ValuePickr Forum

Nithin's Portfolio

Dear Forum members and VP’s

Good Day,

I thank you for this forum site and to all respected members in this site who have contributed to the site to help in gaining insight’s and understanding about the markets and stocks.

Am an NRI and new to stock investing and come with an IT experience of 7 years.

Have been to stock investing since 2016 and had made loss during the recent fall of 2018.

My biggest problem is that I have being following moneycontrol and other news/message platforms to select stocks without knowing the usage/fundamentals on the growth/future prospectus, learnt my lessons the hard way.

For the past 1.5 years, I have been reading the site every day and to make sense of the markets and have restructured my portfolio.

Am still on a learning curve day to day and connecting the dots by reading company’s prospectus, reading AGM news, understanding the customer to market sentiments.

Specially thanks to Donald, Ayush, and Hitesh for site and their contribution.

OBJECTIVE :-

I would like to invest long term & generate good returns and would like to use this for kids education/future.

My Objective is to have CAGR of 15 to 20 percent. .

INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY:-

Invest around 15 to 20 stocks. Have a watch list of 10 stocks and shuffle during periodic evaluation…

Present portfolio 2019 and continuing to hold for next 5 years:

Stock Percentage of Allocation

Indian Hotels 10.02
Genus Paper & Bo 8.52
Bandhan Bank 7.24
Kitex Garments 6.77
Mayur Uniquoters 6.32
Yes Bank 5.2
Mirza International 4.78
Biocon 4.42
Hikal 4.04
Edelweiss.Fin. 3.98
CCL Products 3.64
Tata Metaliks 3.61
Premco Global 3.5
Trident 3.23
MMTC 3.21
L&T Fin.Holdings 3.11
Innovative Tech Pack Ltd 3.11
Bharat Electron 2.9
Shivalik Bimetal 2.66
IDFC First Bank 2.18
Sterlite Tech. 1.94
Ambuja Cem. 1.81
Suzlon Energy 1.71
M & M 1.47
Sanghi Inds. 1.45
Vikas Multicorp 0.79
Vikas Ecotech 0.52

INDIAN HOTELS: Stable earnings, future of India would be the welcoming destination to tourist and stay. Debts are getting reduced as well as borrowings, good flow of cash.

GENUS PAPER: Future Prospectus: Ban on plastics might have good growth story on the company. The company produces Kraft Paper used by packaging industry in making corrugated boxes and liners & MS Ignot use of ingots goes in Housing & Infrastructure sector, which have grown tremendously in next few years.

As per my understanding it will grow at rate of 9% CAGR and the company has plans to generate 1 million tonnes of paper in next 5 year and has entered into 2 non-binding MOU for setting up kraft paper plants with Government of UP & Maharashtra to invest 1650 crores for expansion.

Customers: LG, Samsung, Dabur, Whirlpool, Eveready, ABC paper, Moserbaer, Videocon, Khanna, Hindustan Levers Century Pulp & Paper, Onida…

STERLITE TECH: 5G Revolution with increasing numbers of people using smart phone and internet, I feel the company has lot of potential to grow with also having exposure to Chinese, US markets too.

VIKAS ECOTECH: Majority of PVC pipe is poisoning India’s drinking water, ban on lead stabilisers completely the company has good potential to grow as the company makes an entry into the world’s largest consumer of Organotins. VEL also has the technology to manufacture Calcium Zinc stabilisers. Profits are largely due to exports.

Also world no. 1 in tin metal production and export

IDFC FIRST: Merger with capital First, network and the new management.

BIOCON: Invested in Biocon since past 3 years and continue to hold, waiting to see the performance of the biologics as per the management as they are expecting to hit US 1$ billion by 2022

GRUH – BANDHAN BANK : Invested in GRUH 2 years back now has merged with BANDHAN and continuing to hold, Bandhan has good revenue’s and with high increase number of customer and very low NPA.

KITEX & MAYUR: This two stocks are quite famous and are world leader in consumer demands, I did go through the forum VP thread and Interested in buying due to consumer demands on accessories.

YES BANK: Got it recently added in the portfolio as per the 1.2 billion dollar news, if the binding offer is been accepted by the RBI. The bank has way to clear their books and start new growth.

MIRZA INTERNATIONAL: Exposure to overseas and Indian markets with current situation under creating the brand name in the minds of people. The brand play Red Tape, aggressively expanding and promoting for sales. Company is available at a cheap valuation and there is huge demand for branded footwear…

SHIVALIK BIMETALS: India getting ready for technological advancement, smart meters will advance. Inspired by Ayush Mittal. Order book looks promising going ahead with having orders from European countries and states in India.

Only company in the world for solar cell PV replacement product

Expansion in shunts and bimetals and expected to be completed by 2020.

BHARAT ELECTRONICS: A defensive bet with its growth and good valuation. The stock is undervalued and has more potential to grow. Drawback: should do well if government delivers its intent to make more and cut on imports.

AMBUJA CEMENTS: A technical buy at low level for understanding the stock. Am not sure why this stock has not been performing well as it had good reputation in the markets. Profits have increased for sep 2019 by 31%, low volatility, improved margin and operating income. Merger story with DIRK India a 100% percent subsidiary and maintained its progress on fossil fuel substitution with alternative fuels and renewable energy.

PREMCO GLOBAL Specialist for supplying elastics to big name brands, globally. Production. Expansion in Vietnam has been completed the company is back on track. Hanes are its major customers for the high revenue, company had done some discussions with Jockey but they have not got the deal yet, if they get the deal then it could be a potential turnaround story for this stock.

Exports in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Nepal

CCL: World’ largest instant coffee producer and their business strategy to do cost plus model is very good. The new expansion as well as entering slowly in B2C will definitely help the company to grow further.

SUZLON: A bad investment, had hopes for the management to clear the debts but resulted out there is no buyer and still awaiting for some positive news as this could be the future to the greener India and its biggest wind energy and a market leader.

Disappointment due to government too has not shown any interest yet.

HIKAL: Pharma and Agro business wherein the company has sorted out its forex issue, which was awaited since long time. The company posted loss this quarter due to floods and the stock had beaten down. The company were able to recover fast and get back on track.

TRIDENT: Company has huge debt and its cutting down every year, the company has good number of sales as well as profit posted for every quarter, the co focuses on terry towel, textile, yarn and wheat straw based paper. Going ahead stock would spilt to 10:1 ratio.

M&M : Good management, just that the auto sector had hit badly due to tax reforms the company was unable to generate good revenues, moving ahead with the story of EV am optimistic.

EDELWEISS: Very strong management with diversified business sectors, the management had very bad days due to DHFL. On the way to recover when out of 160 projects 10-20% gets completed and thereby unlocking the value

My portfolio is more largely on Medium to Small caps.

Am planning to exit some stocks such as Tata Metaliks, MMTC, SUZLON and new moves are

PI INDUSTRIES
HAVELLS
BAJAJ FINANCE
ASIAN PAINTS

Looking forward to your inputs from now wherein I can still narrow down my stocks to 10 numbers and focus.

Disclosure : These are not stock recommendation, Please do your own research before investing.

1 Like

from your post only i came to know that PVC pipes has some drawback. Thanks for the Information.

Hi Anupam,

You can find the details here : https://theprint.in/india/lead-in-pvc-pipes-is-poisoning-indias-drinking-water-but-govts-done-nothing-in-2-years/207444/

https://www.lead.org.au/lanv10n1/lanv10n1-5.html

Note : The information is from the external site/vendors