Fine Organics - Niche Player in Specialty Chemical

The main reason for rise in revenue in Q4 and Q1 was increased (peak) realization with some volume growth. Now, that the commodity prices (raw materials) are cooling off, these realizations will reverse. To me, this seems like a classic case of peak valuation + peak margins, which is now correcting. Company has indicated in the AGM that the sustainable margins are 18-20%, which has been the case historically, so most probably for Q2FY23 we might see a significant margin drop along with drop in earnings and the market is already discounting that before the results. Since the stock float is low, the downward trajectory of the stock price will be steep, just like the upward movement was. Hopefully, this will bring the valuation down to saner levels, where long term investors can think of accumulating it.

D: Invested from lower levels.

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In my view the capacity has come on stream at the end of Q4 and full effect of which came in Q1, so there was significant volume growth there. Agree that the margins would have peaked out but their volumes will continue to be there due to new plant being available. There are multiple views in the market which says RM prices have gone up but they have a pass through clause so that shouldnt effect it much. Not sure how the results will be but there is a report by PL which says the qoq will remain same i.e. there is expected to be PAT of 157 Crs up from 50 odd Crs yoy. So somehow things not adding up.

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I am not sure about how much was the volume growth last couple of quarters, but with their pass through clause they were able to pass-on the raw material increases (maybe with a lag) which definitely increased realization.

The following are the raw materials for the company:
Vegetable oils, including rapeseed oil, palm oil, palm kernel oil, sunflower oil, castor oil, soybean oil, rice bran oil

Now, FAO Vegetable Oils Price Index tracks the international prices for most of these vegetable oils.

Screenshots from FAO Food Price Index | World Food Situation | Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

So, my guess is maybe this quarter and Q3FY23 won’t be as strong as last couple of quarters unless volumes pick up significantly. But this is something the market would have already figured a few weeks back, so not sure why the reaction now. Maybe we are missing something which big investors/institutions know. Anyway hoping the price fall is arrested around long term PE average, since the business is fundamentally sound.

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This is very useful data. The fact that RM prices have gone down is good thing, this saves on input costs as well. So point taken that the realisations may come down. As per IPO prospectus they were slated to double their capacities which I believe is what has started production in Mar 2022 qtr, so the gradual utilisation of capacity will pave way for increase in volumes. The pre IPO capacity was 64,300 TPA and expansion was to be done for additional 67,000 TPA which I think will have started commercial production. Lets wait and watch the results, maybe the huge volumes transacted suggest that insiders know something we dont…

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Another bumper quarter from Fine Organics.

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I couldn’t find the concall transcript/ recordings for fineorganics. Can anyone help share link to that?

Few highlights while going through investors presentation since 2018:

  • There were 2 proposed expansion plants last mentioned in June 20,

  • One was in Patalganga of 10K TPA and another a german facility of 10K TPA.

  • But from subsequent presentations they stopped mentioning of the facilities and their total capacities remained at 1L+ TPA.

Anybody has any idea on this?

Yes, I also dont see any conference call. This management of the company is giving very less disclosures.

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Hi All,
Was anyone able to attend the con call that was held today i.e., 13th Feb 2023 ?

Microsoft Word - Investorpresentation (bseindia.com)

Any reason it has fallen from 80 x earnings to 24 x earnings ? TTM earnings look excellent. What are the thoughts on higher proportion of Inventory/ receivables . Is the mean reversal of edible oil prices, an upcoming risk ?

Con Calls is very important to understand if this margins’s are sustainable or they are a one off element. As there seems to be a good correction right now, market is seeing these margins as unsustainable. Same was seen with the likes of Divis Labs, & Dr Lal Path Labs as record profits saw good correction because margins were peaking out & were unsustainable.

Although, cross cycle valuations seems reasonable as the company has healthy fundamentals with execellent roce & margins profile. Management commentary would be very great to listen to provided they share the con calls details.

Although without complete data, it will be difficult to state that margins are at peak right now, however, valuation definitely is not at peak at this moment.

Disc - Invested & Biased.

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First of all it was not an open investor call I guess yesterday. It was analyst invetsor meet. So I guess soon there will be a detailed report by some analyst to public.

