The Anup Engineering Ltd - Can it scale up?

Blockbuster set of results from Anup

Order book - Rs 854 Crores

EBIDTA of Rs 37 Crores, growth of 24%

Margin at 23.7% vs 20.9%

Net Profit of Rs 43 Crore, growth of 121%

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Order book is 875 cr against annual turnover of 550 odd Cr
New acquisition and Kheda completion should add to capacity

I think orders are not a problem, capacity constraints may be.

Had attended Q4FY24 con call, would like to share higlights along with my comments:

Revenue & OB:

  1. Achieved all guidance i.e. 25-30% Revenue Growth and 20%+ EBITDA for FY24. In fact, looking at OB along with recent Mable acquisition - company is headed for 35% growth for FY25 while building OB for FY26 as well.
  2. OB stands at 854cr and 57.2% are exports. However, this is double-edged sword in terms of OB being fixed-priced contracts. So, Raw Material Booking on continous basis will be key to secure them at right costs.
  3. Management hinted that we could book at lot more OB but want to be within our executable limits (On-time delivery) and within our desired margins.
  4. Mentioned about reaching 1000cr. mark revenue in FY27.

CAPEX and Growth Initiatives:

  1. Company acquired Mable Engineering for 33cr. The annual revenue may touch 50-60Cr in FY25, this is based on single-shift basis meaning potential of revenue is lot more. Post FY25, company plans to really accelerate Mable Engineering.
  2. Mable is giving advantage of expanding product line into Silos, Geography Diversification, and making some of Anup’s equipment in Mable facility.
  3. Earlier, company planned to increase Kheda Facility with additional 0.5 bay. This will be done in Q1 and operational in Q2. On full-year basis the 2-bays currently at kheda will generate 200cr (For FY26).
  4. Company will go plan for Phase II expansion at Kheda by FY25-end. Facility will come in quickly and CAPEX willl be lower v/s Phase I because all utility around was build during Phase I.
  5. Company discussed plans to start Skids and Moulds in Phase-III. So, quite a crystal clear objective in terms of how to take this company forward step-by-step.

Other Important KTA:

  1. Exports are majorly into US and Middle East. Diversified the revenue and not dependend on one location…
  2. Exports have 30-40% advances, hence a lot of savings in terms of Working Capital. So, return ratios will improve a lot. Exports do have better margins but want to take FOREX fluctuation into account. Had FOREX been constant, the margins would be >20%.

Note: Have highlighted only the points which I think are important. Might have missed some of the remarks made by management.

My Take:

I am pretty happy with way company guided on exports. There will be better WC efficiency as 30-40% will be advances. There is possibility to achive >20% EBITDA on exports. Hence, with Mable, it looks 35% revenue growth is within reach for FY25. And, on top the quality of earning is a big plus as the cash conversion is prestine.

Discl: Invested.

Regards,
Mukul Jain

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This has been a good special situation aka demerger to be invested in.

I think Arvind group is preparing for another suc opportunity.

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Another such opportunity?

Which one? Envisol?

Advanced Materials Division which is being separated into WOS…

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Q1FY25 Concall Summary

Business Updates

  • Pending orderbook stands at Rs 810 crore as on June 2024
  • Of total Q1 revenues Rs 8 crore was billed from Kheda plant and with the current plan in place this plant will bill Rs 175 crores in FY25
  • The revenue from the acquired business “Mabel” will deliver revenues of Rs 50 crore for FY25
  • The design operations at Vadodara is a 50 member team and the wish is to grow this to a bigger size
  • With the current capacity in place the company can deliver revenues of approximately Rs 1000 crore
  • The strategy to expand geographically to newer customers and countries will keep continuing
  • For FY25 based on existing order book revenues should be Rs 700 crore with an EBITDA margin of 20% plus

Participants

Abakkus Asset Managers

Samasa Capital

Shubh Labh Research

QnA

  • The pending orderbook should end FY25 at around Rs 900 crores
  • The total capacity put together at all three plants should have a revenue potential of Rs 1000 crore with Mabel contributing Rs 50 crores
  • Around end of CY25 will take a call on building phase 2 at Kheda and construction period is around 11 months for the same for constructing one additional bay
  • Each new bay at Kheda shall cost Rs 40-50 crore and it should give an asset turnover of around 3-4 times
  • On an annualized basis around 20-30% of the order execution is from hydrogen sector and of this majority will be exports to USA, Canada and NEOM project in Saudi Arabia
  • The project for Saudi Arabia was the first time company executed a project in the green hydrogen space in Saudi Arabia
  • The production will now be segregated as the Ahmedabad plant making heat exchangers only and the Kheda plant will make reactors, column and vessels
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Just wondering will this not be called insider trading? like relatives buying just before the results?

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Hi, Which platform can one see these transactions on ? Excuse me I am new to this and learning. Thank you.

Rupeevest, Morningstar, Trendlyne

Did anyone attend concall?

