Styrenix Performance Materials - This Market leader is doubling capacities - FAST!

This is a summary of a more detailed post - This Market leader is doubling capacities - FAST ! I’ve put it in bullet form to keep it short.

Investment Case Summary for Styrenix:

Styrenix offers compelling growth potential driven by strategic ownership realignment and capacity expansion. The Agarwal family’s reacquisition signals renewed focus and operational discipline. Recent initiatives, such as de-bottlenecking projects that boost capacity by 30–50% and the $20 million acquisition of INEOS Styrosolutions (Thailand), And planned capex position the company to double domestic capacities by FY28. As a leading ABS and SAN producer with robust cash flow and a debt-free balance sheet, Styrenix is well poised to capture growing domestic demand and benefit from import substitution in raw materials. The downside is dependence on Auto sector and ABS-styrene spreads, which are outside company’s control.

Here’s a more point by point outline of the Investment Thesis

Establishment & Ownership Changes

  • Founded:

    • Established as ABS Plastics Limited in 1973 by the Agarwal family.
  • Ownership History:

    • INEOS Group acquired the company in 2012.
    • The Agarwal family repurchased a 62% stake from INEOS in November 2022.
    • Renamed the company as Styrenix Performance Materials in January 2023.
  • Recent Developments:

    • In June 2024, promoters sold a 16.5% stake to repay acquisition-related debt, reducing their holding to 46.2%.
    • On December 9, 2024, SPML signed a share purchase agreement to acquire INEOS Styrosolutions (Thailand) for $20 million.
  • Growth Plans:

    • New management aims to double domestic capacities by FY28 (This has been pre-poned, as mentioned in the Q3FY25 concall)

Business Model & Market Position

  • Core Products:

    • Produces ABS (Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene) and SAN (Styrene-Acrylonitrile) polymers.
  • Raw Material Sourcing:

    • Imports 90% of its raw materials:

      • Styrene and Acrylonitrile: Imported.
      • Butadiene: Sourced locally.
    • India imports nearly all its styrene due to challenges in domestic production (raw material availability, high investment costs, competitive global pricing, and regulatory hurdles).

    • Indian Oil Corporation plans to build a styrene monomer plant by 2026–27 to reduce import dependency.

  • Market Share & Capacity:

    • In FY24, India’s total ABS demand was approximately 320,000 tonnes per annum (TPA).
    • SPML’s capacity: About 85,000 TPA, capturing around 25% of the market.
    • Domestic producers cover roughly 45% of the market; the remaining 55% is imported (mostly from Taiwan and South Korea).

Operational & Financial Highlights

  • Capacity Expansion:
    • De-bottlenecking initiatives increased capacities by 30–50% in the ABS and PS divisions.
    • Plans to invest ₹650 Cr to potentially double sales at full capacity by FY28.
  • Cost Optimization:
    • Reduced auditor fees from ₹40 Lakhs per year to ₹15 Lakhs (Amongst many other important and larger expenses)
  • Margin Volatility:
    • Profitability is heavily influenced by the styrene–ABS spread, which is volatile due to:
      • Global events (e.g., 2021 Texas Winter Storm, 2022 Russia–Ukraine conflict).
      • Fluctuations in raw material prices.
  • Financial Strength:
    • Strong cash flows and a debt-free balance sheet.
    • Valuation metrics indicate a Price-to-Book ratio of 6×, which is above the median, reflecting bullish market expectations, though dividend payouts have significantly impacted book value.

Risk Factors

  • Raw Material Dependency:
    • Heavy reliance on imported raw materials (styrene and acrylonitrile) makes the company vulnerable to global price fluctuations and supply disruptions.
  • Cyclical Demand Exposure:
    • A significant portion of SPML’s products is used in the automotive and consumer white goods sectors, which are cyclical. A downturn in these industries could negatively impact revenue.
  • Margin Volatility:
    • Profitability depends on the volatile styrene–ABS spread, affected by factors such as geopolitical events, natural disasters, and crude oil price changes.
  • Execution Risk:
    • Aggressive capacity expansion plans require flawless execution. Any delays or inefficiencies could adversely impact profitability and overall performance.

