@nithin_Shenoy i am considering a purchase here. Just cross checking the size of revenue from just PAP. Correct me if these are reasonable assumptions.
F25 PAP production volume 8000 tonne
FY26 PAP production volume 22000 tonne
Let’s assume avg realisation of 2500$ per tonne
Across fy25 and 26 avg revenue = 300 cr from PAP
Do anyone have idea about promoter holding in Dec2023 quarter , it shows 6% decrease , is this due to promoters selling to public or due to rights issue ?
Fixed assets of the company have stabilised indicating completion of capex
Para aminophenol import prices crashed in last 1 year
Possible that company is with holding production due to unfavorable market conditions?
Right issue will be repriced. Is it a red flag.?
When right issue was priced so high that the promoter only would have participated, why is there a decrease in promoter shareholding? And why the exchange wasn’t notified of the same.
Can anyone help with the answers please?
Have a look at the other expenses in Q3 FY24 results. Any sense on what all it covers and why it has doubled from previous quarter?
Other expenses has been a big mystery to me too. Company doesn’t do concalls. Let’s see if they will put out investor presentation.
Looking at the initiatives of the company, the intentions were never doubtful.
Sadhana has 4 different auditors for Statutory Audit, cost audit , Secretarial Audit and internal audit what do you make out of it ?
The other expenses continue to be on the higher side, the receivables are on the higher side too and they don’t even conduct investor calls - dicier than ever
Business
Right Issue Upcoming :
Dividend : 15% FY 2024
Last time when the share price was up around 130-140 management announced the Right issue
Then the stock fell immediately
Later they announced bonus.
Then the stock corrected back to 58 odd levels
We could see huge spike in volume yesterday… the management again has guided for Right issue to not further dilute the equity to raise money…
I think if the results are good with lower expense then we could see chances of revival
Seems like Paracetamol API is having trouble…
Concall : Granules
Sadhana Export Data
Most what i do see here is : Other than PAP sales, the dyes side of things are growing…
Its difficult to get business bifurcation however we need to connect dots by listening to other concall.
PAP will take utmost 2-3 quarter which is second half of FY 25.
However if the business is able to maintain this sales - hard to tell… I dont know how other things within this business demand are… either its for a month or say 6 month dont know.
if someone has spoken to management please share the notes
Any update on new 3000 tonnes PAP unit? In the last PPT, they have mentioned as 6000 tonnes.
If they demonstrate the success of it then they are in right direction towards 36000 tonnes of PAP.
In June’24 quarter, sales degrown. Please share your view on results. Thanks.
Add to the above, as per Granules July’24 concall, for Paracetamol API, its worst cycle they seen in Granules history, usually it happens once in 7-8 years. Management expectes in Q4 FY24-25 or Q1 FY25-26, Paracetamol sales expects to get back.
The market price is already at 68 and guess no one likes price dropping down too much…
But the supply side issue still persists
Granules as you can see is in back to back trouble firstly data security issue, Supply issue
, now USFDA issue
The clouds are still not yet clear… as stated above their other business are doing well that’s all…
Stock price is continuously falling with no respite, looks like it will become a penny stock soon.
