Hindustan copper - play on rising copper prices

Vedanta has shown interest in acquiring Hind Copper as per newspaper reports

Mint: Vedanta eyes buying govt stake in Hindustan Copper.

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HCL’s physical performance:

FY20 FY21
Revenue (Rs. Cr) 832 1787
Volume sold (tonnes) 18408 32997
Realization per tonne of MIC 4,51,977 5,41,564
Ore produced (lakh tonnes) 39.68 32.73
Metal-in-concentrate sold (tonnes) 26502 23866
Yield 0.67% 0.73%
  • Current price of copper is Rs. 811,000 per tonne.
  • The avg realization for Q3FY22 was Rs. 7,15,000 which is ~33% higher than FY21 avg realization, and despite that HCL’s EBITDA margins didn’t improve much (from 22% to 24%).
  • For a mining company, the increase in EBITDA should be disproportinate with increase in realization, but that’s not the case for HCL which I think is a dampener.
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One simple doubt…Why it is valued at a price to sale ratio of 10 ??

Anyone tracking the company, I read somewhere in invester presenation that they are increasing mining capacity to 4x, can someone provide some colour on their capex plans, structurally copper demand is very high even though world marks are in slowdown due to its inherent use in green energy and absence of any substitutes, I dont know if valuations are high because market is factoring the capex that the company has done, would be really helpful if someone could provide information related to it.