Krishna Defence & Allied Industries Ltd - SME play on Shipbuilding

Business Details:

  1. About the company: It started in 1997 as an engineering company, manufacturing equipment for the milk and dairy industry and around 2006-07, it got an opportunity to work on a product called the Bulb Bar for naval ships for defence.

  2. Manufacturing plants:

  3. Product:

  4. One of the prime products is steel bulb bars. Steel bulb bars are profiles, that are used as stiffeners for the hull construction of warships, and naval ships. These are used for the frame members to support the main structure.

The key feature of the bulb bar is that the strength-to-weight ratio is about 3 times, because of its unique shape. Because of the strength-to-weight ratio being 3 times, one can reduce the weight of the final ship, which means that one can take in more ammunition, be more personal, & most importantly reduce the weight.

  1. special steel, ballast bricks, which are used for naval critical platforms. These are used for balancing. The key feature of this particular product is the magnetic permeability of this is near zero, making it very, very difficult to detect on any radar or something.

  2. Heavy Vehicle Factory Steel Profile: These are special profiles which are used for the manufacture of the T-90 tanks by one of the ordnance factories. And before our development, these were all being imported from Russia. We’ve successfully been able to indigenize and execute for the same.

  3. Welding wire and the welding electrodes: These are again complex chemistries containing special metals like nickel, titanium, nitrogen, and so on. These are used for very high tensile environments used for welding plates which are used for critical platforms, again, of the navy. This also was a product that was being imported from Russia, which we’ve successfully been able to indigenize and are supplying the same as of now.

  4. ‘Bukhari’: It’s a room heating device and it has developed this product in joint development with DIPAS, the DRDO lab, which is the Defence Institute of Physiology & Allied Sciences. So, they developed products for high altitude, which are to be used by our army men at minus 20 in Ladakh, Siachen, and so on.

  5. Diary business products:

  1. Product breakup for Fy25:

  2. Orders: It stands above 230 cr having bulk of orders for Bulb bars & expects additional orders in this financial year.

  3. Bukhari product: It has bagged an order about close to ₹64 crores.

  4. Specialized converters for radio frequency to optical Fibres: It has got the order from L&T for about close to 3 crores for the supply of the same

  5. In-Development: trying to work on a particular ammunition called the Super Rapid Gun Mount, which is again used for a naval gun. This is a work in progress, things are moving, but slightly at a slower pace because it is still a design stage for us.

  6. Clients:

  7. No royalty to DRDO or BARC for supplying to Indian defence forces:

  8. Order delivery Timeline: It varies from order to order. Some orders have been done in about six months. Some orders may be 18 months or 24 months also.

  9. Capacity: With current capacity, it can do about close to 180-200 cr in terms of revenue. With brownfield expansion, it can be able to up to about 350-400 crores in terms of revenue.

  10. Bulb bars: It can do 2,000 tons to 2,500 tons annually with our existing capacity and with the capacity expansion, we should be able to achieve several close to 4,000 tons.

  11. Awards :

Growth:

  1. It has got approval for the bulb bars for supply to post guard vessels that are there & also bagged an order related to that.

  2. Manufacture of fire-resistant composite doors & hatches replacing existing steel doors and hatches in all naval ships. They have tied up with the Netherlands company & if we want to start to manufacture the same in collaboration with them as a joint venture, plans to replace all the hatches due to the corrosion & the heaviness properties of composite doors are much lighter, again, adding to a feature where you can reduce the weight of the ship.

  3. They have an MoU with IIT Bombay, & developing a product for the army for combat, which is a spherical robot. We’ve done the prototype and, again and field trial to take through.

  4. It has been approached by other wings of the defence forces for developing specialized well-consumables, which currently they are importing.

  5. Started a new company in Bangalore to work on making specialized converters, which convert radio frequency to optical fibre and optical fibre to radio frequency. This would open up the company’s diversional fact to get the defence electronics front.

  6. It has tied up with other company out of IIT Madras, which has developed an underwater ROV. So, they’ve synchronized with them to be able to use this product for the naval application as a service job to be able to do the hull thickness measurement, hull thickness and cleaning of the marine growth that happens on ships once they are at sea. This helps in reducing the dry dock time and increases the time that the ship can be at sea.

