Himachal Futuristic communication

Thank you @LarryWink

Question 1 - Answer : Considering HFCL’s product offerings, its competitors can be classified based on the segments it operates in:

  1. Telecommunications Equipment:
  • Sterlite Technologies Limited
  • Tejas Networks Limited
  • Tata Communications Limited
  • Bharti Airtel Limited
  • Vodafone Idea Limited
  1. Optical Fiber Cable (OFC) and Optical Transmission Equipment:
  • Sterlite Technologies Limited
  • Aksh Optifibre Limited
  • Finolex Cables Limited
  • Vindhya Telelinks Limited
  1. Defence Electronics:
  • Bharat Electronics Limited (BEL)
  • Larsen & Toubro Limited (L&T)
  • Rolta India Limited
  • Bharat Forge Limited
  1. Railway Communication and Signaling Systems:
  • Siemens Limited
  • Bharat Heavy Electricals Limited (BHEL)
  • ABB India Limited
  • Alstom India Limited

These companies compete with HFCL in their respective product segments, offering similar products and solutions to cater to the telecommunications, defense, and railway sectors.

Question 2 - Answer:

To analyze the trends and outlook for HFCL’s focus market segments (optical cables, 5G products, defense fuse, and defense optics) for the upcoming years, we need to consider various factors:

  1. 5G Products and Optical Cables:
  • Trends: The deployment of 5G networks is expected to accelerate globally, driving demand for related infrastructure such as optical cables, fiber optics, and network equipment.
  • Outlook: The demand for 5G products and optical cables is likely to continue growing as telecom operators expand their 5G networks to meet increasing data traffic demands. The adoption of 5G technology in various industries, including automotive, healthcare, and smart cities, will further drive demand for related products and services.
  • Opportunities: HFCL, as a manufacturer of optical fibers and cables, is well-positioned to benefit from the 5G rollout. The company can capitalize on the growing demand for high-speed, low-latency connectivity solutions.
  1. Defense Fuse and Optics:
  • Trends: Governments worldwide are focusing on strengthening their defense capabilities, leading to increased investments in defense modernization and indigenous manufacturing.
  • Outlook: The defense sector’s emphasis on self-reliance and indigenous production presents opportunities for companies like HFCL that offer defense-related products such as fuses and optics. With rising geopolitical tensions and security threats, governments are expected to prioritize defense spending, driving demand for advanced defense technologies.
  • Opportunities: HFCL can leverage its expertise in manufacturing defense-related components to cater to the growing demand from defense organizations. By focusing on innovation, quality, and timely delivery, the company can secure contracts and partnerships in the defense sector.
  1. Overall Market Dynamics:
  • Trends: Rapid technological advancements, increasing connectivity needs, and evolving security challenges are shaping the market dynamics in HFCL’s focus segments.
  • Outlook: The outlook for HFCL’s focus market appears positive, with sustained demand expected in the coming years. However, the market is also competitive, requiring HFCL to continuously innovate, invest in R&D, and forge strategic partnerships to maintain its competitive edge.
  • Opportunities: HFCL can explore opportunities for diversification, expand its product portfolio, and enter emerging markets to drive growth. Additionally, the company can leverage government initiatives supporting domestic manufacturing and defense self-reliance to enhance its market presence.

Additionally as HFCL mentioned that Bharat- Net III and other global opportunities which they are always seeking does show that this sector will have tailwinds. We will have to see how it unravels.

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https://x.com/Lakshayy_99/status/1762313969228976519?s=20

4 Likes

News > (https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/c02b4931-d172-44e9-983d-1f1cca067207.pdf)
Now it establishes HFCL UK Limited to manufacture and trade Optical Fiber, Optical Fiber Cables, Telecom and Networking Products, and related activities. They say this will help the company meet global demand and expand overseas. This aligns with the company’s strategy to increase export revenue, enhancing its presence and fostering growth opportunities.

What and how much is HFCL exporting to the UK at present?
Is this news just a “feel good” point, or does the company have any meaningful export business right now?

D-Holding.

Results: https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/de3b3da3-0f14-4350-975b-df853a6e160b.pdf

Looks like they got the benefit of Deferred Tax Asset this time.

As per this news > https://www.financialexpress.com/business/defence-hfcl-advancing-indigenous-defence-technologies-3570017/
For Defence it has developed -
Eectronic fuzes, thermal weapon sights, and ground surveillance radars. aligning with the Atmanirbhar Bharat initiative.

  • Developed 12-micron Ti-core based thermal weapon sights for defence forces.
  • Developed ,high accuracy, ground and coastal surveillance radars using Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave (FMCW) technology.
  • Shortlisted for upgrading BMP 2/2K armaments.

Question is how much is contribution these products are making to the revenue ? if these are not just PR and are yet to be ordered by india defence then it might have long way to go ?

D-Holding

Q2 FY25 Conference Call Updates:

  • Fiber Optics Demand: The company expects demand for fiber optics to pick up from Q4.
  • Capacity Utilization: Anticipates increasing capacity utilization to 80%, up from the current 40%.
  • Defense Sector Revenue: Revenue from the defense sector is expected to start contributing from Q1 next year.
  • U.S. Projects Participation: Participating in both BEAD (Broadband Equity, Access, and Deployment) and non-BEAD projects in the USA, with non-BEAD projects being significantly larger than BEAD projects.
  • Telecom Products Revenue Guidance: Expects telecom products revenue to reach ₹2,000 crore this year. With a current order book of ₹900 crore and around ₹1,000 crore already recorded as revenue, the company is confident of meeting this target.
  • Long-Term Revenue Guidance: Maintained a revenue guidance of ₹10,000 crore over the next three years, implying a CAGR of 25-30%. This growth is expected to reflect in EPS from next year onward.
  • Revenue Ratio Target: Aiming for a 2:1 revenue ratio between Telecom and Defense sectors by the end of three years.
  • BharatNet Contract: Expects the BharatNet contract to be allocated by Q1 next year.
  • Increase in Finance and Employee Costs: Addressed the reasons for the increase in finance and employee costs from H1 FY24 to H1 FY25. Due to a change in the debt profile and new hiring since Q3 FY24, these costs are trending upward.
  • Operations & Maintenance (O&M) Revenue: Current O&M revenue is ₹25 crore, expected to increase to ₹300-400 crore by FY27-28.
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HFCL an Advance Work Order (AWO) worth approximately ₹2,501.30 crore from Bharat Sanchar Nigam Limited (BSNL).

  1. Project Details: Design, supply, construction, installation, upgradation, operation, and maintenance of the middle-mile network for BharatNet Phase III in Punjab Telecom Circle under a Design-Build-Operate-Maintain (DBOM) model.
  2. Contract Value: ₹1,244.61 crore for capex and ₹1,256.70 crore for operational expenses over 10 years.
  3. Timeline: 3 years for construction and 10 years for maintenance.
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If HFCL stock is falling , then it is better to short sale in intraday to earn profit in falling market.