Kotak Mahindra Bank - Low Cost Liability Banking Franchise

My notes from the Concall(please excuse any mistakes on my part):

Government package very meaningful,will help a lot but need to wait for the details.

Covid is here to stay for next 12-15 months.

Lockdown has an exponential cost on the economy,getting out of lockdown very tricky.

Kotak Bank has a 1.Strong balance sheet. & 2.Trusted deposit franchise.

Lending pegged on:

1.Sector
2.Avoiding companies with high fixed operating costs.
3.Avoiding businesses with High leverage.

Even after the rate drop,still at SB rates that are higher than peers.
Despite drop in rates have seen improvement in saving account numbers in April.
Adding 14000 customer accounts per day in May through digital channel.
Opened 44 lac accounts in whole of last fiscal year.
Cost of deposits for last FY:5.2%

SMA2 outstanding is 274 Cr.
SMA2 includes accounts that are only above 5 Crores.

Have taken 650 Cr. Covid provisions.

Moratorium is 26% by value as of April 30,numbers increasing as the lockdown extends and more customers wanting extension.
Credit utilization has come down but customers want to conserve cash in uncertain environment.

Significant changing the credit underwriting metrics in the post Covid world.
Spending on digital & technology will go up,brands will become more important.
Non credit risk business(Advisory,Wealth management & Asset management,Securities) will see higher focus.

Will lend only if the risk adjusted return makes sense,not after topline growth.

Fund raise via selling of up to 6.5 Cr shares soon to reduce promoter stake.

Worried about unsecured lending even to salaried customers.

Consolidation can happen through mortality or through combination.
At a policy level do not have a clear exit policy for entities in financial sector.

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I listened con call. If someone want to know risk and opportunity in present and expected future for the financial sector / Banking sector, must listen Uday Kotak in this call.

Do you have the link?

https://www.researchbytes.com/webcast.aspx?WID=209398

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Q4FY20: Conference Call Notes - Marathon call of 100+ Minutes. Summarizing the notes that I liked the most but recommend a full read of the transcript for curious souls.
After COVID (AC) Era:

  • The only bank to announce a salary cut for leadership and people earning above 25 Lakhs.
  • It’s clear that less Office-Space and significant focus on DIGITAL are required in the future.
  • Expect significant consolidation (by combination or mortality) in the financial sector
  • In the month of April, very small lending happened in the banking industry for the consumer segment
  • Lending Strategy: avoid most affected sectors <Multiplexes, Hotels, and Airlines>, companies with a HIGH FIXED cost, and companies with High Leverage while look for Opportunities in state-guaranteed situations
  • Unsecured consumer loans and Credit Card, Microfinance loans and CV loans are closely watched as areas of concern

Few more UKism:

  • Focus is to avoid growth with great topline, great spread, good operating profit but PROVISIONING takes away all.
  • Worry is a way of life.
  • Opportunity does not announce its arrival but the departure is always evident.
  • To make sense of AC times, all are speculating in THIN air. Expect clarity to emerge by July/August.
  • What looks good today is bad tomorrow and vice-versa.

Latest numbers for all Major subsidiaries:

Disclosure: No investment.

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While reading ‘Skin in the Game’ by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, I came across the below that seemed apt for KMB:

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Everything you need to know about Kotak Mahindra Bank – From how it came into being to how it averted every crisis in the past 10 years!

https://www.stocksandbiceps.com/how-kotak-mahindra-bank-averts-all-crisis/

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Hi

A look at the liabilities portion of the balance sheet for 4 private sector banks.

The AR FY20 is filled with cautiousness and focus on Return of Capital rather than Return on Capital. This is I think typical of Mr Uday Kotak and a positive thing imho.

The provisions historically and advances trend below.

Rgds
Disc: continue to be invested & have added in last 30 days also

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This could turn out to be a huge positive if indeed true.

Hi

Today is Kotak’s results and Friday is Indusind’s results.

Also Indusind made this filing with the exchange.

Dont know how to go about navigating this situation :slight_smile:

Rgds

Disc: Invested in Kotak & txns in last 1 month

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Hi

Decent results this quarter (maybe I have endowment bias).

Kotak Q2FY21.pdf (1.9 MB)

Some key nos as

Overall NPA trends

Rgds
Deepak

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Highlights from management commentary

 The bank would now incrementally start focusing on increasing customer
acquisitions on the asset side and seeking growth opportunities. The non-urban
sector has been growing better than urban and seeing recovery across multiple segments.