  7. Growth guidance: Revised target from 30% to 35% to 40% yoy for the next three years.

  8. EBITDA margin: It aspires to have a 20% margin against 15% as of now.

TAM:

  1. Opportunity size in Wave Optix:
  2. Shipbuilding is 5-6 years cycle:
  3. Huge demand for bulb bars in FSS and aircraft carriers:
  4. Composite doors and hatches Market Size:
  5. Ships required over the next 5 years is 40:
  6. Make in India initiative is boosting indigenisation of defense products:
  7. Government policies &Inititives:

  1. Defense Budget Outlook:

Strategic Intent:

  1. Import Substitution: Earlier bulb bars were imported by the country by it has successfully developed the product and supplied these bulb bars to all the leading shipyards in the country i.e. Mazagon Dock, GRSE, HSL, L&T, Goa Shipyard, so on and so forth and other is welding wire and the welding electrodes.
  2. Increase stake in WAVEOPTIX from 25% to 51% as the opportunity is huge.
  3. On the composite doors and hatches, We expect to finalise on the JV with our foreign partner with stake around 51%.

Competitive Advantages and Intensity:

  1. In-house R&D capabilities: It has an in-house research team. They also have a NABL-approved lab also, which plays a big role in developing homegrown defence solutions that replace imported products. So, we’ve been a company, we’ve been trying to focus on imported products that could be indigenized and used by the services, all three services per se.
  2. Our manufacturing capability includes a wide range of critical assemblies and precision components with close tolerances made possible through in-depth know-how on metallurgy, precision machining, assembly, and specialized fabrication facilities with a series of multi-level inspections during the production process.
    3. Huge Entry barrier:

Financials:

  1. EBITDA margin has increased to 14.51% in FY’24 vs 13.91% in FY’23.
  2. PAT surged by 84.86% to ₹97.90 million in FY’24 vs 52.96 million.
  3. total revenue of the company stood at ₹1,064.28 million in FY’24 against ₹636.53 million in FY’23 thereby showing a growth of 67.20%
  4. Fund Raise: The fundraise to 15 to 20 crores towards CapEx, and the remaining about ₹35 crores to ₹40 crores towards working capital because of the order flow.

RISK:

  1. Raw materials mostly consist of steel and any price esclation can have impact to the bottomline and steel prices have to be monitored as it has been increasing.
  2. Shipbuilding is hugely dependent on government policies and any government stability or change can impact the policies and sector.
  3. Company execution capabilities needs to be monitored as that can be potential risk to the company’s growth.
  4. Working capital management is a major hindrance in SME companies, as the company is trying to bring it down to below 100 days.
  5. Major clients are government companies and can lead to payment getting delayed.
  6. Sector as a whole has given huge runup, needs to evaluate on future growth as any slowdown can derate the sector.

Disclaimer- invested, biased, DYODD.

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What has led in the sudden rise in share price from last week of May? I didn’t see any news regarding new launches or orders.
Does the market know something not in press?

KRISHNADEF_28052024215448_PPT.pdf (5.2 MB)

Refer above presentation may give u some info.

Aiming 40% growth rate for the next 3-4 years

Aiming Capacity expansion by 50% for their key products to meet the growing demand from defence sector

Strong order book

Development of new defense products

1 Like

Company is getting significant orders.

Order Book at end of FY24 - 1866.2 Million
Q1 Topline - 453.8 (Up 181% YoY)
Order Book at end of Q1 - 2286.0 (released to exchange on 23/8/24)
Order received from L&T - 1040 Million (released to exchange on 6/9/24 and to be executed in 12 months)

Total Order Book - 3326 Million. Total order addition in 6 months of this year is 193 Cr. and that’s more than what the company started the year with.

Diary segment order book has become insignificant (0.5%) and it’s almost a pure play on defence & ship building

Company also made a significant announcement regarding new product tie ups

and one announcement regarding approval. Did this approval play a role for getting the L&T order ??

Overall, given the high probability of good nos. continuing for the year (inline with Q1) we need to think of the forward PE. It didn’t release Q1 nos.

Disc: Have added in PF post Q1 result PR.

3 Likes

One more significant order win of 88 cr. to be execute over 18 months from Ministry of defense.

With this they have added a new line of product with no domestic competition.

Good to see, mgmt. delivering.

5 Likes

Adding my Notes of the company here. @Sulabh_Anand has covered a lot of points already, kudos to him!

