RMJP's portfolio

This is my first post in valuepicker even though I was a silent reader of this wonderful forum for the past 4+ years.

Started my investment journey in Dec-2007 (just before GFC). Several learnings till date which is almost similar to other VPeers.

After reading lot of things in this excellent forum, I tried my best to limit my portfolio to 28 stocks from a jungle of 80+ stocks until 4 years back.

  • Yet to complete building the position in Auto Stocks, once done the weightage will comedown in other stocks.
  • I’m not a big fan of EV for now as it is going to take long time in India.
  • IT & Pharma → Exposed via diversified MFs containing exposure to IT sector.
  • Pharma - Exposed via Pharma MFs.
  • The stocks in direct equity portfolio contains less or no holdings in MFs.

Kindly request your views/suggestions on my portfolio.

S.No Stock Sector Rationale Avg. cost % weight by current value %ge Gain
1 City Union Bank Financial More than century old Private bank with conservative management. 103 17.37% 69.32
2 Power Grid Energy - Monopoly.
- Irrespective of source of power generation(Thermal, Solar, Nuclear etc.,) we need a medium transmit.
- Drawback is PSU owned.
140 16.96% 62.38
3 ITC Limited FMCG - No introduction required. Lots of Pros & Cons discussed in ITC thread.
- Just a matter of time for re-rating, but of course with opportunity cost.
210 15.87% -0.39
4 United Breweries FMCG Undisputed leader in beer. 912 6.35% 40.29
5 Laurus Labs Pharma Betting on Jockey Dr. Chava 435 4.45% 12.36
6 Deepak Nitrite Chemicals Betting on Jockey Mr. Deepak 1708 4.11% 3.19
7 WABCO India Auto Monopoly in braking systems for commercial vehicles. Long runway ahead… Built position recently during Promoter offloading. 5550 3.68% 21.60
8 Indian Railway Finance Corporation Financial Alloted in IPO. Will exit soon… 26 3.41% -10.19
9 Reliance Industries Conglomerate Retail, Telco & Energy Giant 1024 2.98% 95.56
10 Astral Poly Technik Chemicals No introduction required. 256 2.87% 583.75
11 Avanti Feeds FMCG Leader in the segment 164 2.52% 223.31
12 Mishra Dhatu Nigam Metals Niche sector & leader 87 2.48% 130.23
13 Cera Sanitaryware Construction No intro required. 1461 1.96% 170.42
14 Alembic Pharmaceuticals Pharma - 100+ year old company.
- Good scope for growth ahead
604 1.80% 58.32
15 Balkrishna Industries Auto Leader in off-highway tyres 410 1.69% 419.36
16 Mahanagar Gas Energy - Next decade would be CNG Focussed.
- Good financial ratios
628 1.63% 80.12
17 Suprajit Engineering Auto Leader in cables space 195 1.53% 39.42
18 Tech Mahindra IT - Good management
- Neither too small nor too big market cap.
456 1.39% 114.96
19 V-Guard Industries Consumer Durable - Good management
- Vouch for the quality of the products
65 1.37% 263.09
20 Elgi Equipments Engineering - Good management
- Leader in compressors
110 1.28% 96.51
21 Kotak Mahindra Bank Financial Betting on Jockey Mr. Uday Kotak 762 1.26% 130.76
22 AIA Engineering Metals - Indirect play of cement & mining sector.
- Leader in high chromium wear, corrosion and abrasion resistant castings used in the cement, mining and thermal power generation industries.
887 0.84% 123.76
23 Jamna Auto Auto Leader in tapered Leaf and Parabolic Springs for Commercial Vehicles (CVs) 48 0.77% 61.05
24 Oriental Carbon & Chem. Auto Leader in insoluble sulphur 905 0.52% 4.74
25 Hero Motocorp Auto Leader in 2 wheelers 2160 0.50% 33.53
26 Shilp Gravures Engineering - Nano cap gamble
- Leader Electro-Mechanical Engraving
- Continuous dividends
67 0.33% 55.62
27 Ducon Infratechnologies Services - Nano cap gamble
- Provides - Flue-gas desulfurization (FGD) is a set of technologies used in thermal power plants.
- 400+ thermal power plants needs to do have FGD in next years…
20 0.05% -65.60
28 Yes Bank Financial Gamble when SBI & Other private banks took over. Will sell after lockin period is over. 34 0.04% -60.59
100.00%
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Solid set of companies you have there. I would add more concentrated pharma bets than just mutual fund holdings currently. Also would trim down on auto ancillaries, as the worst is not seem to be over for auto industry yet.

@tommy123 Thank you for your kind words.

  • Regarding Auto, yes you are absolutely right. Worst is not over yet. Hence I have allocated less to this sector. Approx. 5% (excluding WABCO where allocation is 3.6% as I got a decent entry price recently)
  • Regarding pharma, I don’t have the good understanding of the sector. So I have chosen MFs.
  • At the same time, it does not mean that I have full understanding of the sectors that I’m invested via direct equity.
  • Majority of stocks in my portfolio is chosen based on broad categories:
  1. Leader / Niche / Monopoly / Duopoly / Oligopoly
  2. Betting on the promoter/Jockey.
  3. To some extent, proven performance in the past across cycles.
  4. Reasonable balance sheet with less or no debt. (of course with exceptions like Powergrid)

Missed to add watch list in my initial post.

