Jerry's stock portfolio

I started this portfolio since 2020 and I was buying stocks without understanding business or its results. I got lucky in with some (like M&M and Bajaj Finserve) so I still have them. rest I cleaned up in last one year.

Here’s my current portfolio. Aim is to catch growth companies at reasonable valuation and hold them thru their growth period. Return expectations is to beat the index by 5-10%.

NIFTYBEES and JUNIORBEES is a temporary place to park money. When I have conviction in an idea, I liquidate NIFTYBEES/JUNIORBEES and buy the stock.

I start with 1-2% once I start tracking, once convinced I deploy up to 4-5% on an individual stock.

Instrument AverageBuy P&L% Portfolio Weight%
BAJAJFINSV 900.46 131% 3%
BAJFINANCE 685.90 56% 2%
CANTABIL 253.50 -5% 1%
ICICIBANK EVENT 1,109.50 29% 3%
ICICIGI 1,918.60 4% 2%
JUNIORBEES 482.05 55% 16%
KLBRENG-B 543.50 3% 1%
KSOLVES 321.75 0% 3%
LIQUIDBEES 973.03 3% 5%
LTGILTBEES 26.03 12% 12%
M&M 1,376.02 165% 3%
NIFTYBEES 190.33 52% 38%
PNGJL 635.45 3% 5%
YATHARTH 508.28 60% 5%

I had another portfolio, which I have liquidated and used the money or invested in debt/equity mutual funds.

2 Likes

Using airtable to track ideas-

Review of recent investment ICICIGI.

Initial hypothesis, Solid growth in sales and profit, good ROE.


Lower valuation compared to peers-

Q2 Results-
Decent sales growth and good EPS growth

Financial performance
GDPI fell but PAT increased

I would like to see holistic growth starting from GDPI. I did not attend the concall so will wait for transcript.

Update:
Management saying reason for lower GDPI growth is conscious effort to not chase unprofitable motor and crop sector. However the growth in their preferred segment (exc. crop and mass health) is 3.5% which is lower than industry growth 9.8%. Overall lower growth in GDPI will show in lower revenue and profit in coming quarter. So I will observe next quarter and if the GDPI growth is not even near Industry then stock will get beaten.

Source

ICICI Q2 Review and comparison with HDFC and another smaller player IDFC First

Update:
Market did not like ICICI results (-3%), HDFC was strong initially but closed only 0.1% up. IDFC was up 6.9%. I was able to acquire IDFC at 72.75 and got a good head start. IDFC still looks good deal right now to add more.

I am still holding ICICI, I think it will still perform better than index in coming quarters.

KSolves update

Quarterly growth looks to be back on track after a dip in FY Q1

Same resulting in EPS growth of 30.9% QoQ. Looks like they have started to get the operating leverage.

Will wait for transcript to see the guidance.

However only problem I have with them is, I expected more sales growth. Persistent even at this size is growing sales 23% YoY / 7.4% QoQ

Update from concall-
Guidance:
FY26 Revenue Growth Target: Management is confident in achieving 20% revenue growth for FY2
Confidence in Pipeline: Management currently has visibility into the pipeline and can see meetings with customers that make them optimistic about achieving the H2 target . However, they acknowledge that external factors, such as the US economic situation or other global events, could potentially change outcomes

Target Margin Range: Management states that the range they would like to keep is 25% to 30% minimum

Investment in Products: The company has initiated investment in product development, particularly in AI and Big Data. The IT product segment (which recorded ₹1.03 crores in Q2 revenue with a lower contribution margin) involves upfront development and marketing investment but provides long-term scalability potential. This investment dampens overall margins

Increased Standard Operating Costs: New standard expenses are now factored in, including the salary of a Salesforce director and expenses related to frequent travel by management and key colleagues (like the Chairman, CTO, and others) to meet hot leads and customers. These are considered necessary costs for business growth and sustainment

Reduction in Event Costs: Margins are expected to improve from previous quarters because the company has finished attending numerous costly industry events (approximately 10 this year). These kinds of huge event expenses will drastically reduce in the next year. Moving forward, the focus will shift to organic marketing and frequent travel to meet customers, which will be less expensive than the large events previously attended

CANTABIL Update-

  • EBITDA Margins: The company saw a good expansion of over 100 basis points in its EBITDA margin year-on-year, reaching 23.9% in Q2. Cantabil Retail is targeting an annual EBITDA margin of approximately 28% to 30% .

