Satish's SME Corner notes and concall updates

Hello sir. Can you please have a look at Committed Cargo?
It doesn’t have a thread of it’s own!

Thanks and very nice write up.
1.Is there any fire incident happened in the company history?
2. Any value addition products started from HFO

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Hi Anushka,
I had a glance at it, Its a low margin business. Has run up a lot and looks expensive. Anything interesting happening in Committed cargo ? Since they have not done con-calls could not find much data on this.

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Hi Krishna,
Its a recent IPO, I have not seen any recent filing regarding fire incidents, but its a likely risk we have to watch out for. We have to wait for any new filing from Stallion or the next next con-call to know about HFO progress.
Reg the fire hazard risk, I wanted to understand how this might impact Stallion. Below is the table with list of gasses and fire hazard profile.

Stallion works majorly with Low-risk A1 gases , but its growth will come from HFO-1234yf, R-32 blends and the small-pack hydrocarbons which are in the A2L–A3 bands. This is expected to fetch higher margins and possible low moat as handling this is not easy , but will also raise the compliance costs, training needs and higher risk of fire hazards.

ASHRAE Industry safety class Stallion supplies these gasses End usage os the gasses Fire risk impact
A1 Non-flammable gas for SF₆ / CF₄ R-410A • R-407C • R-404A • R-134a • SF₆ • CF₄ Room- & VRF A/C (R-410A) • Retrofit chillers (R-407C) • Cold-room refrigeration (R-404A) • Auto & domestic fridges (R-134a) • Switch-gear insulation (SF₆) • Semiconductor etching (CF₄) Will not ignite under normal pressure & temperature. Fire risk comes mainly from stored-pressure cylinders, not from the gas itself.
A2 Lower-flammability, Low-toxicity R-32 • R-1234yf Next-gen room A/C & heat-pumps (R-32) • New-model car A/C (R-1234yf) Needs a strong spark + confined mix of gas/air to burn; flame front spreads slowly. Extra leak-detection & ventilation are required, but systems can still be serviced in typical workshops.
A3 Flammable R-152a Aerosol propellant, foam-blowing agent, some HFO blends Ignites more readily than A2L gases; service areas must be strictly spark-free and well-ventilated.
A4 high flammability R-600a (isobutane) • R-290 (propane) Domestic & bottle coolers (R-600a) • Hydrocarbon heat-pumps & low-temp freezers (R-290) Catches fire easily and burns fast; charged volume is therefore tightly limited (≤ 150 g in most fridges). Technicians need explosion-proof tools and strict charge-size rules.

source : https://images.assettype.com/bloombergquint/2025-01-15/kmht1n5n/Anand_Rathi_Stallion_India_Fluorochemicals_Ltd_IPO_Note.pdf

https://www.honeywell-refrigerants.com/india/?document=honeywell-genetron-407c-technical-specs&download

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@satishwe have you looked at Accent Microcell Ltd.?
Company manufactures Pharma Excipients - Micro Crystalline Cellulose (MCC) which is a binding agent. They are also moving into specialty products like CMC/SMCC which have nearly twice the realizations (MCC - INR 250-300/kg; CMC/SMCC - INR 550-650/kg). (competitor - Sigachi Industries)

Additionally, company is also undergoing a capex (current capacity: 9.2K MT for MCC, capex for specialty block: 2.8K MT by Oct’25 & additional bulk MCC capex - 12K MT by June’26) effectively a ~150% increase in capacity. Same is being funded by IPO proceeds + right issue.

Financials summary: Mcap: 650 cr, Rev: 265 cr/ PAT: 33 cr, PE: 19x, debt free, CFO/EBITDA ~0.5x.

Modelling in 60% utilization of the 12K MT plant, & 75% of the 2.8K plant by FY28 (considering company has been running at ~100% capacity for the last 3 years, so faster ramp up), we are looking at INR 575 cr revenue / EBITDA - 18-20% (uptick due to premium product mix) and PAT of 70-75 cr, which translates to 100-125% absolute PAT growth.

Considering PEG of 1x, the company looks to be interesting, considering it delivers on the capex and the ramp-up.

Would love to hear your thoughts on the same.

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Hi Satish, thanks for the reply!
Did good this year as compared to earlier earnings. FII’s have come in this quarter, which boosts my conviction a little more.
I am invested from 126 levels (a 2x for me already), so was just looking for someone more experienced with SMEs to have a look.

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Hi Vidhyut,
I am not tracking this one right now, used to hold some stocks last year. I dnt understand if they have any specific moat hence left it. But with competitor Sigachi in trouble due to recent Fire accident , this stock has started to run up a bit.

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