Morepen Labs - a believable turnaround story

Dear,
After 2008 till date:
Opm increase from 1 to 12 %_
Debt reduced from 280 to 68 crore
*** my point was to look at future prospective of new business if wellness centre…new technology in cardiology field, no copitetion and Drmorepen is good name, I believe that the way they like to expand from one to hundred centre in 3 year can raise company position. Look at virinchi divert from it to hospital and start made extra growth evenif nothing new in technology just diversification in medical field.

Please see few vedio on Dr morepen future plan.

This vedios about Dr.Morepen new business which togather their turn around made me interested to invest heavily in to Dr Morepen lab.

https://m.facebook.com/v2.3/dialog/share/submitPressRelease-Q4FY17.pdf (406.5 KB)

5 Likes

Excellent results from Morepen lab in Q2 2018:

1 Like

80901d42-e65f-43e4-9156-21ac5017606c.pdf (1.8 MB)

Excellent performance by Dr
Morepen lab, Q2 2018 net profit 5x of Q1 2018 and 1.2x Q22017…its going on good track . new wellness centre business will boost performance further in upcoming quarters.

Disclaimer: Have Dr.Morepen lab in equity portfolio since almost year since it starts turnaround and move to new business segment.

2 Likes

Results have been excellent and company is posting better, positive number with each quarter.

  • Debt reduced from 950 CR to 13 CR in 7 years time.
  • New agreement with Belgiums VESALE is going to give it footprint in the 1000 CR market of PRO-Biotics. Huge positive.
  • People are now spending money on purchasing small medical equipments like BP, SUGAR monitors at home.
  • Morepen is also selling Air Purifiers. Going to add to revenue.

All in all these are very positive signs for the company.

Discloser: Invested for LT (5-10 years)

4 Likes

ICYMI https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/healthcare/biotech/pharmaceuticals/morepen-labs-gets-usfda-nod-for-asthma-drug/articleshow/62166260.cms

1 Like

Observer rally in morepen lab…

What do you mean ‘Observer rally’? Is it positive or a negative?

1 Like

Positive… Ignore few days profit booking… Excellent in long-term

Morepen Lab - Concall update
Company Background
Company was started in Himachal in 1984 , 34 years completed now . Company was started as a API company first with small products.
In 1992 company get listed , then company started manufacturing Molecules on large scale. Now company operate as a Multiproduct Pharma company with 3 plant operating in different segment in Himachal .Main plant size is 60 acre which is known as Morepen village. One more plant is approved by USFDA and yet to start.

  • Segment
    o API
    o Finished Products
    o Diagnostics Devices
    o Consumer Product :- “Dr. Morepen” brand name.
  • Core Product :-
    o API :- 60 % revenue come from API sales . From last 10 year it contribute to 40 % domestic market share. It is growing at 15 % CAGR from last 5 year.
    o Diagnostics Devices :- This segment is growing at 20 % CAGR .
  • In 2000 company crash due to heavy debt and in 2002 restructure was done . In India major companies are focus on Finish product in international market where morepen only operate finish product in domestic market. Exposure to international market is low compare to other.
  • Currently company have 45 active drug Masterfile serving to US , Canada , Japan , Europe.
  • All API production is in house no outsourcing is there. All molecule also made in inhouse R&D .
  • Intellectual Property :- Company have 54 Patents worldwide . It is own Core strength in competition . There is strong pipeline in next 2-3 year. Currently exporting to 75 countries majority in Asian countries , Europe , US ,Canada , Russia .
  • Company main product contribute 40 % of total revenue and next 2 product contribute 20-20% of total revenue.
  • Domestic market share growing at 18 % CAGR from last 5 year. 52 % of sales in domestic market is from one product only.
  • Currently company has no inventory , no capital for CAPEX .
  • Debt has reduce substantially from 750 Cr to 29 Cr compare to last quarter and management is confident to bring Debt Zero in next quarter and focus on building API .
  • Diagnostics Device :- Company has recently stared manufacturing Diagnostics Device that were only available from unorganised sector . It started outsourcing to China and Korea. Now target in India is 1000 distributor for devices in 2-3 years.
    o Latest Product :- New product launch related to pollution . Main product is Glucose Meter with 1.8-1.9 billion users and at the end of year it will cross 2 billion users. Target is to have 5 billion users over a period of time.
    o Glucose meter record 52 % growth in 5 year. . Currently it is growing at 20 % CAGR.
  • Finish Product :- It is focus on antibiotic , Gastro , etc . It is directly offer to customer without doctor prescription . Currently company have 400 growth growing at 12 % CAGR
  • Doctor Morepen Brand :- It launch in 2001-02 and growing at 14 % CAGR and direct customer at 52 % .
  • In service segment company has launch heart care centre to treat and EPC machine to do blood circulation in the body. Company want patient to less depend on doctors .
  • Financials :- Sales grow at 14 - 16 % with EBITDA margin 12 % and PAT margin 5 % .Cash profit is upward in current quarter. On ninth month basis company net revenue comes to 142 Cr with EBITDA of 82 Cr growing 18 % and PAT of 9.76 Cr . Interest cost has come down to 90 crore compare to 220 Crore .
  • 32 % cash profit on Quarter basis and net profit increase to 107 %
  • Category wise growth in nine month:-
    o API – 59 % grow in domestic market. Diagnostic service 53 % up and 65 % up in Gluco monitor.
  • In molecule segment it record highest 25 % growth in this quarter
  • Last month company get 1 molecule approval by USFDA
  • Company has also joint venture with Marsan Pharma to cater its 1000 Cr market in India.
  • Currently where all other pharma company are in struggle its time to celebrate for company fro to get debt free soon.
    Q&A
  • What is the total market opportunity of your product ?
    o It is 2000 Cr in US we want to grab 10-15 % of it
  • What is company sustainable growth rate ?
    o It is 20 % CAGR
  • What are your EBITDA margins ?
    o It is 12 % on EBITDA compare to industry margin are 18-20 %. So there is a scope of margin upliftment.
  • Do company have any restriction on Fund raising ?
    o No there is no restriction , Company don’t want to raise any fund at this time.
  • What steps are taken by company in service segment ?
    o Company has set up heart care segment in rural area where doctors are not available . It is totally focused on technology driven diagnostic .
  • What are the margins in segment wise ?
    o All margins are in range of 15-20% in every segment on EBITDA level and 5-6 % Net margin .
  • From which segment major growth come will come ?
    o It will be from API and Diagnostic Devices at an average of 20-25 % because there is no competition in Device segment .
  • What is your current utilisation rate ?
    o It is about 90-95 %. Soon small Capex will start as financial improve. In 2019-20 plan of adding a New plant is going on.
  • What percent of revenue contribute by API ?
    o It is about 60 % of total revenue . It also contribute 60 % of revenue come from US.
  • What is your plan behind Joint venture ?
    o Company has similar product range that matches us and we can grab 10-20 % more market share from this JV.
  • Which are the area where margin can improve ?
    o As we build big our bargaining power and as our volume goes up the cost will come down automatically .
  • Which are the new market you are focus on ?
    o Japan and Bangladesh.
  • Is there still any dispute going on in court for the company ?
    o All major disputes are solved now only small disputes are there which will be sort out very soon.

