Ajax Engineering - Building a SLCM monopoly?

Ajax Engineering, a concrete equipment manufacturer is doing an IPO. The issue will be open from 10th to 12th Feb and the company will list on the bourses on 17th Feb.

The Offer

The IPO is unusual in the sense that it is entirely an OFS with no fresh issue of shares.

It sees the complete exit of its investor, a PE firm called Kedaara Capital and partial sale of shares of promoters.

Business

They manufacturer a bunch of different products - listed below (product descriptions are provided by Perplexity AI)

  1. Self-Loading Concrete Mixers: These are versatile machines that combine concrete batching, mixing, and transportation in one unit. Equipped with a self-loading arm, they automatically load raw materials like cement, sand, and aggregates into a rotating drum for mixing. Ideal for small to medium-scale projects and remote sites, they save time and labor while ensuring consistent concrete quality.

  2. Batching Plants: These facilities produce high-quality ready-mix concrete by precisely blending raw materials such as cement, water, and aggregates. Available in stationary and mobile types, batching plants are crucial for large-scale projects requiring consistent concrete supply. They automate the mixing process, reducing errors and enhancing efficiency.

  3. Transit Mixers: These truck-mounted mixers transport freshly mixed or partially mixed concrete from batching plants to construction sites. Their rotating drum keeps the concrete in a liquid state during transit, ensuring it remains usable upon arrival. They are essential for delivering concrete to distant or hard-to-reach locations.

  4. Self-Propelled Boom Pumps: These machines feature a robotic hydraulic arm (boom) mounted on a truck chassis for precise concrete placement at elevated or hard-to-access areas. Self-propelled boom pumps are compact and highly maneuverable, making them suitable for urban construction and infrastructure projects like bridges and high-rise buildings

  5. Concrete Self-Form Pavers: Also known as slipform pavers, these machines continuously mold and finish concrete pavements without the need for fixed forms. Used in road construction, airport runways, and bridge decks, they ensure high precision and durability while reducing construction time.

  6. 3D Concrete Printers: This innovative technology uses large-scale 3D printers to construct buildings or components layer by layer using specialized concrete mixtures. It offers unparalleled design flexibility, reduces material waste, lowers costs, and accelerates project timelines. Applications include residential housing, infrastructure projects, and customized architectural designs.

However, almost the entire business revenues comes from one product - Self-Loading Concrete Mixers

There are three ways to manufacture concrete from cement

  1. On-site, Manually - Used in small sized projects where cement is mixed by hand or in small drums to produce concrete
  2. On-site, Mechanized - Used in medium sized projects where SLCMs are used to produce concrete from cement
  3. Remotely, Mechanized - Used by large sized projects where Batching Plants are used to produce concrete from cement and then its transported to the site using Transit Mixers.

Relevant Financials

Good sales growth but appears to slowing down in FY25

FY23 and FY24 sales grew at ~50% but 6M FY25 sales grow at only ~12.5% and 6M FY25 are currently at 44% of FY24 sales which means FY25 might see a sales degrowth.

To me, it is unclear whether this represents an issue with the business or the general environment. There has been a slowdown in government infrastructure spending in FY25 due to general elections so it is plausible that it is the primary source.

Healthy gross margins and PAT

Gross margins range from 26% to 30%, giving the company lots of room to work it in terms of labour. Additionally, PAT margins seem to be creeping upwards demonstrating operational leverage (see below)

Company appears to have made a strategic decision to produce at full capacity

For SLCMs, CUF has grown from 17.71% in FY22 to 93.50% in 6M FY25.

However, while inventory days went from 81.57 days in FY22 to 16.32 days in FY24, it has jumped back to 73.88 days in 6M FY25.

This suggests that Ajax Engineering probably misjudged the demand

(From top left, clockwise - 6M FY25, FY24, FY23 and F22)

Debt free balance sheet

Company has no neglible borrowings and negligible lease liabilities


It has about ~640 cr in cash equivalents (investments + cash + other) and ~500 cr in inventory

For its Plant 4 that will be operational in March 2025, it appears that its existing assets are enough to fund it (though no details on the exact capex required is mentioned in the RHP)

Total Addressable Market (TAM)

Company claims via Industry Overview section of RHP that 10,000 Mn INR of SLCMs were purchased from FY19-FY24. However, the math doesn’t add up with Ajax Engineerings sales figures which totalled approx 30,000 Mn INR in SLCM sales from FY22-FY24 which are 3x the growth! (the export revenue is very marginal so can’t be it)

(I’m probably missing something here - will update when I or someone else figures it out).