Krishna Defence & Allied Industries Ltd is a defense company that provides critical components to the Indian Navy and Army. It has state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities in Halol and Kalol in Gujarat and has offices located in Mumbai, Vadodara, and Bengaluru. The company was initially a dairy equipment manufacturer but entered the defense sector in 2006. Now, there major revenue and focus is on defense sector. They focus on developing indigenous solutions to replace imported defense equipment. It’s a B2G business and most of the revenue (if not all) comes from India. As of September 30, 2024, the order book was 282 crores, 2.7x of FY24 revenue.


Products

  • Two main segments:
    1. Defense
    2. Dairy products

The dairy segment has a lower margin of 7-8% compared to the defense segment, which has a margin of 20+%. Defense vertical has a total addressable market of about 1500 crores.

  • Defense Vertical: Has 94% of the revenue contribution in Q2FY25.
    Key products include:

    • Bulb Bars: Their flagship product, contributing the most to revenue. It accounted for 55-60% of total revenue in FY24. They were awarded the Defense Technology Absorption Award by Prime Minister for their development. One of the 2 suppliers approved on the GeM portal for this product. The bulk bar has a 24-36 month gestation period for approval and manufacturing, creating a barrier for entry.
    • Weld consumables: They contain special metals like Nickel, Titanium, which were indigenized, previously imported from Russia. Expected to contribute around 15-20% of revenue.
    • Ballast bricks: The only Indian company to supply these, which is used as balancing and counterweight for critical Naval Platform.
    • Bukhari: Expected to contribute 15-20% in revenue, with a lifecycle of 12-24 months.
    • Special Alloy Long products for T90 Tanks: Commenced bulk supply for the Indian Army, previously imported from Russia.
    • Composite doors and hatches: Have done a joint venture with a Netherlands-based company called VABO, with a potential TAM of about 200-250 crores.
    • Radio frequency and microwave optical fiber products: Developed by Waveoptix Defence solutions private limited.
  • Dairy Vertical: The dairy segment includes stainless steel milk cans, robotic milk collection units, and milk cooling tanks. It runs in auto mode and is a traditional business.


Plants & Facilities

  • Halol Plant: 60,000 sq. ft dedicated to the defence segment, producing bulb bars, weldable consumables, and ballast bricks. They are aiming to double its manufacturing capacity by brownfield expansion of 40,000 sq. ft, which will be operational by Q4 FY25.
  • Kalol Plant: 40,000 sq. ft plant which focuses on dairy equipment production.
  • Bengaluru facility: Established in October 2023, it’s a 2,000 sq. ft facility specializing in defence electronics manufacturing and testing.

The facilities are running at 80% utilization.


Clients

The company’s clients include-

  • Mazagon Dock, GRSE, HSL, L&T, Goa Shipyard for bulb bars
  • Indian armed forces for Bukhari for their use at high altitude places like Leh, Ladakh, and Siachen, T90 tanks
  • BARC and ISRO for development of a very specific weld consumables which is currently imported.
  • They are in consultation with DRDO for various R&D
  • L&T defence

The company gets orders through a tender process, and some of their products like bulb bars, weld consumables are repeat orders. Order execution is from 6 to 24 months based on short or long term project.


Raw Materials

  • The company uses stainless steel, special steel alloys, Titanium, Nickel, Chromium, steel plates, and billets, etc as their raw materials. They procure some of their raw materials
    from approved Navy approved sources like ArcelorMittal and Steel Authority.
  • They have two kinds of contract - long and short. In short the raw materials are typically booked upon receiving the order while for long there is a price variation clause built in,
    which is reviewed quarterly.
  • This accounts for a significant portion of their overall expenses and they aim to maintain its cost at around 55% of the sale.

Competitors:

  • The company competes with Star Wires, a company based in Delhi in bulb bars segment.
  • A certain Defence PSU competes in weld consumables against which they have a win rate of 50%
  • A company in Bangalore is their competitor in composites segment.
  • In electronics segment, it competes with two American companies for supply to the Indian Army.