Disclaimer

  • Disclaimer: I hold shares in the company as on 3rd Feb 2025 in very small quantities
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Thanks Rahul for starting the post.

I found 2 imp in concall

  1. Styrenix is maintaining its volume growth guidance of 15% to 20% for its India business.

  2. Styrenix paid $22 million for the acquisition of the Thailand asset. The Thailand asset also had $4 million in cash in the bank.

Net cost of the acquisition was $18 M. Which seems excellent.

Disc: Invested and views are biased

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I am trying to understanding the cyclicity in this business, when i plot the consolidated sales for styrenix performance and its peers, i see the trend attached. Is it because of raw materials pricing?

image

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Adding some reading I did on the ABS market and players in the industry

Market Size and Growth

The Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene (ABS) market in India has shown significant growth and is projected to continue expanding. The demand for ABS stood at approximately 0.32 million tonnes in FY2021 and is forecast to reach 0.56 million tonnes by FY2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.44% during this period. Another report indicates that the ABS market was 238 KTPA in 2018 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.21%, reaching 677 KTPA by 2030.

Key growth drivers

  1. Electrical and Electronics Sector: The increasing use of ABS in electrical appliances due to its excellent insulation properties is a significant driver of demand. The domestic electronics market is projected to reach $120 billion by 2025, further boosting ABS consumption
  2. Automotive Industry: ABS is favored in the automotive sector for its lightweight nature, which contributes to fuel efficiency, as well as its resistance to heat and impact. The implementation of new vehicle regulations has also spurred demand for ABS components in vehicles
  3. Medical Applications: The use of ABS in manufacturing medical equipment, including inhalers, has emerged as a growing segment, especially following the COVID-19 pandemic

The outlook for the Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene (ABS) market in India appears promising, with strong growth potential and increasing domestic production, although there are some factors that could affect the market in the short term.

Current market situation

Market Size and Growth:

The Indian ABS market is estimated to be around 300,000 to 320,000 tonnes per annum.
The market is experiencing robust growth with demand expected to increase by 7% to 10% annually.
This growth is driven by increasing demand from key sectors such as automotive, household appliances, electronics, medical devices, and toys.

Import Dependence and Opportunities:

Currently, India relies heavily on imports to meet its ABS demand, with approximately 50% or more of the market being supplied by imports.
The major countries that export ABS to India include Korea, Thailand, and Taiwan.
This high import dependence presents a significant opportunity for domestic manufacturers to capture market share by substituting imported ABS.

Domestic Capacity Expansion:

Several domestic players, including Styrenix, Supreme Petrochem, and Bhansali Engineering, are undertaking capacity expansions to meet the growing demand and reduce reliance on imports.
Styrenix is planning to increase its ABS production capacity to 210,000 tonnes by FY28.
Other companies are also increasing their capacity which is expected to add capacity to the market in the next few years.
These expansions are aimed at meeting the increasing domestic demand and potentially reducing imports.

Competitive Landscape:

The market is expected to become more competitive as capacity expansions come online.
While there are several players in the market, including private limited companies in the ABS market, there are no private limited companies that are direct competitors to Styrenix in the ABS market.
Despite increasing competition, Styrenix believes that the market will grow at a healthy rate, ensuring that all capacity expansions will be comfortably absorbed by the Indian market.

Pricing and Margins:

ABS prices and margins are influenced by global market dynamics, raw material costs, and product mix.
Freight costs can impact the pricing of imported ABS, providing domestic suppliers with a competitive advantage.
Styrenix has a strategy of focusing on specialty grade ABS, which commands better margins than commodity grades.
Styrenix has also implemented measures to improve efficiencies, increase capacity, and optimise product mix to mitigate the effect of fluctuations in raw material prices.
It is able to pass on raw material price increases to customers, which protects their margins.

Trends

The trend is towards increased domestic manufacturing, with the Indian government promoting initiatives like “Make in India”.
There is a growing preference among consumers to buy from domestic suppliers.
There is increasing demand for value-added products and blends of ABS, which provide higher margins than standard products.