  • Abbott India
  • Paushak
  • GMM
  • Happiest minds
  • Navin fluorine
  • ATUL
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Update:
Exit: Midhani - Rationale: I believe ZEE is better opportunity

Entry: Zee Entertainment Enterprise
Rationale:

  • Cleaned-up balance sheet (reduced debt),
  • Forecast for good advt. revenue growth.
  • Reasonable valuation ~20PE (below mean valuation of 26PE)

Mild accumulation - Suprajit, CUB

Regrets:

  • Missed to accumulate Laurus just after Q1 results :fearful:
  • Missed to add Abbott just below 16K

Current portfolio looks like:

Company name Cost per share % of Total %ge Gain
PowerGrid 105 17.39 77.69%
ITC 210 14.86 -0.46%
CUB 105 14.56 44.41%
UB 912 6.46 52.37%
Laurus Labs 436 6.23 62.41%
Deepak Nitrite 1709 4.79 25.60%
Wabco 5550 3.86 35.88%
IRFC 26 3.28 -7.88%
Astral 256 3.06 676.56%
Reliance Industries 1024 2.94 106.10%
Avanti Feeds 164 2.64 262.06%
Suprajit Engineering 227 2.55 39.26%
Cera Sanitaryware 1461 2.16 218.37%
Zee Entertainment Enterprises 196 2.06 -5.47%
Tech Mahindra 456 1.84 204.30%
Balkrishna Industries 410 1.71 460.53%
Mahanagar Gas 628 1.55 82.66%
Alembic Pharmaceuticals 607 1.36 24.88%
V-Guard 65 1.28 262.93%
Kotak Mahindra Bank 761 1.21 134.92%
Elgi Equipments 110 1.17 90.67%
Jamna Auto Industries 48 0.8 78.83%
AIA Engineering 887 0.77 119.71%
Oriental Carbon 905 0.55 19.30%
Hero Motocorp 2160 0.45 28.83%
Shilp Gravures 67 0.34 71.36%
Ducon Infratechnologies 20 0.09 -35.90%
Yes Bank 34 0.03 -64.73%
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Portfolio update: Reduced to 26 companies from 28 earlier.

Exited:
Zee: Unexpected twists/turns. Exited with 60% profit. Not bad at all for 70 days holding.
AIA, Mahanagar Gas: Very Low weightage in portfolio.

Partial Exit: IRFC: As mentioned earlier, wanted to exit this due to bad business selection. Bias to recover the investment. Does not seem to happen anytime soon.

Used the proceeds from above to TATA POWER and HERO MOTOCORP.

New entry:
TATA power: Integrated player in power space, Leader in rooftop solar, plans to setup EV charging stations acrosss India, bit of gamble based on Electricity Amendment Bill, and TRUST on the management.

Accumulation: HERO MOTOCORP, LAURAUS LABS albeit at higher price than today.

Mild Accumulation: Deepak Nitrite

Current portfolio looks like:

Company name Average price % (Weight) %ge Gain
PowerGrid 105 17.95 90.28%
ITC 210 15.19 5.55%
CUB 105 13.4 37.47%
UB 912 6.74 64.90%
Laurus Labs 473 5.4 6.25%
Deepak Nitrite 1734 4.68 20.30%
WABCO India 5550 4.06 48.23%
Suprajit Engineering 227 3.31 87.92%
Reliance Industries 1024 3.28 138.43%
Astral 256 3.13 725.27%
Tata Power Company 253 3.06 -13.63%
Hero Motocorp 2828 2.96 -11.93%
Avanti Feeds 164 2.24 218.19%
Cera Sanitaryware 1461 2.19 234.71%
Tech Mahindra 456 1.96 237.24%
IRFC 26 1.76 -10.96%
Balkrishna Industries 410 1.55 427.23%
Elgi Equipments 111 1.47 144.30%
Alembic Pharmaceuticals 607 1.38 31.80%
Kotak Mahindra Bank 761 1.31 165.39%
V-Guard Industries 65 1.21 254.83%
Jamna Auto Industries 48 0.92 112.63%
Oriental Carbon & Chemicals 905 0.47 5.59%
Shilp Gravures 67 0.28 51.00%
Ducon Infratechnologies 20 0.06 -54.36%
Yes Bank 34 0.03 -64.14%

Exited Tata Power and Hero Motocorp in haste and Booked loss (as I build up position in haste).
Trying not get get carried away/FOMO.

For last few months, wondering why digital/new age companies demand such high valuation.
As per the general narratives, it is factoring future grown albeit these companies burn cash today/not generating profits etc.,

So, I had look at the history of facebook. Back in 2012 when its IPO came I was wondering for PE ratio 1000+.

Today I had look at the same and perplexed. :upside_down_face:
Below is the snip (Source: Meta Platforms PE Ratio 2010-2022 | FB | MacroTrends)

But then in India, not sure which of the new age companies going to show this kind of growth (Zomato, Nykaa, PayTM, or anything else) is a million $ question :face_with_monocle:

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Hey on curious note , my eyes caught one of your script Ducon Infratech
as of now just had overviews, script is improving eventually but want to know about your study behind it.
Highly appreciate your views for it

@Shikhar_Seth To be honest not much study here and it is minuscule in my PF. As mentioned at beginning of this thread, it is just a gamble on flue gas desulphurization (FGD) process for fossil fuel power plants.

Mild accumulation - CUB around 135

Trimmed 75% of Laurus, Deepak Nitrite assuming further corrections. Only time will answer whether assumption is correct or not.

Trimmed 70% of IRFC as per the earlier plan.

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