Key pointers
Weak points:

  • No growth in sales as capacity utilization is at 95%.
  • No cash for expansion as focus is on debt free status.
  • Expansion will be lined during fy 19-20
  • Currently marketcap is 1700 crore while PAT is 22 crore 9 months seems overvalued.
    Positive:
  • Interest has come down significantly
  • Chart showing turnaround but as it looks overvalued it seems to be in consolidation may come.
2 Likes

Morepen Labs ConCall Q4 FY - 2018

Highlights of the Quarter:

  • Net profit rises by 25% at Rs. 29.59 Crore.
  • Net Sales Revenue up by 1.9% at Rs. 598 crore.
  • Domestic sales up by 21.3% at Rs. 414 crore.
  • The overall Home Diagnostic category grows by 34% at Rs. 103.35 crore.
  • Blood Pressure Monitors and Blood Glucose Monitors records highest growth on annual basis at 78% and 39% respectively.
  • Annual interest cost fell by 43% at Rs. 4.36 crore.
  • The company’s aim to become a Zero Debt company by June-July, 2018. Total debt as of now is Rs. 10.5 crs, which will be paid by 2 to 3 months. This year out of Rs. 67 crs earnings, Rs. 45 crs was used to payback debt.
  • USFDA clears company’s anti-asthma bulk drug Montelukast Sodium for sale in the US market. Company also gets a fresh patent for Loratadine Process
  • Improved Home Diagnostics’ sales revenue, better Cost Control, Higher EBITDA, higher Cash profit and lower Interest cost aids in strengthening bottom line further in yet another consecutive financial year

API Business

  • Domestic API business has got a jump of 110% during the FY18’Q4 and 61% jump in FY18 with a CAGR of 40%. Domestic Sale of Rs. 46 crore export is through Merchant Exporters
  • Loratadine sales has almost trebled with growth of 196% in FY18 and 322% swing in Q-to-Q sales
  • Montelukast has secured a growth of 87% during the quarter, Atorvastatin has 102% growth in FY18 and 68% FY18’Q4 and Rosuvastatin had a growth of 32% this year.

Home Diagnostic Services

  • Home Devices portfolio has been growing with fast pace and has recorded a CAGR of 24%
  • Total Gluco monitors installed during FY18 were 56% more than FY17 and have completed 2 million target (Blood Gluco Monitors - 38% growth and Glucose Testing Strips - 43% jump)
  • BP Monitors have grown exponentially by 75% during the year and had a big jump of 57% in Q4.
  • Nebulisers also shown a robust growth of 34% in this fiscal and exponential jump of 835% in FY18’Q4

Finished Dosage Business

  • Finished Dosages has been growing steadily with a CAGR of 10% and has substantial increase of 44% in FY18’Q4
  • Branded Prescription (Rx) products has grown by 33% during the Q4 with new brand launches
  • Vitamins and Nutraceuticals have grown by 76% on Q-to-Q and Antibiotics have grown by 43% during Q4
  • Branded generics business which suffered during GST implementation period has also bounced back with quarterly growth of 47%

OTC Business

  • Lead Brands like Burnol (Burn Cream), Lemolate (Cough & Cold) and Fiber-X (Sat Isabgol) have bounced back in Q4 after bit slow down in last two quarters due to GST disturbance and have registered a growth of 22%
  • Lemolate Sales have gone up by 37% in FY18’Q4 and Fiber-X has grown by 248% in Q4 and 36% in the FY18

Q&A

How will EBITDA margins improve?