Potential Challenges:

There is a possibility of short-term pricing pressure as new capacities come online.
There may be volatility in raw material prices which can impact margins.
The company has to be prepared for some volatility in the market as it operates in a normalised business environment.

In conclusion, the Indian ABS market is poised for significant growth, with increasing domestic production and strong demand from key sectors. While there might be some short-term challenges related to competition and pricing, the long-term outlook remains positive due to the large market potential and the shift towards domestic manufacturing. Styrenix, with its established market presence and focus on value-added products, is well-positioned to capitalise on this growth.

Market share and growth

  1. Bhansali Engineering Polymers
    Market Share
    : Approximately 37.5% of the Indian ABS market.
    Overview: A well-established player in the ABS manufacturing sector, Bhansali Engineering has a significant presence and contributes to the domestic supply chain.
  2. Styrenix
    Market Share: Approximately 37.5% of the Indian ABS market.
    Overview: A global leader in styrenics, INEOS Styrolution has a strong operational capacity in India and is known for its innovative solutions in ABS production.
  3. Imports
    Market Share
    : The remaining 25% of the ABS demand is met through imports, primarily from countries like China and South Korea.
    Overview: These imports fill the gap in local production and offer competitive pricing, although they are subject to tariffs aimed at promoting domestic manufacturing.

Supreme Petrochem

Supreme petrochem is entering ABS currently. It putting up a new capacity of 1,40,000 MTPA (2 capacities of 70,000 MTPA each).
First capacity will commission by Mar-2025.

Styrenix Platform

The company aims to increase ABS capacity from 105,000 tonnes to 210,000 tonnes and is undertaking a brownfield expansion project to achieve this.

Initial Capacity: Prior to debottlenecking efforts, the company’s maximum production or sales of ABS from its own production was around 65,000 tonnes
Debottlenecking Target for FY24:
Through debottlenecking, the company achieved a production volume of 90,000 tonnes of ABS in the previous financial year1.

Debottlenecking Target for FY25: The company is targeting a production capacity of 100,000 to 105,000 tonnes of ABS through further debottlenecking in the current financial year

The company aims to increase capacity to 210,000 tonnes of ABS by FY28

Bhansali Engineering

With regard to enhancement of ABS production capacity from 75000 TPA to 200000 TPA at Company’s existing plants at
Abu Road (Rajasthan) and Satnoor (Madhya Pradesh), the Company had appointed Toyo Engineering India Private Limited
(‘TOYO’) as Engineering consultant for Front End Engineering Design (FEED) and CAPEX Cost Estimation.

The realistic project cost for 200000 TPA ABS capacity will be arrived based on TOYO’s report, detailing the project cost of
increase in SAN, HRG and Compounding capacities at Company’s plants.

The expansion will be funded through internal accruals and the Company will continue maintaining its “Zero Debt Status” in
future as well. As capacity expansion is the “Need of the Hour”, the Management shall endeavor to implement the project likely by March, 2026.

The Company deals with single business segment viz. manufacturing of ABS and SAN resins (which is classified under the
category of Highly Specialized Engineering Thermoplastics)

The Company optimally utilized the production facilities and achieved growth in production and sales quantities. The Company
recorded the highest ever production levels of ABS and saleable SAN aggregating to 75152 TPA, thereby achieving a capacity
utilization of 100.20 % of the installed capacity of 75000 TPA. Similarly, the Sales volume for the FY 2023-24 stood at 75143
TPA as against 73388 TPA during the previous year 2022-23, registering a growth of 2.36 %.

Market share and competitors

Styrenix Performance Materials Limited has a significant presence in the Indian market for both Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene (ABS) and Polystyrene (PS). Here’s a breakdown of their market share and competitive landscape, drawing from the provided sources:

Styrenix’s Market Share:

ABS: The company holds approximately 30% market share of the Indian ABS market. In the previous financial year, their market share was around 26% to 27%, indicating growth in this area.
Polystyrene (PS): Styrenix’s market share in the PS market is about 20% to 23%. In the previous financial year, their market share was around 17%, also indicating growth.
Overall Market: The total market size for ABS and PS in India is around 300,000 tonnes. This implies that Styrenix sells approximately 90,000 tonnes of ABS and 60,000-65,000 tonnes of PS.