Risks

  1. No Diversification - Almost all their revenue and their only growth driver appears to be one product - SLCMs. I haven’t looked at its peers but I am sure they have a substantially more diversified mix.

  2. No Clear Growth Plans - They have not shared their capacity of their new plant in their RHP. Nor have their provided a clear picture on what the TAM of SLCMs in India is.

  3. Not Clear on what SLCM’s Moat is - I am not from the construction industry so I have no idea how defensible SLCM’s moat is & how vulnerable they are to domestic and foreign competing products.

If you work in the construction industry, sharing your experiences on how their SLCM product is perceived would be extremely helpful

Disc: Not subscribing to IPO, will wait for more clarity on growth plans and moat to construct a valuation

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Thank you for starting a thread and giving overview of the company.

Quick clarification as per my readings online 60% of their sales usually happen in second half as that is when construction usually picks up, so they should still have reasonable growth of around 15%(projecting around 2000 crore for FY25 based on first half) which would still be much lower than the rate for the past few years. Profit maybe slightly higher if they are able to maintain or raise margins based on operating leverage kicking in.

While there is no moat per-se, company is not only the largest SLCM manufacturer in India but in the world with close to 77% market share in India. Market dominance in itself can act as a moat due to economies of scale and brand value and as they are a world leader, must be doing most things right. They spend 1% of revenue on R&D and also have 1 patent.
90% of sales is currently from India though they have a good sales network aboard.

Clarity on new plant capex and plans for the future is awaited.
Market usually fancies market leader in any sector/industry.
Though no direct peer Action construction seems closest peer which is trading close to 40 forward PE albeit it has superior return ratios.

On the face of it, seems an interesting play on capex and infrastructure which will be a growing theme for many years, if not decades, so runway is large

Not yet decided on applying for the IPO but I would be considering to if i can get more clarity/data from management during interviews and further reading

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Found this article online.

(Note interview is from January 2023)
Looks like they have mixed up $ for ₹ :smiley:
@vada_buffet CEO has mentioned 100 crore as capex for 5th plant which he was projecting to be operational by year end. Intresting that it’s still not online more than 1 year later.(Have they slowed down due to demand slow down? If so would seem prudent in hindsight :slight_smile: )
2026 sales is projected at 3,000 crore which will be close to 50% growth over this year. Seems a bit ambitious but they have done so in recent past and could achieve if new plant is online and can contribute meaningfully towards FY26 sales

He has also mentioned size of the market at 5,000 to 6,000 crore and projected to grow to 8,000 crore in a few years.

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Thanks for sharing your thoughts

On Q3/Q4 sales

Good point, I just checked FY24 vs. 6M FY24 numbers and 6M FY24 numbers are 40% of FY24.

I conclude that sales degrowth is unlikely but still would like to see 20%+ sales growth at least which is not likely either.

On market dominance acting as a moat

Unsure if I agree with this. The economies of scale are not very big (property, plants and equipment line item is around ~100 cr) and I don’t think brand is that much of a moat in B2B.

I believe the only moat here would be building a superior product but that is something more qualitative rather than quantitative. I must admit that I don’t think I can ever judge the qualitative attributes of SLCMs.

On competition

None of the publicly listed peers that they have compared their ratios to in the RHP are direct competitors so I don’t think one should benchmark their ratios against ACE, BEML, Escorts.


(Table constructed by Perplexity AI)

In their RHP, they actually do a product comparison against a bunch of privately held companies

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Regarding guidance by management, I am always very skeptical of it. I don’t think they have any chance of 3000 cr sales by FY26 :slightly_smiling_face:.

The only way I see it happening if the reduced capex spending by government this year was almost entirely responsible for their slowdown in sales for FY25.

Posting interview with CEO and management(pre-IPO interview)

First one has innovative new products, including 3D Printing concrete and slip-form paver which seems very interesting and along with self loading boom pump could be a ‘blue ocean’ market segment but need to see market adoption of the same.
Good to see company is proactive looking at new areas of growth and trying to diversify from core SLCM strength.