Q3FY25 Concall Summary:

Performance:

Sector-wise Q3 FY25:

  • Hydrogen: 45%
  • Petrochemicals: 20%
  • Oil & Gas: 17%
  • Fertilizers: 14%

Hydrogen Business Contribution

  • 30% of YTD revenue from hydrogen-related projects.
  • Q3 FY25 saw 45% revenue from hydrogen, expected to normalize to 30-32% for the full year.
  • Majority from blue hydrogen, with a smaller share of green hydrogen

Product-wise Q3 FY25:

  • Heat Exchangers: 57% (Ahmedabad plant)
  • Vessels, Reactors & Columns: 42% (Kheda plant)

Geographical Revenue (9M FY25, revised):

  • Domestic: ₹208.4 Cr (41.4%)
  • Exports: ₹258.4 Cr (51.3%)
  • SEZ & Deemed Exports: ₹36.6 Cr (7.3%)

Mabel Engineers Performance

  • Q3 FY25 revenue subdued as major deliveries are planned in Q4.
  • 9M FY25 revenue: ₹26 Cr, on track for ₹50 Cr full-year target.

Gross Margin Expansion Drivers

  • Higher export mix improved forex gains.
  • Hydrogen projects use exotic materials, leading to lower competition and higher margins.

Capacity Expansion at Kheda:

  • Phase 2 expansion underway (1 new bay + open yard); Operational by Q3 FY26.
  • Will have ₹400 Cr annual revenue capacity from Kheda after phase 2, 33% of the total master plan (₹1,200 Cr).
  • Final capacity: 7 bays, supporting ₹1,200 Cr revenue.
  • Self-Funded Expansion: The ongoing Phase 2A expansion at Kheda is being funded entirely through internal accruals.

Revenue Potential: Current Manufacturing Capabilities: Ahmedabad, Kheda, Tamil Nadu together can support ₹1,000 crore revenue

Post-expansion (including the ongoing construction), capacity will increase to ₹1,200 crore.

Kheda Plant Expansion & Revenue Potential

  • Phase 1: Two bays are already commissioned and operational.
  • Phase 2: Construction has started on two additional bays (one fully covered, one open yard).
  • By September 2025, there will be a total of four bays: three covered and one open yard.
  • The total revenue potential from the Kheda facility is projected at ₹400 crore.

FY25 Outlook:

  • Targeting ~30% revenue growth with ~23% EBITDA margin.
  • Exports to exceed 50% of revenue (51% in 9M FY25).
  • Order book as on January 31, 2025 is ₹831 Cr , with ~₹600 Cr executable in FY26
  • Mabel is expected to contribute around ₹50 crore revenue in FY25, with ~15% EBITDA margin.
  • Expects to close FY25 with Standalone revenue of ₹725 crore, maintaining a 30% YoY growth.
  • Mabel will contribute another ₹50 crore, though ₹20 crore won’t reflect in consolidated revenue due to timing of the share transaction.
  • Consolidated FY25 revenue is projected at ₹750 crore .
  • Q4FY25 revenue expectation: ₹240-250 crore (Anup + Mabel).
  • Projects are lined up, with dispatch schedules in place to achieve Q4 targets.

FY26 Growth Guidance:

  • Export Order Intake Run-Rate: Expected ₹110-115 crore export orders per quarter

  • Revenue growth of 25-30%

  • EBITDA margin over 20%

  • EBITDA margin guidance at 20%+ vs. 23%+ in FY25, with a conservative approach prioritizing growth.

  • Exports to remain 50-55% of total revenue.

  • Strong export inquiries, domestic market sluggish but improving.

  • Indian PLC (Petrochemical & Refining) projects yet to materialize; expected in 6–8 months

  • Global projects delayed due to geopolitics, policy uncertainties.

  • Hydrogen, gas, and energy transition projects remain key global opportunities.

  • Inquiry pipeline of ₹900 crore, with 70% from exports.

  • Strong demand from hydrogen (U.S., Canada, Europe) and gas projects (Middle East).

  • Domestic growth led by petrochemical projects (Reliance, Adani) and upcoming PSU refinery/petrochemical projects.

Miscellaneous:

Fixed-Term Contracts & Raw Material Price Volatility

  • Anup Engineering operates only on fixed-price contracts.
  • Cost components are built into estimations at the initial stage.
  • For critical orders where price volatility is a concern, back-to-back agreements with vendors are made to mitigate risk.
  • This ensures protection against raw material price fluctuations.

Capacity Utilization: Current overall capacity utilization is approximately 70-75%.

Seasonality Impact on Quarterly Performance

  • Q1 & Q3 tend to be weaker due to festivals and absenteeism.
  • Q2 & Q4 are peak quarters with full operational efficiency.
  • Q4FY25 is expected to be exceptionally strong due to project completions and high dispatch volume.

Management is exploring more long-term manufacturing partnerships like Graham. Such tie-ups ensure stable order inflows rather than competing for each order.

Reason for low tax rate: lower tax rate due to some tax reversals of last year and ESOPs being exercised by a few members.

Net Debt-Free: The company remains net debt-free.

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Hi there folks, just wanted to know if there is any impact or potential challenges of Trump tariff scenario on this company? Last 3-4 days the price action seem to be not that great which may indicate that there’s some fear. Thanks

ANUP’s export revenue was 46% in the last quarter and the company is targeting to achieve 50% by year-end. Of course, there is likely to be some impact due to the ongoing tariff issues, as they also supply to the United States. If an investor has a long-term perspective on this company, they should not worry about daily, weekly, or even monthly price movements. One should only buy if they believe the stock is at a cheaper valuation and closely track the business performance. Don’t worry about price movements as long as you feel that the growth story remains intact.

Disc - Invested at lower levels

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