Competitive Landscape:

  • ABS Market
    Imports:
    A significant portion of the ABS demand in India is met through imports, with about 50% or more of the market being supplied by overseas companies. This indicates a substantial opportunity for domestic players like Styrenix to gain market share by substituting these imports.
    Key Importing Countries: ABS imports come primarily from countries like Korea, Thailand, and Taiwan, and sometimes from Europe.
    Domestic Competitors: There are other domestic ABS producers in the market including Supreme Petrochem and Bhansali Engineering who are also expanding their capacity. However, there are no private limited companies in the ABS market that are direct competitors.
  • Polystyrene (PS) Market
    Imports:
    PS is also imported into India with key suppliers being Iran and Thailand.
    Domestic Competitors: There are other domestic PS producers but Styrenix believes the market is large enough for both Styrenix and its competitors.
  • Blended Market
    There is a market for blended materials like polycarbonate ABS and nylon ABS blends. Styrenix estimates the addressable market for these blends to be around 40,000 to 50,000 tonnes.

Market Dynamics:

Growing Demand: The Indian market for both ABS and PS is expected to grow. ABS demand is expected to grow at 8-10% per year and PS demand is expected to grow at 5-6% per year.
Capacity Expansions: Styrenix and its competitors are undertaking capacity expansions, driven by the demand in the Indian market. Styrenix believes that there will be sufficient demand to absorb the increased production from all domestic manufacturers.
Preference for Domestic Supply: The company believes that consumers are increasingly preferring to buy from domestic suppliers.
Pricing pressures: While the market is expected to grow, there could be some pricing pressure in the short and medium-term. However, in the long term, the increased domestic production is expected to reduce imports.

Key Takeaways:

Styrenix is a leading player in both the ABS and PS markets in India, with a strong market share and good relationships with customers.
The company is well positioned to capture a significant portion of the market, particularly in the ABS segment, given the high level of imports currently entering the country.
The company faces competition from both domestic and international players.
The company’s focus on value-added products and expansion will be important in increasing their market share and profitability.

In summary, Styrenix holds a strong position in the Indian polymer market with a substantial market share in both ABS and PS. The market has considerable opportunity for growth. This growth will come from a reduction in imports as capacity increases from Styrenix and its competitors.

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Also, ABS comes in the value chain of crude oil, after 2-3 stages. Hence, on the basis of what I have observed from the crude oil charts and ABS players margins, what ever crude prices are currently is reflected in the margins of ABS players in 1 year.

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Oil prices are expected to face downward pressures over the next 2 years due to global oil production outpacing demand, according to a report by the US Energy Information Administration.

The January 2025 Short-Term Energy Outlook notes the Brent crude oil price is forecasted to average $74/bbl in 2025, which is an 8% decrease from 2024, and it is projected to drop another 11% to $66/bbl 2026.

You can check the trend of Styrenix’s Operating Margin trend across Crude Oil Price Change. With Crude Oil prices forecasted to trend lower, maybe it sets up Styrenix in a good position.

SPML’s competitor Bhansali Engineering are available at a decent valuation as compared to SPML though the performance of Bhansali is as good as SPML if not better. Bhansali’s dividend yield is better than SPML. From that point of view, I would bet on Bhansali than SPML.

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@First_Principles @the_solo_investor
Recent OPM is 11-13%, it was single digit from Fy 2016 to 2020 and 20+ in Fy 2021-22. What should be normal margin range? The same (Cyclicity of margin) is there with Bhansali as well @abkamath.

Looking for your views, Thanks.

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Hi Deven,

Next time you send me an email, kindly give me your personal email id so that I can send you a private message rather than sending it to Valuepickr forum.

