Start of Blogging my Investment Journey Varun Raipat

Using this medium to document my investment learnings, stock picks, investment psychology in a structured manner.

Why Investing?
Goal is to be financial independent through investing and generate returns such that passive income (investment) becomes larger than my active source of income.
I don’t have any particular figure in my mind but i started investing just for fun, but i have developed keen interest in investing by making lots of mistakes; i.e. picking stocks just by looking technical charts/froth in market/fomo.
Learning:
I have started researching on my own, not getting caught up in FOMO, staying away from hot picks across social media, investing in my research and learning. I have started to write blog for making my thoughts bit structured and my picks more intelligent.
Do provide your invaluable insights what all i can do to start making good bets

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Can you also post how are you analysing the companies fundamentally. What are the things you look for and why?
Also what is your current portfolio and thesis behind buying them?

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I learned first point the hard way. I’ve decided to initiate my position in a new company with max 5% allocation of my portfolio.

Currently reading “The making of a value investor” by Gautam baid. He has shared his experience and learning from 2017 to 2020 bear market. It’s a great read with a lot of learnings. You can give it a try.

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What is your current portfolio like and maybe it will be helpful if you can share average price too of buying

Can Visit my portfolio and provide some reviews.
All or your mentioned names are new for me so u don’t have any view on them will add them to my watchlist.

I have shared in thread if you visit it summary of kind for every company why I have invested.

Hi @Varun_Raipat
Did some analysis on Kamat hotels.

Analysis of Kamat Hotels

  1. Financial Health & Liquidity
  • The interest coverage ratio(2.4) and current ratio(0.6) appear weak.
  • It is essential to assess whether the company is facing any liquidity issues.
  • On a positive note, borrowings have been declining year after year.
  1. Growth Financing Challenges
  • Being a low-ROE business, the company must determine how it will fund its growth—through debt or equity dilution.
  • Given that the hospitality industry is capital-intensive, significant initial investments are required.
  • If growth is primarily debt-funded, it could further weaken the interest coverage ratio.
  1. Profitability & Competitive Positioning
  • Can the company increase its profitability? If so, what strategies will drive this improvement?
  • Does Kamat Hotels possess any competitive advantage?
  • What factors differentiate it from other players in the industry?

Analysis of Shree Karni Fabcom

  1. Business Model & Competitive Advantage
  • It is very difficult to create a moat in a commodity business, as differentiation is limited.
  1. Transparency & Communication
  • The company does not conduct earnings conference calls (concall), which may impact investor communication and transparency.
  • In a microcap illiquid company with no track record of business and management, if something goes wrong with results or execution, quarterly concalls provide crucial clarity to investors. And gives strength to hold the company if nothing has changed fundamentally.
  1. Financial Health
  • The interest coverage ratio is modest at 5.7, indicating a reasonable ability to cover interest expenses, but it’s crucial to monitor any potential risks.

Please share your views.

GGBL

  1. Only concern I could see is how will they manage healthy cash flow from operations. Generally contracting/B2G companies find it difficult to generate healthy cashflows from operations as a lot of money is stuck in receivables.

Analysis of Tolins Tire

  1. Financial Health
  • Cash flow from operations is negative, raising concerns about liquidity and sustainability. Monitoring future cash flows is essential.
  1. Growth & Profitability
  • Growth has slowed down, indicating potential challenges in expanding market presence.
  • Margins have shown softness, which may signal pricing pressure, higher costs, or competitive challenges.
  1. Industry & Competitive Landscape
  • Operates in a highly competitive industry dominated by big and branded players with strong market presence.
  • Key Question: What is Tolins Tire doing differently to carve out a niche or build a competitive advantage?
  1. Threat from Larger Competitors
  • If large players feel threatened, they have the financial strength to take a temporary hit in profitability to undercut pricing and capture market share, potentially putting pressure on smaller players like Tolins Tire.

Read this great article by Michael mauboussin