The new CEO Shubhabrata Saha(hired in 2023) seems very competent (ex-M&M tractors head) and looking aggressively to grow the business

Looks like capex for new plant is only 50 crore and not 100 crore quoted in the article posted before. Seems about right at Gross block is around 200 crore for 4 plants. Will only be operational around August 2025 so, full impact maybe only seen in FY27 so would agree with @vada_buffet that 3,000 crore target for next year is more than a stretch.

They are guiding 15-18% growth for SLCM and 19-22% for non-SLCM, exports 25% and spares around 20% so I think can grow around 20% on blended basis for next few years.

Overall very promising company but valuations aren’t cheap considering growth may not be as high as last 2 years.

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SLCM rev contribution is ~ 81%. Overall growth guidance is 15-18%.Also H2 > H1.

What % of AJAX Engg sales get reflected in VAHAN? I could not get the equipment count for each FY as recorded by the company, any pointers will be helpful.

Below registration volumes number I was able to extract from VAHAN.

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One could calculate it from (all data is from RHP)

  1. No of units produced in FY

  1. Calculate blended average price per unit for SLCM and non-SLCM equipment by adding (SLCM revenues + 75% of inventory)/SLCM units produced and (non-SLCM revenues + 25% of inventory)/non-SLCM units produced

  1. Divide SLCM revenues/average price per SLCM unit to get no of SLCM units produced. Same for non-SLCM units.

If you calculate this, please do share. Would love to see the results :slightly_smiling_face:

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Page 33 of RHP SEBI | Ajax Engineering Limited - Prospectus has below SLCM unit sales number for the last 3 FY’s.

Oh well, that’s a lot better than doing all the calculations I posted above :slightly_smiling_face:

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Good Q3 #s
Revenue: Up 37% YoY at ₹548.1 crore, up 82% QoQ
Net Profit: Up 26% YoY at ₹68.1 crore, up 100% QoQ
EBITDA: Up 32% YoY at ₹88 crore, up 125% QoQ
Margins: 16.05% vs. 16.7% YoY, 12.98% QoQ

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Summary of concall from last week, outlook seems promising:

  • Quarterly Performance: In Q3 FY25, AJAX reported a total revenue of INR 548 crores, reflecting a 37% year-on-year growth. SLCM revenue contributed INR 470 crores, and overall revenue for the first nine months stood at INR 1,318 crores, up 21.6% year-on-year.

  • Revenue Mix: SLCMs are pivotal, accounting for 85% of total revenue. Other segments, including spares and services, also showed solid growth, with spares revenue increasing 23.5% to INR 98 crores.

  • Operational Insights: AJAX maintains a network of 51 dealers and 114 service touchpoints across India. Their manufacturing facilities utilize lean processes and technology-driven practices, contributing to operational efficiency.

  • Market Trends: The Indian mechanized equipment market is projected to grow from INR 6,100 crores to INR 17,800 crores by FY29. AJAX is strategically positioned to leverage this growth, especially through new product developments and expanding its international footprint.

  • Challenges and Outlook: The first half of FY25 saw slow growth due to government capital expenditure delays linked to elections. However, the second half is expected to rebound as government activities resume. Cost pressures from new emission norms may affect margins temporarily, but AJAX anticipates maintaining stable operating EBITDA in the mid-teens.

  • Future Plans: AJAX aims to continue its leadership in the SLCM market while expanding its non-SLCM offerings and exploring international markets, particularly leveraging its capabilities in innovation and customer support to enhance competitive positioning.

Try another summary with FinDL

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Management has also mentioned about the inventory built up of vehicles manufactured as per previous emission norms (CEV 4). These can only be sold up to the end of June 2025. Also there is cost involved, in changes for manufacturing new vehicles, as per new emission norms (CEV 5). Despite these short term challenges, management has guided for stable ~15-16% EBITDA margin and good H2 FY26 with capex picking up after the election year.

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  • VAHAN regn count for Q4 FY25 is 1648 vs Q4 FY24 of 1214 and Q3 FY25 of 1075.
  • This implies a YoY growth of 35%, and QoQ growth of 53%.
  • Q4 results will be blockbuster, it seems.
  • No positions as of now.

Source: VAHAN SEWA| DASHBOARD

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