The margin actually depends on the world PPE prices. Whenever the PPE prices are high, the OPM comes down and vice versa when PPE prices are low. If you go to screener.in you should be able to compare the OPM for different years.

Regards,

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Hello, can anyone help on how to track global and Indian ABS spreads.
Thanks!

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So if crude price goes down their margins will dip like it did from FY21 highes when during Russia Ukraine war crude prices went up and then crashed so did the margins of these companies?

Here’s the relation between change in operating margin and change in crude oil prices, the table has been adjusted for 1 year time lag. you can see the opposite impact every year

OPM FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 FY24
Change In OPM % (Absolute Difference) 14.5% -3.8% -6.8% 4.7% 21.1% -3.0% -11.4% 0.1%
Crude Oil Chg % -32.2% 60.0% 14.1% -7.2% -21.8% 37.4% 55.6% -19.5%
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.783355861
R Square 0.613646404
Adjusted R Square -1.333333333
Standard Error 0.073917895
Observations 1
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@Sagnik_Karmakar The spreads in all of the key categories of Styrenix seems to be improving perhaps led by pressure on crude. Could possibly mean more margin expansion.

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Shareholding for the period ended Mar’25 was interesting,
[Ikigai emerging equity fund: Fund manage by Pankaj Tibrewal] and Motilal Oswal Small Cap Fund has increased from 2.11% to 2.50% and from 2.51% to 3.08% respectively.

Notes from Concall Feb 2024

  • we are finally constraint by the amount of product we can produce and mostly all of the product that we are producing we are able to currently sell. …we are kind of running quite high on capacity utilization

  • we are able to get much larger share of OEM business that we were doing earlier

  • Polystyrene application 40% durables (fridge/washing machine)

  • volume growth guidance of 15% to 20%

Acquired Ineos Styrosolution (Thailand) Co and renamed Styrenix Performance Materials Thailand Limited- Highly attractive valuations. Total equity Rs. 464 crores, so we get the plant for Rs. 160 crores net of cash balances? India capacities being expanded ABS from 105 KT 210 KT and for polystyrene for 105 KT to 150 KT, which was like a 150K tonnes increase, for Rs. 650 crores.

3 important levers 1) Capacities 2) New geographies and qualifications 3) Product Tech

  1. Capacity- Rubber about 31,000 tonnes, a total ABS capacity of around 85,000 tonnes, and a SAN capacity of 100,000 tonnes. SAN, of course, if it is utilized to make ABS, the SAN available for sale would be reduced by that extent. Ineos did Sales volumes of 105 KT (2021), 65 KT (2023), 75 KT (2024). So, overall, if you look at ABS and SAN and exclude the SAN used for ABS, the total capacity is 125,000 tonnes. So, we have obviously some headroom to grow over there. 2021 was a good year for all because of disruptions and 2023 was a tough year.

  2. We get access to all different new markets. There are already fair bit of qualifications which have been done from product in Thailand in very key markets and key sectors like automotive, industry, household appliances in China, in Vietnam, in Indonesia, in Thailand, in Japan, in Korea. And we get access to all these markets also now. There are qualifications done with OEMs over there which can also benefit us in India and vice versa. (BUT INEOS couldnt sell the full capacity)

  3. Multiple new uses for the technologies which would be coming in from the Thailand facility which can help expand our product profile in India.

  • we shall have access to certain extrusion grade ABS which can be used to make also refrigeration liner grade ABS, which is unique to the plant in Thailand. There is a large market for in India, which is currently served by imports. With this acquisition, we get access to that technology, which is a significant development

  • We also get access to certain water clear high chemical resistance SAN, which is again produced specifically in the Thailand plant and is not commonly produced elsewhere in the region.

  • We also get certain other bimodal rubber technology which can be used for certain applications which are under the low temperature ductility kind of application.

India Capacity-

  1. completed debottlenecking activity at PS plant in Q2. Current capacity 100KT

  2. Current ABS capacity is 105KT- Accelerating brownfield expansion in ABS. Phase 1- 50 KT ABS capacity by middle of 2026 itself, which in our earlier plan was 2028. Phase 2 to add another 50 KT of ABS will follow and is expected to be commissioned ahead of the schedule.

