SmallCap Hunter : Trying to find the dark horses with triggers

EWA currently contributes about 2% of Emerald’s revenue currently. I did some back of the envelope caculation based on their guidance and the numbers seem almost insignificant as far as EWA is concerned. Not sure how they are guiding for 8 to 10x PAT growth in 3 years.

FY26

Run rate at the end of FY25e = 2 crore monthly.

Run rate at the end of FY26e = 15 crores monthly.

Considering 1 crore run-rate increase every month on an avg., total disbursement from EWA = 2 + 3 + … + 13 = 90 cr.

Total revenue = 1.5 % of 90 cr = 1.35 cr.

FY27

Run rate at the end of FY26e = 15 crores monthly.

Considering it to be constant 15 crore every month, total disbursement = 180 crore.

Total revenue = 1.5 % of 180 cr = 2.7 cr.

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Other segments will also ramp up. They have tied with a lending partner for their distribution business.

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Some numbers don’t seem to match (happens sometimes when you use chatGPT) :

  1. CFO in Mar 24 is a negative -16cr and not 12.55Cr. So it has decreased and not increased.
  2. Increase in CFF is not from raising debt, but mainly from proceeds from shares of amount 17cr. Borrowings are only 6cr.

Therfore the insight that positive cash flow trend seems incorrect. D/E of 0.21 indicated moderate leverage in the capital structure and not a concern when interest coverage ratio is 19, which indicates strong capacity to meet debt servicing requirements.

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Yes after deducting other things from profit from operations.

Yes, I agree with this. Here i didn’t go inside.

Disclaimer - ChatGPT is used only to formalise & beautify the appearance of the post.

Sorry if I’m jumping in between but which stock are you discussing about? (The CFO Screenshot)

Hi everyone,
I recently came across this company - Kamdhenu Ltd.
What I found interesting and from what I understood was the franchise model they have with independent steel mills and the distribution network. They are an asset lite steel manufacturer. Does anyone track this company or have looked into it?
They also had a paint business that was recently demerged. Another thing I observed in their annual report was that their audit tax fee increased from 1 lakh the year before to 5 lakh in 2024.

Would love your thoughts on the company.

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Even jindal has a franchise model. Any clue how much revenue they have it from their PEB business ? #Kamdhenu
Thanks.

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Oh I didn’t know that about jindal.
Can you elaborate PEB, I’m not sure I understand.

PEB is Pre-engineered buildings - structures whose components are manufactured off-site and assembled on-site offering faster construction, cost-effectiveness, and adaptability.

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Quick question, any particular reason for selecting Krystal over SIS?

As SIS LTD is a market leader, it also offers diversification.

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They don’t seem to have mentioned that breakup anywhere.

Hi sanjayji, Are you sure this has any connection with Nimesh Kampani? I am not sure. This is for Yuvraaj Hygiene.

Yes, the promoters of Yuvraaj Hygiene Products Ltd are related to Nimesh Kampani. The company’s promoters include members of the Kampani family, which is associated with JM Financial Group, founded by Nimesh Kampani

KISAN MOULDING cmp 43 Only BSE listed Monthly Chart
this quarter Sameer Gupta Firm Apollo Pipes
bought almost 4% Equity at avg Price 48
Apollo Pipes now hold 58 % Equity Total Promoter holding now 69.67 % Eq
few old investors selling which is been bought by Promoters
Special Situation with APOLLO PIPES as new Promoters

last year 1 Feb 2024 Price was Rs 15
In 3 Months 3rd May Price reached 93
now after the Price & Time correction
Stock Taking Support at 200 DMA and
Also the previous Breakout retest

Anyone Tracking Fundamentally Kindly do reply

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1 .Business Overview**

  • Kisan Mouldings Ltd, established in 1982, manufactures plastic piping and irrigation products.

**Key Financial Metrics (as of April 2025)

  • Market Cap: ₹519 crore
  • Current Price: ₹43.5
  • Book Value: ₹17.2
  • Price to Earnings (P/E): 73.2
  • Price to Book (P/B): 2.56
  • Price to Sales (P/S): 2.08
  • Dividend Yield: 0%
  • Return on Capital Employed (ROCE): -17.2%
  • Return on Equity (ROE): -41.2%

Recent Financial Performance

  • Sales Growth (5 years): -11.4% (declining)
  • Operating Profit Margin (FY24): -9% (negative)
  • Net Profit (FY24): Positive turnaround, but previous years had consistent losses.
  • EPS (FY24): ₹4.87, after several years of negative EPS.
  • Debt: Company has reduced debt recently.
  • Cash Conversion Cycle: Improved to 17 days (was much higher previously)
  • Promoter Holding: Increased by 4.02% in the last quarter[

Valuation

  • Intrinsic Value Estimate: ₹10.96 (stock trades well above this.
  • The stock is trading at 2.53 times its book value, which is considered high given its weak fundamentals

Strengths

  • Debt reduction and improved working capital cycle
  • Promoter confidence shown by increased holding

Weaknesses

  • Consistent negative ROE and ROCE, indicating poor capital efficiency
  • Declining sales over the last five years.
  • Stock price significantly above intrinsic value and book value.
  • No dividend payout

Quality Assessment

  • Rated as an average quality company based on long-term track record.

2.Key Revenue Growth Drivers for Kisan Mouldings in 2025

  • Product Diversification: Expansion into new product segments such as plastic molded furniture, household wares, and custom molding articles, alongside its core PVC and irrigation products, broadens its market opportunities

  • New Product Launches: Refreshing existing product lines and introducing innovative products (e.g., CPVC plumbing systems) are expected to help regain and expand market share

  • Strong Distribution Network: With over 1,600 dealers nationwide—30% of whom are exclusive—Kisan Mouldings benefits from extensive market reach and efficient logistics.