Is there any sources to track edible oil prices ? castor , soyabran oil etc?

Basic Information:

  • Oleochemicals are chemicals derived from natural oils and fats of plant origins.
  • Oleochemicals can be categorised into:
    • Basic oleochemicals such as fatty acids, fatty methyl esters, fatty alcohols, fatty amines and glycerol, and
    • Their downstream derivatives obtained from further chemical modifications of these basic oleochemicals
  • These oleochemicals exhibit special properties such as excellent emolliency, surface activity, emulsifying properties, as well as beneficial biological properties.

Value Chain Basics:

  1. Regarding the value chain, the palm trees are grown on the large lands where the palm trees are grown to maturity
  2. Once matured, the bunch is sterilized, threshed and oil is extracted. This oil goes into manufacturing various oleochemicals.
  3. Palm oil is then resorted to a process called splitting by exposing high pressure and high temperature where it is converted into glycerine and fatty acids
  4. Simultaneously palm oil is resorted to a process called trans-esterification, where it is converted to fatty alcohols and fatty methyl esters
  5. These products are known as oleochemicals and they are further resorted to sulfination, esterification, ethoxylation and neutralization to form speciality chemicals.

Following table shows the step by step products and the industry structure:

Value Addition Products Profitability Consolidation Key Players
Oils & Fats Palm Oil, Soybean Oil, Mustard Oil Medium Medium Adani Wilmar
Basic Oleochemicals Fatty Acids, Fatty Alcohols, Glycerol Medium High Adani Wilmar
Derivatives Amines, Amides, Esters, Sulphates High High Balaji Amines, Fine Organics
Speciality Products Polymers, BTAC, lubricants High Very High Fine Organic

Key Applications:

  • Fatty Acids (includes Stearic acid, oleic acid): Soaps & Derivatives, plastics, rubbers, papers, lubricants, personal care, food and feed, candles
  • Fatty Alcohols: Soaps & Detergents, Personal care, Lubricants, amines
  • Glycerol: Soaps, Alkyl Resin, Food, Polyurethanes, tobacco

Key Points to note:

  1. Since oleochemcials are naturally processed and are totally biodegradable, they are finding a lot of growth in terms of replacement of petrochemicals which are hard to dispose
  2. Import of palm oil and oleochemicals attract import duty of 7%-20% which makes the manufacturing process costly. This cess is aimed at improving agricultural infrastructure of palm oil so that we are less reliant on Indonesia and Mayasia
  3. Malaysia & Indonesia account for 85% of palm oil production. The country, in a bid to become global palm oil destination, cleared vast swathes of lands and employed foreigners to plant palm trees. Once they abandoned the country on account of Covid 19, the palm oil production took a hit and hence prices rose
  4. Indian government have started introducing MSP’s for the mustard seed extracts and is working on DMH-11 variant which is genetically modified in order to reduce reliance on Indonesia and Malaysia

Fine Organics:

Founded in 1970, Fine Organics was the brainchild of Mr. Ramesh Shah, a Mumbai-based businessman with experience in chemical trading and Mr. Prakash Kamat. Together, they envisioned the potential of oleochemical derivatives and created an organization founded on the pillars of innovation and passion. Fine Organics introduced the Indian market to high-quality additives for specialty applications with raw materials from locally-grown plant sources and quality levels on par with international standards.

Today, Fine’s range of innovative additives have expanded their reach into several specialty applications in food, plastics, cosmetics, textiles, paints, inks, rubber and many more. They have a range of 450+ products which find applications in majorly food emulsifiers, plastic additives, Cosmetics and Pharmaceuticals.

  1. In Food additives, these products provide special characteristics to the product like increasing shelf life, good texture, good fluffiness etc. The market was calculated at $3.2 bn in 2021
  2. In Plastic additives, the products provide aesthetics, make plastic environmentally friendly, give durability to plastic etc. The market was calculated at $22 bn in 2021

Business Overview:

Fine Organics in the business of manufacturing oleochemicals based derivatives and speciality products used primarily in food additives, paint additives, polymer additives and speciality additives.

