Tembo Global - Infrastructure proxy?

I am reposting this after understanding the forum guidelines. I was not able to edit my original post so created a new one.

I have this company in my portfolio which makes fittings and fasteners for pipes, solar modules and have recently announced order win larger than their market cap.

Tembo Global is a New Mumbai based company involved in manufacturing & trading of metal items for supporting of pipes, HVAC ducts, solar panels. They make various types of supporting items like hanger supports, U-Bolts, anchor bolts, saddles etc, anti-vibration systems. They also make forged fittings and flanges which are used for completing the piping installation. This company is also in trading of textiles. The current MCap of company is 266 Cr

With the ongoing infrastructure work and capexes in varous industries, there seems a good opportunity for such a company to grow it sales. For example let’s say an apartment building is being built, it will need fire hydrant piping. This company makes supports on which fire hydrant piping is installed. Or let’s say a hotel or a company is built which also has HVAC (this is a centralized air conditioning and ventilation system) in addition to fire hydrant, then this company also makes supports and slotted channels for the installation of HVAC duct in addition to floor and shower drains that are required in each residential apartment/hotel room. In chemical or oil and gas industries lots of pipes are installed for material movement. These pipes need to be suitably fixed during installation using U-bolts, anchor bolts, hangers. This company manufactures such items.

The major raw materials are MS strips, MS rods, steel alloys. Change in prices of steel would have an effect on the input cost, but I have generally seen that the product prices fluctuating along with steel prices.

From screener, I found below:

Sales growth 3 years: 47% and profit growth 3 years: 43% compounded.

However, the operating margin is very less (approx. 5% for last two years) which means they make commodity products. However, what brought this company on radar is the sales growth and growth in fixed assets (plant & machineries was 5.74 Cr in Mar’20 and 7.29 Cr in Mar’23). I do not remember the screener filters I made, but was now trying to understand this company better after their announcement of order wins of about 241 Cr on 10May24 (https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/TEMBO_10052024145728_order.pdf).

There is no mention of customer in the announcement so I believe this is their cumulative order wins over some time. (They also had announced an order receipt from Kalpataru of approx. 9.45Cr for a civil contract work of BPCL, but withdrew it on 15Feb24 after Kalpataru delayed the civil contract order.)

Other quick information:

Below is renumerations of promoters from their FY22-23 annual report.

Mr. Sanjay Patel is 42 lakhs

Mr. Shabbir Merchant is 49 laksh

Ms. Fatema Shabbir is 33 lakh and 0.1 lakh for sitting fee.

Total renumeration (except sitting fee) is 20.8% of their net profit for FY23-24.

As for the promoter shareholding, the promoter shareholding as start of FY22-23 was 72.7%, at end of FY22-23 has gone down to 55.4%. The company had brought a rights issue in Aug’22.

Summarized thoughts:

If the government policies change or there is a pandemic like Covid, it will affect the growth of company.

With increase in government focus on infrastructure, government and private capexes, there will be growth in new buildings/hotels/airports/factories etc. all of which need the products that are made by this company. Their sales growth of last few years, increase in fixed assets and looking at their balance sheet and cash flows I am trying to understand more about the robustness of the business of the company.

What are the pointers that would indicated robustness of the business of this company?

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The Company is showing profits but is not able to generate any Real Cash and thus required to raise Cash through Rights Issue as well as increase in debt levels. The products also seems to be a commodity with just 5% OPM. Be careful with Micro And Small Caps.

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Decrease in promoters share from 72.7 to 54.2% is a big red flag. It appears that they didn’t subscribe to full quota of their rights entitlement. Generally promoters shareholding increases after rights issue, as some shareholders quota remains unsubscribed. So find the reasons.

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Seems like their growth is coming from the trading of textile materials.
Its margin growth from their engineering products that is coming to play. For that reason I am not convinced by the company.