  • Geographical Expansion: Multi-location manufacturing units and branch offices in major cities support better market penetration and customer service

  • Reputation and Brand Strength: The established ‘KisaN’ brand enjoys a strong reputation, aiding customer retention and new customer acquisition.

  • Technical Investments: Ongoing investments in technical know-how and manufacturing capabilities are expected to enhance product quality and operational efficiency, supporting future sales growth.

These factors collectively position Kisan Mouldings to drive revenue growth in 2025, despite recent subdued sales performance.

  1. New Products and Markets Targeted by Kisan Mouldings for Revenue Growth
  • OPVC Pipes: Kisan Mouldings is aggressively entering the OPVC (Oriented PVC) pipe segment, which is positioned as a replacement for traditional ductile iron pipes. This is a major new product focus, supported by positive initial feedback and planned capacity expansion.

  • uPVC Window Profiles: The company is investing in uPVC window profile production, targeting the growing construction and infrastructure sectors.

  • Water Storage Tanks: Recently launched water tanks directly compete with established brands like Sintex, expanding Kisan’s reach into the consumer and infrastructure markets.

  • High-Margin Product Lines: Focus is increasing on high gross profit products such as SWR (Soil, Waste & Rain) drainage systems, column pipes, micro-irrigation systems, and various fittings.

  • Geographical Expansion: With new manufacturing capacity in West India and a greenfield plant in Varanasi, Kisan is aiming for a pan-India presence and greater market penetration.

These initiatives are expected to drive substantial revenue growth over the next two to three years as the company scales up production and broadens its product portfolio.
Source. Perplexity

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Thank You @vineesh_ramesh for the Detailed Funda Reply.

APOLLO PIPES raising Share Holding definitely raises Confidence
Mr Sameer Gupta is known for Turnaround Stories imho

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Please provide authenticate proof if you have. Because there are no relation shown between Vishal Sudhir Kampani of Yuvraaj Hygiene Products Ltd and Nimesh Rameshchandra Kampani of JM Financial group of companies in internet.

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Both DINs are different in the two annual reports of Yuvraaj and JM Financial’s which mean these two are different sets of management.

Sector Tailwinds

Aerospace and Defense has been identified as a megatrend as the government policies have become more focused on developing the two sectors. With the rise of the aerospace manufacturing, aerospace components manufacturing and tooling companies are poised to grow similar to the automobile components industry. However , unlike automobile component manufacturing aerospace component manufacturing is much more stringent than automobile ancillary as the gaining trust of the OEMS is one of the biggest challenges as with commercial aerospace we are dealing with majorly just 2 OEMs and within private sector a few more entities.

An excellent presentation on Aerospace was shared in their annual investors summit and this is one excellent deep dive on the Aerospace sector as a whole . Value Quest is someone who bets big on megatrends with insightful articles and is a must watch for anyone interested in Aerospace

ValueQuest is betting big on Unimech Aerospace as one of the winners of this megatrend which made me excited to look further into the sector .

Techera Engineering

My first though researching Techera Engineering from SME space was this is another SME pretending to be in one of the hottest sectors of the markets capitalizing the tailwinds and encashing along the way .

But researching deeper tells another story altogether

Techera promoter Nimesh Desai has been into automation systems, machining and tooling operations for over 30 years ? What is his achievements ?

Built a proprietorship Techecellency from scratch in 1996 - > Went almost bankrupt in 2001 - > Converted into a Private Limited Company - > Established the VW Engine Assembly Line in Chakan by 2014 - > Entered into JV with Jendamark Automation South Africa - > Company made approx . 50 to 60 cross in revenues by FY 2019 when Desai sold his shares in Jendamark India to the SA JV

Jendamark was already working on aerospace tooling back from 2014 itself but I believe their core business was industrial automation and assembly line with major European automobile companies in their portfolio

Second Innings with Techera

Nimesh Desai alongwith his son Meet Desai ( Aeronautical Engineer ) started the Techera . Starting from scratch Desais understood that building assembly lines and automation for automobile had become too capital intensive as these automation lines now were driven by robotics and multiple complex capital intensive machine .

They identified the niche in aerospace tooling / MRO operations equipment’s and Ground Support equipment’s as this was less crowded and also they had the prior experience in the aerospace and again this was not capital intensive in nature.

Over the last 6 years , out of which couple of years have been lost due to Covid they have expanded the business from scratch to 38.5 cr. Techera has provided roughly 400 tooling parts for the Tata Airbus C295 program , has worked with HAL and according to a promoter in one of the interviews said a single aircraft project required rougly 300 to 400 cr tools . And these tools are specific to the aircraft make as each tool has to be customized to their specific requirements.

Techera expects to grow its Sales conservatively YOY by 30% ( CFO mentions 50% ) and maintain 70 : 30 split between Aerospace and Industrial Automation space on a longer term .

Summary

Techera is an SME in a space which is at a inflection point . Strong Promoter background , no cross holdings and big dreams ? Can it deliver on the long term time will tell but stars seem to be aligning for this small SME

Key Risks

-SME volatility on both upside and downside can be expected
-Concentrated holdings due to being SME
-Working Capital Cycle needs to improve
-Policy or Govt Change can have adverse impact
-Skilled Manpower is difficult to get
-Works closely with the contractors of the OEMs but the tools needs approval of the OEM as well

Disclosure : Invested and Biased

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