  • Sales per Square Foot: While sales per square foot fell by about 2% year-on-year, the CFO attributed this to the company now opening larger stores . The average store size has increased from 1,100 sq ft two years ago to approximately 1,350 sq ft currently. He explained that theoretically, increasing the store area can lead to a flat or slightly down sales per square foot, but the overall EBITDA improves because operating costs like rent and salaries are fixed.

  • Growth Strategy (Vision 2027):

    • The company aims to increase its store network to 725 from the existing 605. They are targeting to add 60 to 70 stores this year.

    • They are working towards a revenue of ₹1,000 crore by FY27 with an EBITDA margin of around 30%.

    • Growth drivers include retail expansion , same-store sales growth (targeting 7% to 8%), and e-commerce .

    • There is an increased focus on exclusive stores for women’s and kids’ wear , with 55 exclusive outlets already opened, in addition to their family stores.

  • Margins and Revenue:

    • The CFO confirmed that the overall gross margin is being maintained at a strong level of approximately 57% to 59% across all segments (men’s, women’s, and kids’ wear).

    • He is confident in seeing a 20% plus revenue growth this year.

    • The company is committed to maintaining high gross margins and expects the EBITDA margin to stabilize at 30% in the long term, with growth being sustainable. He noted that Q2 is cyclically a weak quarter for the company, so better performance is expected going forward.

With excellent Q2 results and this public research report I am adding
Interarch.

I have verified the report with Q1 results

Capacity expansion-

Timeline (Quarter) Capacity (MT) Investment (₹ Cr) Location Phase/Type Remarks
Q2 FY26 35,000 Part of ₹53 Cr Andhra Pradesh Phase 2 Expansion of existing PEB plant
Q2 FY26 15,000 Part of ₹53 Cr Kichha, Uttarakhand New B* ox Column Line Enhancing structural capabilities
Q2 FY27 25,000 ₹100 Cr Andhra Pradesh Phase 1 (New Plant) Greenfield project
FY28 40,000 ~₹70 Cr Kheda, Gujarat Phase 1 (New Plant) New strategic location

Healthy order book growth

  • Order book growth of 25%
  • As on Q1 FY26, its order book stood at ₹ 1695 crore (1.2x its FY25 revenues)
  • 82% repeate orders

Revenue growth

  • Q2 revenue grew at 52% YoY, exceeding their guidance of (20-25%)

OPM

  • High Fixed Costs: Includes employee, sales, design, and project management costs — these remain relatively stable even as turnover increases.
  • EBITDA Margin Expansion Drivers:
    • Operating leverage from scaling
    • Larger order ticket sizes
    • Entry into export markets
    • Launch of “heavy structure” vertical
  • Profitability Estimates:
    • EBITDA CAGR: 23%
    • Net Profit CAGR: 20%

Finally net debt free balance sheet

Latest portfolio after recent IDFC first and Interarch purchage-

PNGJL result update-

Meets the guidance in terms of Store count, Revenue, PAT Margin guidance


Need to look out for growing Other Income, this might be interest on FD which is kept as collateral for Gold Metal Loan. Because this growing Other Income is also accompanied by growing Cash and cash equivalents and Other bank balances on asset side and increase in Borrowings on liability side.

Further, Operating cash flow negative, probably due to inventory build up for Q3

Will update based on earnings call, overall result looks positive.