  3. This Q Nandesari plant rubber capacity increased up till 27 KT. This can support 105 KT of ABS production

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Chart seems interesting and showing signs of upmove. The promoter had sold in June 2024 and some interesting names came up, including Enam, Vallabh Bhansali, Sage One, and others

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CARE Ratings has reaffirmed the long-term/short-term bank facilities of SPML with a rating of CARE A+; Stable / CARE A1+. Simultaneously, the rating has been removed from ‘Rating Watch with Developing Implications’, and a ‘Stable’ outlook has been assigned.

This update comes after gaining adequate clarity on the business and financial profile of the acquired entity and its post-acquisition impact on SPML.

SPML, through its wholly-owned step-down subsidiary, Styrenix Polymers (Thailand) Co. Limited, acquired INEOS Styrolution (Thailand) Co., Limited for a consideration of US$22.3 million. An additional US$1 million was paid towards a technology and license agreement with INEOS Styrolution. The acquisition was funded through a term loan of US$22.24 million at the acquired entity level, backed by a corporate guarantee from SPML

The acquired entity manufactures specialty Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene (ABS), high heat ABS, and Styrene Acrylonitrile (SAN) polymers with an installed capacity of 85 kilo tonnes per annum (KTPA) for ABS, 100 KTPA for SAN, and 31 KTPA for High Rubber Graft (HRG) rubber. It has an established presence with customers across Thailand, South-East Asia (SEA), and China. In CY24, the acquired entity had a revenue of approximately 4729 million Thai Baht but experienced an operating loss, partly due to corporate charges paid to the former promoters. SPML plans to turn around the operations of the acquired entity in the near term.

CARE Ratings believes that the acquisition is not likely to have a material impact on SPML’s combined financial risk profile and expects it to remain comfortable in the medium term. This is supported by SPML’s healthy existing credit profile, characterised by a healthy profit before interest, lease rentals, depreciation and taxation (PBILDT) margin and nominal long-term debt. The availed term debt for the acquisition has a moratorium of one year, with repayment scheduled to commence from April 2026. Furthermore, SPML’s liquidity remains healthy, with combined cash and bank balances of over ₹100 crore as of March 31, 2025, and nil utilisation of fund-based working capital limits. The acquisition is expected to enhance SPML’s business profile by expanding its scale of operations, providing global presence, synergy benefits, and access to newer markets.

credit ratings_Styrenix_Performance_April 2025.pdf (167.4 KB)

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Did a deep dive on Styrenix. The thread is relatively under-discussed so thought, I’ll put in a more detailed report.

Styrenix Performance Materials Limited (SPML) is a leader in domestic Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene (ABS) and Styrene Acrylonitrile (SAN) co-polymer markets with ~30% domestic market share and has ~20% MS in the Polystyrene (PS) market.

What is ABS ?-

Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene (ABS) is a thermoplastic polymer known for its toughness, impact resistance, and ease of processing.

ABS is widely used in various industries, including automotive, consumer goods, electronics, and 3D printing. Its versatility and durability make it a popular choice for a wide range of applications, from LEGO bricks to Automotive parts.