The company has the portfolio of 450+products with 180+ distributors and 800+ direct customers. The products constitute less than 1%-2% weight of the final product but they impart the structure and texture to the final products like foaming properties to consumer care, proper texture to the final biscuit/bread etc.

The company has 7 manufacturing capacities across Maharashtra. All of them are situated closer to port areas since they derive majority of revenue from exports customers

What I liked about the business?

  • R&D nature of business: These products require high R&D and hence only players can afford the game. On the top of it, there is a patent evergreening which happens and hence the competitor is unable to replicate the formulation
  • Capex Costs: High capex cost for R&D and process design
  • Approval Process: Since these products cater to industries like food, animal etc., the companies take 3-5 years for the approval process which further constraints the ability of competitors to enter the market
  • Focus on domestic palm oil and vegetable oil: Raw materials which are raw palm oil or basic oleochemicals gets imported from Indonesia/Malyasia. Indian government has started focussing on domestic production of oilseeds
  • Limited Competition: Due to technological advanced chemistry, FIne Organics is the only player in India. Even globally, there are 6-7 competitors: Kerry group, danisco, palsgaard, Riken vitamin, Taiyo
  • Pricing Power: The company enjoys a pidilite advantage means the cost of additives is less than 1% of the final cost of the product. Even if the company increases its price, there is minute difference in the final cost of the products of the customers

Financial performance:

The following chart shows the sales vs Operating performance:

We can see a dip in OPM in 2020-21 due to the lockdowns during which the company had to incur high pre-production expenses but could not exercise sales.

However even then, the company is able to manage the high ROCE:

The cash conversion cycle is consistent at 70-90 days primarily on account of >60% of revenues coming from export.

The delivery of the products to the customer takes time and on the top of it, the credit period provided to such customers increase the receivable days for the company

In case of fixed assets, the majority of the asset schedule lists factory, plant, equipments and electrical equipments which should be obvious given the R&D intensive nature of the products.

The promoter group has all together drawn the salary of 18 cr which is well within the limits. Sales to related parties is minuscule at 8.8 cr which is also well within the limits. However in non current financial instruments worth 43 cr, 40 cr went towards equity investments in subsidiaries[image]

There is a humongous increase in inventories from 126 cr to 236 cr to 296 cr in FY 20,21 and 22 respectively. As a result, the company is not able to convert Profits into cash flows in the recent years

Key Risk Factors:

  1. Unable to convert profits into cash for the last 2 years
  2. Volatility in raw material prices could impact the operating profits margin
  3. They have been issued a notice in the past for polluting the vicinity of their plants. Unable to comply with government could result in disruption of profit pools

Valuations:

Given the limited competition and the concentrated nature of profit pools, the company is trading at 23 times which is decent. In DCF, considering the growth rates as 20%, 15% and 5%, the price comes at 4451 with 20% margin of error

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There was an element of over earnings starting Q4FY22 due to expansion in ebitda margins from the usual 18-21% to 26-29% which as per management is not sustainable and will go back to 18-20%. So, FY23 would be a high base for FY24 which could lead to PE expansion going forward. After a steep fall from 7300 to 4000, the stock seems to be forming a base and might undergo time correction. On monthly charts around 4200 seems to be a support.
Just my 2 cents, can be very wrong in my conclusion.
Disc: Invested and looking to add depending on how FY24 pans out.

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Hey,
Stupid question here. What is the Initial FCF value that you have taken? Because Cash from Operating Activity for Fine Organic seems to be 67 cr.

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Isn’t Galaxy Surfactants a major player in this area too? They are also based on oleochemicals. May be the product mix is different…

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Hey I have taken TTM numbers approximately

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Hi, you are correct but the reason I did not name it is two folds:

  1. Product mix is entirely different for the two
  2. Value addition by GS is on much less scale as compared to FO. Even GS’s DRHP mentions that it is extremely competitive category of product mix (point 18 in risk factors)
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They are entirely different. Oleochemicals are just an input to make more advanced intermediates. Fine organics make those additives from oleochemicals, but they don’t makee oleochemicals. You have Fairchem that makes oleochemicals, but that’s taking vegetable oils and makes oleochemicals.

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