Industry

The industry is driven by various triggers -

  • Increased Defence Budget spending
  • Make in India and Aatmanirbhar Bharat, Srijan Portal initiatives
  • Innovation for Defence Excellence (iDEX) by the Ministry of Defence which seeks to foster innovation and technology development in defence and aerospace by engaging startups, MSMEs, individual innovators, R&D institutes, and academia
  • Establishment of Defence Industrial Corridors (DICs) which are dedicated zones that provide crucial infrastructure, land, and streamlined regulatory processes, attracting both domestic and foreign investors.
  • IDR Act which is poised to accelerate growth in domestic defence manufacturing by prioritizing indigenous procurement by introducing faster clearances, categorizing defence requirements to favour Indian vendors, and offering offsets (investments in Indian firms) for foreign manufacturers.
  • Indian Navy’s Modernization and Expansion Plans by increasing the fleet to at least 175 warships by 2030 from the current 132, with 68 new warships and vessels on order.

Capex

The company plans to expand its existing products by 100% at Halol. It currently generates 180-200 crores and expects to do 350-400 crores revenue post expansion.

The company raised preferential warrants and shares at 304/share convertible in 18 months, dated from Feb 2024. These funds are supposed to be utilized for:

  • Investment of 12-15 crores in a new facility dedicated for weld consumables and bulb bars at the Halol facility.
  • 30-40 crores for meeting the increasing working capital needs due to an expanding order book and growth in operations.

The company acquired a 40,000 sq. ft plot of land adjacent to the Halol facility. The current capacity for bulb bars is estimated to be 2000-2500 Tons/year, and with expansion, it can produce 4000 Tons/year.

The capex is supposed to be done within this FY, and the enhanced capacity should be sufficient for the next 3 years.

The composite doors and hatch manufacturing unit is expected to be operational by Q1FY26 with an expected revenue of 10 crores.


Subsidiary

  • Waveoptix Defence Solutions, which specializes in design, development, and manufacturing of defence electronic products in radio frequency and optic fibre technology. It has secured a contract with L&T Defence for the first indigenously developed bidirectional RF Over Fibre module for radio communications. KDAIL holds about 25% stake which will be increased to 40% within this next six months time, starting from October 2024. They have a potential of an order book of around 200 crores in 2-3 years.

  • They have done a joint venture with Netherlands based VABO and have a 51% stake in it. They have a technology transfer between the companies and will manufacture composite doors, hatches, and superstructures for the Indian Navy with plans to export to Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Europe.

  • The company has also invested in Planys Technologies Private Limited and Techera Engineering Limited


Growth Triggers in the company

  • New products such as composite fireproof doors and hatches, SRGM Lamination, and radio frequency and microwave optical fibre products.
  • The company will leverage unit economics to improve profitability (operating leverage)
  • The sectoral tailwinds in the defence sector, plans of the naval expansion and modernization of the existing fleet to drive growth.
  • Focus on Indigenization of the defence products to reduce import.
  • Difficult for new entrants as approval takes long time (24-36 months) and hence a first mover advantage for them.

Risks

  • Complete dependance on government tenders and support to the sector.
  • Limited export opportunities and restriction on suppliers, raw material price fluctuation can lead to margin pressure

Notes

  • The company aims to achieve close to 20% EBDITA margin and expects to grow at 40% CAGR over the next 3-5 years.
  • Transfer of technology has happened for products like bulb bars, Bukhari, ballast bricks, and weld consumables.
  • Need to track when the shipping tenders start coming in as these are direct beneficiary of them.

Financial Modeling

Here I’ve taken the following assumptions

  • TTM growth has been 60% hence for FY25E have taken growth % as 60% and OPM% as 15% as H1 has already passed and since due to slowdown not a lot of government activity happened, the H2 has to be atleast as good as it is already been.
  • Since capex is funded by pref. warrant and shares, and no further capex to be announced in the next 2-3 years, I have taken the interest as constant.
  • Since, it’s a brownfield expansion, I’ve increased the dep by 1 cr and let it remain constant for the future 2 years.
  • With the current market cap of 1042 crores, I’ve taken 3 scenarios
    • Bear, where the growth rate is not as fast as the management guidance
    • Base, with the current OPM maintained and guidance of growth to be 40%
    • Bull, where we expect similar high growth performance and improvement in OPM towards the long term target of 20%

Note: I’m complete novice in modelling and will appreciate guidance in improvement of it. Kindly provide with constructive criticism.

Disclaimer: Studying, not invested. Any and every feedback is welcomed.

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