EBITDA % has been stabilized over the years between 11-12% and is as expected to go up as sales of the US export market pick during FY19 and FY20. It would also show further improvement as volumes go up for branded sales. Margins will shoot up as manufacturing base increases for diagnostics devices in India.

Why was Q4 profitability down, despite the Revenue growth?

  • Last quarter there is maximum provisioning due to the Auditor checks.
  • There was price cut in Loratadine and their export margins decreased for API.
  • Few expenses have been booked this quarter. For the other expenses part, around Rs. 2-3 crs was spent on the renovation of equipments used for API. Depreciation of around Rs. 2crs was done to remove old machines. Mostly all drawdowns were on Accounting parameters as they want maximise their provisioning.

Reason for Montelukast cost reduction?

Working under a lot of constraints as they were not having working capital facility from all banks and they had to use third-party banking for import and export facilities. Now that they are becoming debt free, all banks are ready to provide them credit. Now they have greater bargaining power in the market, they don’t have to spend extra money for doing export business. There would be around 5-6% savings. They can stock out better as they will have cash surplus and grow especially in the Diagnostic center.

There is a limit up to which prices can come down. They have almost reached rock bottom in terms of pricing both for Europe and the domestic business. Since in the US, there is no further cost-cutting, so even they wouldn’t face any more downturns and the price is bound to rise from these levels.

They don’t have any plans for acquisitions as of now.
There could be some news on the FDA and new molecules front shortly.

On the API front, they keep doing new product launches and new molecules are there in the pipeline.
On the diagnostic front, more money will be spent on the BP and glucose monitors and they will focus on manufacturing in India and reducing dependence on China and Korea and may begin exporting to more countries

Revenue from different geographies
On the API front,
Rs. 109 crs from India
Rs. 49 crs from USA
Rs. 21 crs from Spain, Germany and other European countries also some Asian countries as well.

In December they got approval for Montelukast from US FDA, their NDA shipment to America will start from next quarter and it will be on the shelf in Q3.

They are targeting a 14% CAGR for the business moving for forward.

They have plans for Promoter holding increase by 5% in the near future.

Funds:
Siddharth Basu - Individual Investor
RMRL Company
JS Trivedi - Individual Investor
Rahul Mardani - Individual Investor
Den Investors
VCK investments

7 Likes
1 Like
3 Likes

I think the company’s management is not clean. Look at the corporate social responsibility section of past 5 years reports, they are giving out more to than the mandated amount, while the preference shares/deposits are due to be redeemed. Especially they are contributing to K.B. Suri trust. Secondly, in each of the past few years read auditors review section - there were delays to making payments in ESI, EPF, taxes etc and that too in continuity for several years. Don’t forget - the remuneration of the man running the show (Sushil Suri) has tripled in past three years while revenue, PAT, eps all have grown at measly 1.5 time overs the same time period.

8 Likes

a one-sided summary article (I’m not the author) - MOREPEN LABS – Future Multibagger upto 5x Potential upmove – WealthCreatures

good growth in sales and concomitant growth in profits. It has become a 6x+ bagger for me in 6+ years

Disc: long, holding since Dec 2014, intending to hold

4 Likes

Promoter is infusing 190cr (at Rs 38 per share) and PE fund Corinth is infusing 243cr in the co (at Rs 41.6 per share) https://www.morepen.com/public/uploads/media/Morepen608927883dd23.pdf

Current mcap is nearly 2500cr, so this 433cr infusion is not a small sum. Given that the business isn’t in a fund crunch, it is fairly clear that this investment is with the growth perspective in mind. And since this is not debt, this is actually a good sign for existing investors, imo. Yes, I’m aware that at the current price of nearly 55 per share, the discount is significant but the stock has run-up only this month, so these are essentially last month prices, honestly, not bad at all.

Disc: Long, been holding since I originally started this thread in Dec 2014. Intending to hold.

3 Likes

Interesting statement by the Company that

Morepen’s commitment towards this project is step forward towards entry into biosimilars and other biologicals.”.

1 Like

Quarterly Disclosures by listed entities of defaults on payment of interest/ repayment of principal amount on loans from banks / financial institutions and unlisted debt securities.

Is RED Flag

2 Likes

Fundamentally looks great … Last 10 years story in a nutshell

1 Like

hey I am trying to analyze there business. How do you see their business now ?I think this a decent stock. revenue increasing steadily. Infact everything including pat , eps is increasing since 4 or 5 year. What do you think of this stock ?

A past article on CBI case against Morepen Labs and promoter Sushil Suri;

https://www.casemine.com/judgement/in/5609af0ce4b0149711415738

2 Likes