 Collection efficiencies have been improving across segments, but unsecured loans need to catch up in terms of progress. Overall, collection efficiency for the bank would be at the ~mid-90 levels.

 KMB disbursed loans of INR81b under the ECLG scheme up to Oct’20.

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https://m.rbi.org.in//Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=50695

The cap on promoters’ stake in the long run (15 years) may be raised from the current level of 15 per cent to 26 per cent of the paid-up voting equity share capital of the bank.

I think good news for Kotak Bank
but it’s a proposal only RBI will decide finally

Disclosure holding Kotak since IPO so bias for it

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Story of Kotak Mahindra Bank

A thread …

How it all began
How it survived the Asian Financial Crisis
How it built its CASA book
Timing the market cycles
Converting challenges to opportunities
How Uday Kotak built an Integrated Financial Company

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the strength shown by the stock since march (it fell way lesser than hdfc bank) and the moment things started getting better has risen up almost 50%
is a very good sign.
mr/ms market completely trusts the mgmt numbers and seems to have even higher conviction than hdfc bank :smiley:
ps: previous financial crisis a decade ago, kotak had crashed like crazy, so bas samay samay ki baat hai.
i also feel something similar happened with bandhan bank this time (crashed way more than it deserved to)

Disclaimer : my views may be biased, i am invested in kotak bank, i am not a sebi registered advisor and this is not investment advice.

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Kotak securities responding to the Zerodha Challenge. Zero Brokerage for Intraday and 0.25% delivery.

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Hi All

Quite average results in my opinion and as expected the price action before the result and immediately after the result conveyed this in very articulate words.

Q3FY21 PPOP down 6% from Q2 & up 23% from FY20.

Retail & Wholesale revenues flat compared to Sep FY21.

CASA ratio of 58.9% which is quite good.

Provisions also up I believe.

Let us see how things pan out in the next quarter which I think is also very important.

Kotak Q3FY21.pdf (3.5 MB)

Rgds

Disc: Continue to be invested and added in last 30 days.

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Bank Q4FY21 highlights:

  • PAT at Rs. 1,682 cr up 33% YoY
  • Operating Profit at Rs. 3,407 cr up 25% YoY
  • NII at Rs. 3,843 cr up 8% YoY
  • NIM at 4.39%
  • CAR for the Bank as per Basel III, as on Mar 31, 2021 is 22.3% & Tier I ratio is 21.4%

Advances & Asset Quality for the Bank:

  • Advances up 4.5% QoQ to Rs. 223,689 cr
  • NNPA at 1.21%
  • SMA2 outstanding was ` 110 cr (0.05% of net advances)
  • Credit cost other than COVID provision 84 bps for FY21

Bank FY21 highlights:

  • Operating Profit at Rs. 12,215 cr up 22% YoY
  • PAT at Rs. 6,965 cr up 17% YoY
  • NII at Rs. 15,340 cr up 14% YoY
  • NIM at 4.41%

Deposits:

  • CASA ratio as on Mar 31, 2021 at 60.4% vs. 56.2% as on Mar 31, 2020
  • In addition, TD Sweep at 7.5% of total deposits
  • Avg. SA for FY21 up 27% YoY to Rs. 108,812 cr
  • Avg. CA for FY21 up 17% YoY to Rs. 39,481 cr
  • CASA + TD < Rs. 5 cr is 91% of total deposits

Consol highlights:

  • Consol PAT for Q4FY21 Rs. 2,589 cr up 36% YoY
  • Consol PAT for FY21 Rs. 9,990 cr up 16% YoY
  • Assets under mgmt/advisory ~Rs. 323,762 cr up 43%
  • Subsidiaries and associates contributed 35% of consol PAT for Q4FY21

Source: https://twitter.com/KotakBankLtd?s=20

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Pretty hard hitting note in ‘The Wire’ about KTMB. Twenty Years for Uday Kotak as CEO, and the Tailor-Made Exceptions That Allowed It
Mkt seems to be jittery to the news of succession planning within KTMB. Given that HDFC recently had a successful transition, I don’t think this is worrisome given strong track record of Mr. Uday Kotak. Are mkt concerns misplaced? Any thoughts?

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