Pondy Oxide & Chemicals

The company is allotting not only 10 lakh share at 507 but adding warrants 16lakh at same price. Thus equity will increase to1.2 crs to 1.46 crs and book value will change from 269 to 400. One of the promoter is increasing his stake from 14.32 to 15.78% and other bansal family members are not allotted share/warrants.
51.3% shares are with public and I also think it is unfair for retail investor… It would have been better if all investor would have been given opportunity to maintain their shares.

I have invested in this company in 2016 and was holding all shares till 8 Jan 2024 though price has reached to 1140 in the last year. I unable to understand what I should do at this juncture.
Any advise.

4 Likes

Same problem hare sir

We are at an interesting juncture. Please note, I’m also not an expert on this subject nor I claim to have superb understanding of these recent developments.Just wanted to share some things which is going in my head.

I agree and also didn’t like terms of raising a preferential allotment at a price with such deep discount to the market price. But the interesting thing is, would we be having this conversation just a week back? The stock gave 60-65% move in just a single week that means somebody has reacted to that move before the communication was released or may be at the news of fund raise or MoU news with Tamil Nadu Government. Before the price move last week, the same fund raise would have been appraised by me at least.

I don’t understand the good vs bad about this. So I was specifically looking for the price move today to gauge how the market feels about this. I was expecting a down circuit (-10%) but to my surprise 6% down move was I guess a profit booking exercise more than anything else. Still not sure how the coming days would fare or if there would be further deeper corrections but it feels like market’s collective wisdom is taking a breather just like everyone of us.

Infusion of capital in the most general sense is fundamentally good at least from business operation point of view and gives signs that business is looking for growth in the coming days. We can argue about the quality of growth or the forensics involved but Growth is by far the least doubtable reasons whenever any management talks about QIPs, Preferential Allotments, warrants and similar stuffs.

Lastly, as per the disclosures even the other promoters except Ashish Bansal (who can be allotted warrants) will face equity dilution like most of the retail investors…right? So would the promoters not participating in such Preferential Allotment agree to it? May be Yes…if there are very close family …or if there is a true need of capital to build something bigger…and No… if they think the discount is too steep and does look like a bad deal in terms of their own equity dilution. I think ‘Yes’… because they seem like close family (not checked though)… not sure about ‘Yes’ because of growth.

What can we do - this is still at the proposed stage correct…? We can collectively vote against it… I understand it sounds funny and might not mean much. But thats one of the way to show the dissapoint ment and other being getting out of the train? Or may be the price goes closer to that level of 507₹ where the allotment starts looking good again.

The reason why we are thinking about this is simple… Risk is synonymous to returns…and like a coin, it is only possible to face a single side at once, with just a brief idea about what the other side looks. The question is…which one should we prioritise over the other?

Disc: fully invested (no trading in the last 30 days)

4 Likes

Thanks for your valuable reply sir.

Thanks for your reply. I also feel this is unfair for even promoters except ceo and others.
The proposed distribution of warrants is available at bse
17c654c7-9413-4d7f-8aa1-536140cc1afb.pdf
1
Another thing I have noticed that the promoters share has not changed till dec 23 and there is heavy buying in this year and price propped up from 500 on 31 dec23 to 854 in this short month.
I am really confused.
Disclosure. I am invested in this from 2016 and also traded in this year. Hence this may be my biased view.
Your and others comments has helped me and thankful to you all.

1 Like

Has anyone attended the recent EGM ? It would be great to share the notes.

Concall Notes - Feb 2024

Capex:

Machinery procurement for lead vertical expansion ongoing
Capacity to increase from 1,32,000 to 2,04,000 metric tonnes per annum
Expansion project to be commissioned by September 2024
INR300-500 crores investment planned in proposed projects
Funding structure for capex explained with two phases of capital infusion
Expected asset turnover of 8 times for new plant
New Products:

Plans to set up state-of-the-art recycling and manufacturing plant in Tamil Nadu
Progress on lithium-ion recycling unit at feasibility stage
Expected revenue generation from new plant in H2 of FY 2024-25
Targeting INR150-200 crore turnover from new unit
Margins expected to improve with new plant commissioning
EBITDA margin expected to increase to 7% with new plant
Plans for lithium-ion recycling progressing at R&D stage
Roadmap for future growth includes expanding into other verticals like plastics and aluminum
Plans for lithium-ion recycling unit at advanced R&D stage
Guidance:

Promising growth potential in coming years
Expected additional revenue of INR750 crores per annum
Expected revenue growth in FY 2024-25 to be conservative at INR1,800 crores
Expected revenue growth in FY 2024-25 to be around INR1,700-1,800 crores
Timeline for full utilization of new plant expected within first two quarters of FY 2025-26
Financials:

POCL reported 16% revenue growth in Q3 FY 2023-24
Sales increased by 22% compared to last year
EBITDA levels in lead vertical improved to 6.04%
Optimum current ratio of 1.47 and debt equity ratio of 0.83
Shareholders assented to raising capital of INR133.50 crores
Market Analysis:

Global lead acid battery recycling market growing steadily
Asia Pacific region dominates market share
Focus on exports with 55% of sales from exports
Expecting consolidation in lead recycling industry
Export sales mix to remain around 55% in the foreseeable future
Regulatory Updates:

Plans for EPR and battery waste management rules being evaluated
Updates on green lead manufacturing and EPR registration process provided

4 Likes

Looks like Pondy Oxides is doing what Gravita did 3-4 years ago. It could follow a similar trajectory

1 Like

I am worried because exceptional eps of 35.6 in last Q4. Otherwise quarterly eps was around 4. Quarterly eps was POCLQtrEps23Q3…/8.71 /4.89 /3.53 /35.64 / 9.31 /10.12 /9.975 /9.055 / 12.15 /12.925/7.375 /3.845 /2.735 /0.925… 20Q2 POCL and hence I worried after result of 23 q4 if normal , ttm will drop down to 24 level from present 52 level .

Does anybody knows the reason of sudden jump in eps of 22q4?

Disc. I have exited from the stock after holding from 2016. I may be wrong.

1 Like

corporate deck

2 Likes

q1 i am curious to know why exit now why not wait for capex to do its thing. kindly enlighten with reason if you wish to
q2 is further upside restricted or better opportunity at play

Already mentioned above, he was expecting some reversion to the mean in EPS after the spurt in Q4 and then re-enter, but the train seems to have left the station as the stock has broken out again.

1 Like

Great results & great future prospects.
TARGET 2030 – POCL has laid a clear target which includes capacity expansion of existing verticals (Lead) and diversification into new verticals
(Lithium-ion); having Volume Growth 15%+;
Revenue CAGR and Profitability Growth of 20%+; EBITDA Margins 8%+;
ROCE 20%+;
Value-added Products 60%+;
20%+ Reduction in Energy Consumption to reduce Carbon Footprints.

POCL 1Q25.pdf (633.1 KB)

5 Likes

What can be implication of promotors selling 5 percent stake in last quarter?

Not a SINGLE SHARE sell by Promoter group.
Study SHP of last 1 year.
See larger view from here on.

Do proper study
Check the last 3 SHP.
Why promoter holding decrease in % terms u will know IN DEEP STUDY.
At last for ur knowledge NOT A SINGLE SHARE sell by PROMOTER.
Go n see SHP in proper way on BSE site.

2 Likes

Ms. Manju Bansal, a promoter of Pondy Oxides and Chemicals Limited, acquired 16,400 equity shares (8.53%) through an off-market transfer from her relative on September 11, 2024. This increased her shareholding to 1,11,654 shares (8.53%)
Buying share worth 3.5crore rupees.
This step by Promoter show positive momentum of recycling business.

3 Likes

Summary of the key points from the Pondy Oxides and Chemicals Ltd. (PCL) Q2 FY2024-25 Earnings Conference Call:

Financial Highlights: PCL reported strong financial performance for Q2 FY2025, with consolidated revenue from operations increasing by 42% year-on-year and 30% quarter-on-quarter. Consolidated EBITDA increased by 75% year-on-year, with EBITDA margins at 5.2%, up from 4.2% in H1 FY24. Consolidated PAT increased by 188% year-on-year, with PAT margins exceeding 3% for the same period. The strong performance was attributed to increased production, sales, and realizations in lead, plastics, and copper.

Operational Highlights: Capacity utilization of lead, plastics, and copper increased substantially. Lead division sales increased by 47% year-on-year on a half-yearly basis and 49% year-on-year on a quarterly basis. The sales mix between domestic and export markets remained at 32% and 68%, respectively. The percentage of value-added products in the lead segment remained consistent at about 60%.

Project Updates: Construction of PCL’s new plant at Tuticorin is ongoing and is expected to be completed for trials by the end of the calendar year 2024, with production commencing from Q4 FY2025. PCL is also increasing capacities in its lead vertical from 132,000 metric tons per annum to 240,000 metric tons per annum in two phases of 36,000 metric tons each. The company’s existing equity shares have been subdivided from one equity share of INR 10 face value into two equity shares of INR 5 face value. The board approved raising funds of up to INR 250 crore through a qualified institutional placement to be utilized for long-term growth and expansion of existing and new verticals.

