HDFC Bank results:-
ā JST Investments (@JstInvestments) April 17, 2021
š¦Profits grow at 18.2%
š¦Asset quality remains stable with credit costs at 1.65% for the quarter
š¦CAR at 18.8%
š¦Gross NPAs at 1.32% vs 1.38%
š¦HDB Financial returns to profits
Overall stable nos....commentary will be important!#Q4withJST #BankingwithJST pic.twitter.com/EJPNUQlbeu
3 Likes
I am not sure where do you see the reduction in Interest income (I have attached recent Standalone Income statement).
Also, we need to see this income in light of falling interest rate (please see the reduction in Interest expanded). Given that overall Interest rates are going down, maintaining 4.2% Net interest margins is not bad.
3 Likes
Since, we donāt agree with screenerās perspective on these numbers, letās look at them ourselves.
Snap of Consolidated numbers:
Point 1:
Entry 1a, āInterest on Billsā which is the core biz, where we should track the growth is up by 3.25%
That is low. But, itās good to be conservative in these times.
Point 2: Total income, Entry 3, is up 6%
Point 3: But Operating profit, Entry 7, up 18.8% which is all over the news/media.
I leave this to individual interpretation.
They have decided to NOT give dividend this year. Thatās a first in a long time.
I feel, good lenders will curtail all ambition for growth as long as covid is around. Think only about survival.
For Unsecured lenders this is a perfect storm.
4 Likes
That second row is interest expense.
HDFC Bank Q4FY21 - Above Expectations
Positives
- Growth: +16% yoy rev (+13% NII, +25% non-interest income) / +20% yoy PPOP / +14% yoy loans (+21% corporate, +7% retail)
- Asset quality: at pre-COVID levels ā¦ GNPL at 11.3%, NNPL at 0.4%, restructured loans at 0.6%
Reserve Bank of India - Notifications.
- In view of the ongoing stress and heightened uncertainty on account of COVID-19, it is imperative that banks continue to conserve capital to support the economy and absorb losses. In order to further strengthen the banksā balance sheets, while at the same time support lending to the real economy, it has been decided that banks shall not make any dividend payment on equity shares from the profits pertaining to the financial year ended March 31, 2020
Does the bank hold a separate call for foreign investors? Was surprised at Saturdayās call - hardly 20 minutes of Q & A session. And the timing too seemed eminently unsuitable for FIIs - it would have been Saturday 7:30 AM at that time in New York. Surprising for Indiaās leading bank and one that is listed on NYSE and 40% foreign owned.
3 Likes
This is how I understand the results (standalone only - consolidation will make a marginal difference) -
- % of Gross NPAs to Gross Advances (1.32%, which was 1.26% in FY20) and % of Net NPAs to Net Advances (0.40%,which was 0.36% in FY20) looks Ok
- Breakup of Income in FY21 looks Ok when compared to last FY
- In FY21, Treasury segment BOOSTED the Net Profit immensely whereas Retail dragged the overall results (only 25% contribution to profits whereas revenue from this segment is 50%). Need to see how it pans out for other banks in coming days.
Standalone numbers as below:
Key Notes:
Note-6 Excerpt: ā¦ Given that the current āsecond waveā has significantly increased the number of COVID-19 cases in India and uncertainty remains, the Board of Directors of the Bank, at its meeting held on April 17, 2021, has considered it prudent to currently not propose dividend for the financial year ended March 31, 2021. The Board shall reassess the position based on any further guidelines from the RBI in this regard.
Note-11 Excerpt: ā¦ If the Bank had classified borrower accounts as NPA after August 31, 2020, the Bankās proforma Gross NPA ratio and proforma Net NPA ratio at December 31, 2020 would have been 1.38% and 0.40% respectively. Pending disposal of the case, the Bank, as a matter of prudence, had made in respect of these accounts a contingent provision, which was included in āProvisions (other than tax) and Contingenciesā.
Disc: Invested and have done transaction in last 4 weeks
5 Likes
Invested.
Here are the latest numbers (including FY21 financials).
