As of today, I sold my stake in Jamna auto. I bought it in April 2021 as a replacement for IEX (which in my opinion was fairly valued at that time ). If I had held onto IEX, returns would have been higher as IEX has doubled whereas Jamna has gone up by ~70%.
Jamna is a play on MHCV revival. Though the CV cycle is still in early stage, stock prices have zoomed in anticipation. I have valued Jamna on a 10x EV/EBITDA multiple (on conservative side as CV downcycles can be bad and prolonged) giving me an exit price of ~150 by FY26. The incremental returns have fallen below 10% and I have exited accordingly. So my current CV cycle play is via Ashok Leyland and Atul auto. Cash is at 11% and detailed portfolio is below.
Core compounder (54%)
Companies | Weightage |
---|---|
I T C Ltd. | 8.00% |
Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. | 4.00% |
NESCO Ltd. | 4.00% |
Manappuram Finance Ltd. | 4.00% |
Ajanta Pharmaceuticals Ltd. | 4.00% |
Aegis Logistics Ltd. | 4.00% |
Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. | 4.00% |
Amara Raja Batteries Ltd. | 4.00% |
Avanti Feeds Ltd. | 4.00% |
Eris Lifesciences Ltd. | 4.00% |
HDFC Bank Ltd. | 2.00% |
HDFC Asset Management Company Ltd | 2.00% |
Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd | 2.00% |
PI Industries Ltd. | 2.00% |
Control Print Limited | 2.00% |
Cyclical (16%)
Companies | Weightage |
---|---|
Kolte-Patil Developers Ltd. | 4.00% |
Sharda Cropchem Ltd. | 4.00% |
Ashiana Housing Ltd. | 2.00% |
Ashok Leyland Ltd. | 2.00% |
SWARAJ ENGINES LTD. | 2.00% |
Kaveri Seed Company Ltd. | 2.00% |
Slow grower (6%)
Companies | Weightage |
---|---|
Cochin Shipyard Ltd. | 4.00% |
Power Grid Corporation of India Ltd. | 2.00% |
Turnaround (6%)
Companies | Weightage |
---|---|
CARE Ratings Ltd. | 4.00% |
Lupin Ltd. | 2.00% |
Deep value (7%)
Companies | Weightage |
---|---|
SJVN Ltd. | 1.00% |
ATUL AUTO LTD. | 1.00% |
Jagran Prakashan Ltd. | 1.00% |
D.B.Corp Ltd. | 1.00% |
Time Technoplast Ltd. | 1.00% |
RACL Geartech Ltd | 1.00% |
Shemaroo Entertainment Ltd. | 1.00% |