Biocon - The ultimate biosimilars play!

Has company given any guidence for FY-25.

In terms of sales and opm and bottom-line.

At this juncture stock looks intresting and nicely priced.

Did go through transcripts and earning calls, could not find a guidence for FY25.

Their estimate for FY-24 stands at 8-9% topline growth.

Anyone with an idea, please comment?

https://twitter.com/kiranshaw/status/1768445810314772600?s=46
6 Crores seen in Electoral bonds revelation.

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Please let us know if you can find the EB purchase by KMS in her personal capacity , soon after the bribery case where their staff had bribed or was black mailed by the Drug admin dept. for clearing their files. More like black mail as they already had approvals from all global regulators

This electoral bond issue is just entertainment… little to do with Business …

Though this is old news, I want to know the implications of Biocon biologics involvement with bribery case.

Government grants sanction to prosecute Drugs controller Mr.Reddy. He is suspended but the suspension is revoked as per this news article.

My question is how to trust Biocon, if they have not bribed for other products too. Maybe this is why the company’s marketcap is so low.

What is the current status of this case…Can anyone update.

Sharing some latest updates of Biocon in the month of April.




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Hello

Case will carry on with its pace. Impact on Biocon as a company will be limited …



Can anyone please explain what does that mean? how loss of significance results into gain?

What is exact question ?

I am not very ambitious on returns. My buy price (after accounting for splits/bonuses…) is about Rs. 17. Does 20X in 15 years count for a return?

Biocon tries too many things, it appears to be aggressive at times and very defensive at times.
Aggressive: developing new drugs (though with partnerships, licensing…), trying to be an innovator
Defensive: When they enter service space (with assured margins) that affects their product business
Too active: Buys a business from its customer, sells something else…

Pretty complex to analyse. Only concern is “outsized influence of the promoter, who is past the prime, on the business”

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Hello

If you read close;ly… there is a certain regularity which is getting into their business and they are more foussed on monetizing Bio similars … They also have API’s ( linked to their generics ) and some generics and small molecules. Gestation of their business is long. and can be cyclical . They also spend sizable amount on R & D and call it out. They claim to make 30 % margin ex R &D and once R & D pipeline generates sizeable revenue . Numbers will start showing up . They also are probably best CDMO player potentially with 100 % India presence … There are off and on events which impact the companys standing but really not so much to sleep over. There is also an optonality about Bicara which not many people know about.

To round it off about Madams larger than life image, she is what she is and nothing much you can do about it Suffice it to say that there is a capable team below at all levels …

Thanks

Malolan

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Not much happens in India without bribes, all big business give bribes. That’s not cause of a low valuation.

Bicara raised Seris C funding, which resulted Biocon Stake dilution, so there was a loss of significant influence over control by Biocon as there will be other funding parties on the board.
But that fund raise resulted into gain for Biocon agaisnt their stake sale.

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Equillium Inc. and Biocon reported positive Phase 2 trial results for Itolizumab in treating moderate to severe ulcerative colitis.

After 12 weeks, 23.3% of patients achieved clinical remission, compared to 20% for adalimumab and 10% for placebo.

Endoscopic remission was 16.7%, matching adalimumab and higher than placebo (6.7%). Itolizumab was well tolerated, similar to past trials.

Big Positive, doctors ?

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Biocon Update:

Biocon Biologics launches Yesintek™ (ustekinumab-kfce) biosimilar to Stelara® in the U.S.

→ Approved for Crohn’s, ulcerative colitis, psoriasis, and psoriatic arthritis.

Cost-effective alternative with formulations matching Stelara: 45 mg/0.5 mL PFS, 90 mg/mL PFS, 45 mg/0.5 mL vial, and 130 mg/26 mL vial.

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Biocon | Management Interview

  • We will launch Liraglutide in Europe in FY26
  • Company launched the drug in the UK.
  • In the next fiscal year, they expect mid-to-high teen growth in generics, with a large part contributed by Liraglutide.

Watch here

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Many positives in results. One of the good points is that finally management has made up their mind on no IPO for Biologics and will push equity raise in parent co to reduce debt. Bicara did an IPO and this was also a vindication of the companys earlier efforts

Malolan

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GLP-1 Drug approval in place for India market.

if my understanding is correct, they have not ruled out an IPO as yet. For now they are evaluating what is best option. Quoting her interview as reported in moneycontrol (source added):

“The IPO market is not very predictable right now,” Biocon and Biocon Biologics executive chairperson Kiran Mazumdar-Shaw told Moneycontrol in an interview on May 14 evening. “If we are not going to get value for an IPO, then why should we do it? If a merger is a better option, we will do a merger.”

“We are just being transparent,” she said. “If things suddenly change and it makes it very attractive to have an IPO, we will have an IPO. Otherwise, we will merge.”

The company has formed a board committee to evaluate all strategic options, including a merger, within a few months.

Source: Biocon’s Kiran Mazumdar-Shaw looking at biosimilar unit merger, IPO plans on hold

What is more noteworthy is their intention to retire structured debt by raising equity (possibly through a QIP).

Disclaimer: not invested, tracking for a long time

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Hello

Just reinforces Itolizuma,s cliinical relevance . We may hope it becomes a blockbuster but that is yet another matter !