| Year | EPS | EPS increase | Book value per share | Book value increase | Price (low) | Price | Price (high) | P/B (low) | P/B | P/B (high) | P/E (low) | P/E | P/E (high) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY1996 | 0.10 | 1.11 | 3.24 | 2.92 | |||||||||
| FY1997 | 0.20 | 95.19% | 1.22 | 9.91% | 4.52 | 3.70 | |||||||
| FY1998 | 0.32 | 55.67% | 1.43 | 17.21% | 7.08 | 4.95 | |||||||
| FY1999 | 0.41 | 30.38% | 1.69 | 18.18% | 6.92 | 4.09 | |||||||
| FY2000 | 0.59 | 43.93% | 3.09 | 82.84% | 25.72 | 8.32 | |||||||
| FY2001 | 0.86 | 45.70% | 3.75 | 21.36% | 22.84 | 6.09 | |||||||
| FY2002 | 1.10 | 27.43% | 6.90 | 84.00% | 23.66 | 3.43 | |||||||
| FY2003 | 1.38 | 24.89% | 7.96 | 15.36% | 23.46 | 2.95 | |||||||
| FY2004 | 1.80 | 30.55% | 9.45 | 18.74% | 23.10 | 37.88 | 40.65 | 2.44 | 4.01 | 4.30 | 12.87 | 21.10 | 22.65 |
| FY2005 | 2.29 | 27.69% | 14.59 | 54.32% | 25.60 | 57.36 | 62.85 | 1.76 | 3.93 | 4.31 | 11.17 | 25.03 | 27.42 |
| FY2006 | 2.79 | 21.82% | 16.92 | 16.03% | 44.80 | 77.43 | 81.20 | 2.65 | 4.58 | 4.80 | 16.05 | 27.73 | 29.08 |
| FY2007 | 3.63 | 29.98% | 20.14 | 19.01% | 61.50 | 95.42 | 116.00 | 3.05 | 4.74 | 5.76 | 16.95 | 26.29 | 31.96 |
| FY2008 | 4.62 | 27.36% | 32.44 | 61.05% | 89.50 | 133.13 | 182.50 | 2.76 | 4.10 | 5.63 | 19.36 | 28.80 | 39.49 |
| FY2009 | 5.29 | 14.34% | 34.43 | 6.14% | 77.40 | 97.34 | 160.00 | 2.25 | 2.83 | 4.65 | 14.65 | 18.42 | 30.27 |
| FY2010 | 6.76 | 27.83% | 47.22 | 37.15% | 99.25 | 193.35 | 199 | 2.10 | 4.09 | 4.21 | 14.69 | 28.62 | 29.46 |
| FY2011 | 8.50 | 25.84% | 54.99 | 16.45% | 178.5 | 234.59 | 254 | 3.25 | 4.27 | 4.62 | 21.00 | 27.59 | 29.88 |
| FY2012 | 11.06 | 30.03% | 64.37 | 17.05% | 200.1 | 259.93 | 269.95 | 3.11 | 4.04 | 4.19 | 18.10 | 23.51 | 24.42 |
| FY2013 | 14.25 | 28.86% | 77.00 | 19.62% | 241.1 | 312.68 | 352.75 | 3.13 | 4.06 | 4.58 | 16.93 | 21.95 | 24.76 |
| FY2014 | 17.74 | 24.50% | 92.05 | 19.55% | 264 | 374.4 | 380.35 | 2.87 | 4.07 | 4.13 | 14.89 | 21.11 | 21.45 |
| FY2015 | 21.08 | 18.83% | 125.98 | 36.86% | 353.65 | 511.35 | 554.65 | 2.81 | 4.06 | 4.40 | 16.78 | 24.26 | 26.32 |
| FY2016 | 24.42 | 15.87% | 146.95 | 16.65% | 464 | 535.58 | 564 | 3.16 | 3.64 | 3.84 | 19.00 | 21.93 | 23.10 |
| FY2017 | 28.59 | 17.08% | 179.11 | 21.88% | 521.4 | 721.28 | 739.95 | 2.91 | 4.03 | 4.13 | 18.24 | 25.23 | 25.88 |
| FY2018 | 33.88 | 18.50% | 211.17 | 17.90% | 712.5 | 943.05 | 1007.5 | 3.37 | 4.47 | 4.77 | 21.03 | 27.84 | 29.74 |
| FY2019 | 39.33 | 16.07% | 282.14 | 33.61% | 930.15 | 1159.45 | 1166 | 3.30 | 4.11 | 4.13 | 23.65 | 29.48 | 29.65 |
| FY2020 | 49.70 | 26.38% | 321.63 | 14.00% | 738.75 | 861.9 | 1305.5 | 2.30 | 2.68 | 4.06 | 14.86 | 17.34 | 26.27 |
| FY2021 | 57.74 | 16.18% | 380.62 | 18.34% | 826.1 | 1494.4 | 1641 | 2.17 | 3.93 | 4.31 | 14.31 | 25.88 | 28.42 |
At current price of 1440, trailing P/B ~ 3.79 and P/E ~ 24.94.
Disclosure: Invested (position size here)
15 Likes
While Marcellus are known for marketing their holding, this is good article from Saurabh M.
Discl - invested in HDFC Bank and Kotak Bank.
2 Likes
RBI imposes a 10 cr. fine (largest ever fine) for irregularities in HDFC bankās auto loan division. HDFC bank had previously investigated this issue and found misconduct from some employees, 6 of whom were subsequently fired.
Disclosure: Invested (position size here)
7 Likes
Hi
Came across this article on BQ
I was aware from linkedin that they are setting up a separate team for all the tech troubles they have landed themselves into and a future roadmap. If I look at it positively the intent and effort is in the right direction, from a negative lens I hope this is not too late.
Aside the rumoured partnership with the Turakhia brothers is something I will watch very closely. They have been one of the best entrepreneurs of the country in my books.
Rgds
Deepak
Disc: continue to be invested
12 Likes
Interesting article on long term planning of HDFC Bank to address recurring IT problem
1 Like
A dividend of Rs. 6.50 per equity share of face value of Re.1/- each (i.e. 650% on face value) out of the net profits for the year ended March 31, 2021, has been recommended.
The record date has been fixed as June 30, 2021.
2 Likes
discl - invested.
Why is the bank buying the Insurance company? What is the synergy here and that too buying just 5% stake?
Invested
1 Like
Most probable reason seems to be upcoming IPO of HDFC Ergo
02 intrsting updates from the bank.
- Shouldnāt the CIO be fired by now. What these guys are waiting for. Though a welcome move, even if its quite late.
- Getting stakes like this, also shows banks futuristic management.
Disc : Invested.
2 Likes
HDFC Bank- FY21 Annual Report Update by Nirmal Bang- A covid-proof year blemished by tech glitches
1 Like