Recycling Industry Trends: The projected growth of the recycled lead market is being driven by demand from the automotive, construction, and renewable energy sectors. The demand for electric vehicles, which use lead-acid batteries for ignition and other ancillary applications, is anticipated to further propel demand for batteries.

Government Regulations: Amendments to the battery waste management rules highlight the government’s shift towards stricter accountability for battery producers, ensuring they take responsibility for the entire life cycle of their products. This regulation may also lead to increased consumer awareness about battery disposal, encouraging responsible consumption and recycling practices.

Outlook: PCL’s outlook is positive, influenced by strategic capacity expansion, enhanced operational efficiencies, a well-planned capital expenditure strategy, and effective management practices.
Q&A session summary:

Volume Increase: The increase in sales volume was primarily driven by the lead vertical, which is backed up by the company’s expansion plans to meet potential future demand. PCL also attributed the increase to the addition of new customers and penetration into new markets.

Performance of Aluminum and Plastics Segments: The aluminum segment is being revamped to focus on value-added products. The plastics segment has seen a turnaround from the previous year. While PCL has not been able to utilize its plastics capacity as anticipated, the company expects a turnaround in the third or fourth quarter of this fiscal year.

Working Capital Increase: The sharp increase in working capital and negative operating cash flow post-working capital were attributed to the jump in turnover. The utilization of working capital increased, though the average utilization period decreased slightly.

Lead EBITDA Per Ton Increase: The increase in lead EBITDA per ton was attributed to the value-added products segment.

Hedging Raw Material Volatility: PCL hedges its raw material price risk through forward contracts and by maintaining soft commitments from larger suppliers for a specific amount of raw materials on a monthly basis. The company also has medium-term contracts (3 to 6 months) in terms of volume and supply.

Capacity Utilization and Expansion: PCL expects its new capacity of 36,000 metric tons (first phase) to be fully operational by Q4 FY2026. The second phase, adding another 36,000 metric tons, is expected to be operational by Q2 FY2027. PCL is targeting a capacity utilization of 80-90% by Q1 or Q2 of calendar year 2026.

Carbon Certificates: While PCL is eligible for carbon credits, the process is not currently active. The company plans to begin voluntarily reporting on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors to enhance its value proposition.

New Verticals: PCL is exploring new verticals in rubber and e-waste recycling, conducting techno-commercial evaluations to assess the value chain proposition. While the company is also evaluating lithium-ion battery recycling, it is not yet commercially viable due to the early stage of the lithium-ion battery market.

Impact of Government Regulations: The company believes that government initiatives and regulations, such as the Battery Waste Management Rules and Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR), will benefit PCL by making the domestic supply chain more transparent and organized, ultimately increasing domestic raw material sourcing.

Value-Added Products: PCL defines value-added products as those that are customized for specific applications and offer higher margins than pure lead. The company aims to increase the percentage of value-added products in its portfolio to 70% by FY2026.

Raw Material Procurement Mix: PCL’s raw material procurement was previously heavily reliant on imports. However, the company is seeing an increase in domestic sourcing and expects the mix to shift towards 65-70% imports and 30% domestic by next year.

Sales to Indian OEMs: Sales to Indian OEMs were approximately 36-38% in the first half of FY2025.

R&D Facilities: PCL plans to establish a dedicated R&D center in the next financial year to explore newer verticals and more futuristic materials beyond the basic recycling of non-ferrous metals.

Mundra Land Acquisition: PCL intends to start work on its 123-acre land parcel in Mundra by December 2026. The land will be used for future expansions in various segments, including lead and other verticals.

Market Share in the Lead Market: PCL estimates its market share in the organized lead market to be around 10-12% of India’s current secondary lead production.

Revenue Mix by Segment: PCL aims to diversify its revenue stream, reducing the share of the lead vertical to 65-70% by FY2027 and further to 50% in the next 3-4 years, with the balance coming from other verticals like copper, aluminum, and plastics.

Turnaround in Aluminum and Plastics Segment: PCL is working on turning around its aluminum segment by focusing on more profitable products but did not provide a definite timeline. The company expects a turnaround in the plastics segment in the next couple of quarters.

Competition from In-house Recycling: While in-house recycling is becoming more prominent in India, PCL does not view it as a threat to its business and believes companies will continue to outsource recycling.

Expansion into Steel Recycling: PCL has no plans to enter steel recycling, maintaining its focus on non-ferrous metals.

3 Likes