Jack Bogle’s Wisdom in the Indian Context – Index vs Active Debate

I believe that if someone has enough time to study and understand businesses, investing directly in individual companies is always ideal. But for many investors who don’t have that time, mutual funds are the go-to. This dilemma has prompted my question.

On the one hand, low-cost index funds/ETFs like Nifty 50, Nifty Next 50, or Nifty 500 offer minimal fees (around 0.05% for ETFs and 0.10–0.20% for index funds). On the other hand, actively managed funds with expense ratio on the lower end such as Parag Parikh Flexi Cap command higher fees about 0.6% but have delivered strong returns, with around 18.1% annualized over the past 10 years .

To put that in perspective with a simple cost example:
If ₹1 lakh is invested for 10 years at a hypothetical gross return of 10% per annum:

At 0.05% cost (ETF): Final value ≈ ₹2.58 lakh

At 0.60% cost (active fund): Final value ≈ ₹2.46 lakh

That’s a difference of about ₹12,000 on just ₹1 lakh over a decade, and over longer periods, the gap compounds even more.

Another angle to consider is Jack Bogle’s approach: he ranked investing criteria as expense ratio first, then turnover, tracking error, fund size, and finally fund manager risk. He also warned that as a fund’s AUM grows, it becomes harder for managers to consistently outperform.

And then there’s the index choice dilemma:

Nifty 50 is concentrated in financials and IT

Nifty 500 is much broader, which sounds good but includes illiquid small-caps and may be inefficient to track (unlike the streamlined S&P 500 that Bogle endorsed)

My question to the forum:

  1. For long-term wealth building in India, should investors lean toward low-cost index ETFs/funds, or select active funds like Parag Parikh?

  2. If index investing is the preferred approach, which index is more suitable?

Nifty 50 (top-heavy in certain sectors)

Nifty Next 50 (more volatile but potential for outperformance)

Nifty 500 (much broader, but includes many illiquid small-caps unlike S&P 500)

  1. Considering Bogle’s views on cost and the consistency problems active managers face as AUM grows—does the cost advantage of index funds generally outweigh the possibility of alpha-generation and diversification from an active fund like Parag Parikh?

Would love to hear your perspectives and any real-world cases or data you’ve seen!

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Hi There! If you believe the SPIVA reports for India, you can see that Active fund managers in India do no better than global levels. Especially Large (and midcap) active fund managers struggle to beat the index over a long period.

My personal pick after analysing many broad based indices is the “Nifty LargeMidcap 250 Index” which I feel is a good blend of stability and growth. Please do check out the sector break up and long term returns. Std deviation is actually lower than Nifty 50 and NN50.

There are very few AMCs (Zerodha, HDFC, Edelweiss and Mirae) having this index and most AUMs are around 1000cr. Zerodha fund house bothered to release only this one index fund (with an ELSS variant). The expense ratio is around 0.25%

Additionally, i feel this index saves me the hassle of rebalancing amongst individual index funds (N50, NN50, Midcap 150)

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Any thoughts on Midcap 150 Momentum 50 index? Long terms returns over a period of time have been pretty decent and consistent. Only couple of funds recently started this offering but one can analyze the long term returns through Nifty Midcap150 Momentum 50

I’m not able to source the infographic but it shows different factors “work” during different periods of time. So sticking to one might prevent you from taking advantage of another.

It is said that broad based market cap weighted index already contains all these factors and you may end up making a mistake trying to “time” the factors. Example: In the US, value factor indexes are underperforming the “large cap growth” factor indexes because of the FAANG outperformance. How could anyone have predicted that 10 years before?

However, this video from Ben Felix says that the “size” factor does have some risk premium over the long term.

This is what my domestic portfolio breakup looks like with just three funds:

Main fund-Passive: HDFC Nifty LargeMidcap 250 Direct - 60% (ER 0.25%)
Boost fund-Active: Bandhan Smallcap Fund Direct - 15% (ER 0.40%)
Debt-like fund: Mirae Asset Arbitrage Fund Direct - 25% (ER 0.14%)

Also keep in mind that factor tilted index funds will also have a higher expense ratio and greater tracking error.