  • ABS (~2/3rd of revenues) -

  • Market and Industry landscape -

  • ABS Market in India is 3.25 lakh tonnes per annum market growing at 7-8% p.a.
  • Currently, there are only 2 large players in India. Styrenix and Bhansali Engineering Polymers Limited (BEPL).
  • Styrenix is the largest player with ~105k tons per annum by end of FY25. BEPL is the second largest with 75k per annum capacity. ~50% of ABS is imported from Japan, Korea and Taiwan.
  • Supreme Petrochem primarily a polystyrene manufacturer is setting up a 140K plant (70k plant will come on board by FY26), whereas BEPL is expanding capacity by 125k by end of FY26.
  • Styrenix on the other hand is also doubling capacities to 210K by FY27. Broadly by FY27, we should see imports dropping from 50% to a significantly lower number.
  • SPML ABS -
  • SPML manufactures various grades of ABS under the brand name ‘ABSOLAC’ and SAN under the brand name ‘ABSOLAN’. The company has developed and introduced two new brands, ‘STYROLOY’ for blended products and ‘ASALAC’ for Acrylonitrile Styrene Acrylate (ASA) .
  • ABS is compounding process of SAN & HRG, Butadine. SAN was entirely imported earlier. 1 unit of HRG will enable production of 4 units of ABS. 110,000 tons of ABS will require more than 110k capacity of SAN.
  • 70% of porfolio would be specialized in ABS and 30% commoditized, hence spreads are relatively better
  • The company’s blends currently does around 100 tonnes a month (Styrloc and ASALAC) and have significantly higher margin than commoditized ABS.
  • Where is ABS and SAN used?
  • In ABS, the company caters to the automotive industry, we cater to household appliances or large appliances, electronics, medical devices, small appliances, stationery, toys. Generally, the revenue mix is about 40% in automotive, 40% household appliances and rest in other industries.
  • Acquisition in Thailand -

The company acquired Ineos Styrolution Thailand for a consideration of ~170 crores (~20 million USD) Ineos is a well-established global supplier with a focus on manufacturing and distribution of specialty ABS, high heat ABS, and SAN polymers.

It also has a strong well – established customer base in Thailand, SEA and China.

Total capacities are 125k excluding SAN. Thailand is at 60% capacity utilization.

Ineos Thailand had 2024 Revenue / EBITDA of 1125 crores with EBITDA breakeven.

If the company is able to turnaround the operations, it can be a material positive for the company.

  • Polystyrene - (~1/3rd of revenues) -

  • What is Polystyrene ?

  • Polystyrene is a synthetic plastic (polymer) created from the polymerization of styrene. It’s a hard, lightweight, and transparent material widely used in various applications, including food service, packaging, and medical devices.
  • A type of PS is more known to most people. EPS (Expanded Polystyrene) is commonly known as Thermocol.
  • EPS is a lightweight, foamed version primarily used for packaging and insulation.
  • PS Market -
  • India’s Polystyrene market demand stood at 280 KT in FY 2024 and is growing at 7-8%.
  • Supreme Petrochem has the largest plant in India with (~300k capacity) whereas SPML has ~100K plant.
  • LG Polymers Limited was the second largest by name plate capacity. However in May 2020, a gas leak in the plant resulted in death of 12 people and impacted 10000 others. ([LG Gas Leak]. The plant has since been shut and is not expected to re-open.
  • Imports constitute ~25% of total market (~60-70k) primarily from Thailand, Iran and other countries in FY24, though with increase in capacities import share is expected to be lower.
  • Where is Polystyrene used ?
  • Polystyrene is used about 40 odd percent in household appliances, 40% in packaging and ~20% in other industries. In PS, ~25-30% sales are to OEM’s.SPML PS -
  • The company also has an established presence in PS segment, which is sold in the brand name of ‘STYRENIX PS.
  • The company has ~100K MTPA capacity in Polystyrene and in 24 months will increase capacities to ~150K MTPA
  • In PS, 60-65% is kind of commoditized, 35-40% is specialized.
  • Volumes -
  • The company has seen it’s volumes increase by 15% CAGR from FY22. With de-bottlenecking in place the company has capacities to continue increasing volumes at a similiar rate for next couple of years.

-Spreads -

After abnormally high ABS spreads have remained bounced back sharply and are currently stable at ~30-35 rupees a kg.Similarly PS prices have remained stable at 105-115 rupees a kg.

Whereas most chemical commodities have seen sharp pricing and spread declines in FY25, both ABS and PS have seen resolute spread performance in FY25.

Conclusion -

  • Styrenix is placed in an attractive positions where volumes have been rising whereas spreads have been stable. With chemical cycle likely to get better in FY26, crude price volatility and no major incremental global supply coming in, Polymer commodity spreads can be a key monitorable.

  • Styrenix remains in a trifecta of import substitution, stable spreads and strong execution, whether this results in acceleration of earnings or not, only time will tell !.

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