.

6. Business Development in EV and Renewable Energy

  • Engaging with clients for European and North American renewable energy requirements.
  • Focusing on exports in the renewable energy sector.
  • Collaboration with automotive clients like Varroc and Dana for ICE and EV components.
  • Involvement in electric bus, two-wheeler, and three-wheeler components.

7. Merger with Pitti Castings

  • Papers submitted to stock exchanges and SEBI & Awaiting regulatory approval.
  • Timeline for completion expected towards the end of the current fiscal year or Q1 FY25.

Components Business Growth Outlook

  • Post-merger, the company anticipates a top-line revenue of approximately Rs. 300 crore from the components business
  • This growth target is expected to be achieved by FY25.

Competition and Imports

  • India typically doesn’t import laminations; however, it imports raw materials, such as electrical steel, from countries like China, Korea, and Japan.
  • The trend in India is shifting towards localized manufacturing of electrical steel.

Shift Towards Fully Assembled Products

  • The company envisions moving towards fully assembled products like motors or alternators.
  • Currently, there are no plans to start such products under the company’s brand, but contract manufacturing opportunities might be explored in the future.

Domestic and Export Mix

  • Initially expected domestic growth to outpace exports.
  • Recent order wins in the European market have balanced export sales growth with domestic.
  • Reduction in raw material prices expected to release working capital despite lower sales in rupees.

Volume Breakup between Aurangabad and Hyderabad

  • In the current quarter, they expect around 10,500 tonnes.
  • The distribution between Aurangabad and Hyderabad is expected to remain similar to the previous quarter.

Emerging Market Trends

  • European market opening up for larger assemblies.
  • Growth expected in the railway and non-railway machine components business.

Export Opportunities

  • Predominant opportunities in the marine and wind power sectors.
  • Indian companies gaining traction as European companies seek alternatives to China.
  • Potential to ramp up this business to approximately Rs. 150 crores within the next 2 years.

Market Size

  • Domestic European market size for laminations exceeds 400,000 to 500,000 tonnes per annum.
  • Exact volume sourced from China not disclosed.
  • Key segments in the European market include automotive, railways, and electric vehicles (EVs).
  • Both Indian and Chinese competitors are actively targeting the European market, seeking to provide laminations for various applications.

Current Market Share

  • Estimated to be approximately 10% of the total Indian market for electrical-motor and generator-related laminations.
  • Anticipating an increase to around 15% after the completion of CAPEX.
  • Total steel consumption for electrical-motor and generator-related laminations in India is around 700,000 metric tons.
  • Company’s consumption accounts for about 70,000 tonnes, or roughly 10% of the market.

Current Market Dynamics

  • Laminations are utilized across a wide range of applications in Europe, from off-the-shelf motors to specialized industrial components.
  • Established European brands like CG Power and Bharat Bijlee are presently comfortable importing laminations.

Company’s Strength

  • The company specializes in traction motor railways and industrial/commercial motors, which are not widely imported into Europe at present.
  • Initial inroads have been made in power generation and marine applications within the European market.

Competition and Scale

  • Multiple lamination manufacturers in India are vying for a share of the European market, with differences primarily in terms of scale.
  • Smaller manufacturers often focus on serving smaller customers and specialized applications, including special-purpose motors and renewables.

Growth Strategy

  • The company is strategically expanding its focus to encompass smaller industrial consumer applications within Europe.
  • Recent opportunities within the European market have yielded higher EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) per tonne compared to the company’s overall average.
  • The company aims to further extend its presence within the European industrial/commercial laminations market, capitalizing on the growing demand.

Value Addition

  • Current opportunities in Europe involve highly assembled components that incorporate shaft integration and various other machining processes, leading to an elevated EBITDA per tonne.
  • EBITDA per tonne for these opportunities surpasses the company’s average.
  • As the company expands into the industrial/commercial laminations market in Europe, it anticipates maintaining a favorable EBITDA per tonne relative to the Indian equivalent.
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Does anybody have access to the Phillip Capital report on Pitti Engineering?

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PITTI ENG- update

Future growth

1…Increasing value added products from commodity sheet
-Added 2000 products in last 4 yrs

2…Increasing Domestic business

3…Increasing customer diversification

4…Capex
Increased capacity

5…Strong industry tailwinds
-Railway@ 800 vande bharat by 2030
-EV business growth@49% cagr

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