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Thankyou for the pointers. I went through the details. I could not find why the promoters did not subscribe fully to the rights issue, but the pointers were really helpful to understand the business better. May be not a good business, but to develop and understanding, below are my assessments.

  1. Their cash is mostly tied up in inventory and loans & advances so it is not a real cash item thus the actual cash profit is affected.
  2. Cash flow from operations is -ve for FY23-24 which is not a good sign. I understand that atleast the cash flow form operations should be +ve indicating that at least some of their notional profit is getting converted to cash. In this case, they will need to borrow money for day to day operations also.
  3. Their fixed asset growth is less so they are not expanding physically. Means they are not seeing growth in their engineering products business. So one question here is why is their inventory increasing? Could it be due to their trading activity?
  4. They have more capital employed in the engineering products, but they had a -ve profit margin there in FY24. If their assets are not growing much, then where does the capital employed go? Also they are having more sales in trading business so why is the capital employed in engineering business more?

I no more hold this company but I am curious about understanding a business, their balance sheet, cash flow etc and this is now just one company that I am trying to understand as a part of my learning.

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Regarding Engineering and textile segment Order book


Order book in EPC segment

My conecrning point are share portion of promoters and cashflows. Trying to understand more about business

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image

This is a snapshot from Tembo Q4FY24 presentation where they believe they will reduce their high margin textile business from 66% to 35%.

While this is a snapshot from Q1FY25.

Are they lying or that baffled that they have changed their revenue course of action in 4 months where they are dragging down their textile business where the margins are coming from to 15%?

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Textiles is trading only… low margin business

So revenue stays the same? Revenue drops down with margins and returns?

All these are Projections for FY 27 and FY 28, Shift can take years, Right?

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Tembo Global has received an order from Maharashtra State electricity Distribution Co. Ltd for 25 years of PPA for Solar Photovoltaic power generation stations valued at approx INR 595 cr.

Disc: Not invested (may invest in future) and sharing only for educational purpose.

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There is other income of 9.6 Crores in Fy’25. Can anyone please explain that? I could not find any details on the same? Without the other income results don’t look great.

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This is likely to be a pump and dump story. MoU means nothing and state govts do it all the time with shady firms with no history, capacity or intention of investment.

Where is this 1000 crore coming from? What are they going to manufacture with zero experience in defence manufacturing? Why sudden interest in all the growing sectors like solar, defence etc when majority of revenue is from textile(low margin business).

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Couple of questions:

  1. Tembo is expanding it’s manufacturing capacity by 6x. Anyone know’s what is utilization of their current 15,000 MTPA capacity? Presentation mentions 15,000 MTPA is single shift capacity, Is their factory running at 2-3 shifts already, hence they need additional capacity or they are just setting up this additional capacity for to improve their valuation?

  2. They did 700 cr+ revenues this year, however their latest presentation says guidance for next year (FY 26) is 700 cr. Are their expecting degrowth in revenue with the revenue mix now moving more towards non trading activities?

  3. Anyone having more insights into the buyback agreement..who is the company, what is the size of buyback deal etc?

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Few answers as per my understanding-:

  1. Not mentioned anywhere the capacity utilization of the current 15,000 MTPA

  2. The above screenshot is for the segmental revenue target. FY26 revenue guidance of 700 cr is only for Engineering solutions division. I also got confused when I saw first time.
    They have also target for 400 cr from textile and not mentioned anything about EPC division

So target of FY26 is 1100cr just considering engineering & textile solution.. EPC will be additional

This is the conclusion what I drawn from PPT of Q4 FY25

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Has anybody reached out to management for any clarification? I had put down an email to management to understand why are they foraying into defense and solar when the cashflows are already negative and with such high d/e there is always a chance of default. Suprisingly, i did get a response from the EY investor relationship team that they have sent the queries and the team would reach out to me on my cell phone.

D: Invested

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Did you get the reply to your query ? I had sent them an email to visit their factory but did not get any confirmation reply