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THE SALES AND NET PROFIT FIGURES FOR LAST FIVE YEARS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
Mar ' 12 | Mar ' 11 | Mar ' 10 | Mar ' 09 | Mar ' 08 | |
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Sales | 1,393.41 | 1,096.09 | 900.38 | 792.56 | 588.03 |
Operating profit | 51.26 | 34.09 | 44.10 | -3.27 | -16.47 |
Interest | 19.71 | 15.97 | 16.67 | 14.58 | 12.43 |
Gross profit | 34.76 | 23.29 | 30.35 | -11.15 | -24.76 |
EPS (Rs) | 8.10 | 0.97 | 4.85 | -30.89 | 0.81 |
THE SALES AND QUARTERLY FIGURES FOR LAST FEW QUARTERS ARE AS FOLLOWS :
Sep ' 12 | Jun ' 12 | Mar ' 12 | Dec ' 11 | Sep ' 11 | |
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Sales | 402.13 | 414.04 | 365.64 | 360.30 | 350.44 |
Operating profit | 26.94 | 20.33 | 14.05 | 14.30 | 13.63 |
Interest | 4.59 | 5.24 | 4.92 | 4.10 | 4.64 |
Gross profit | 23.08 | 15.69 | 10.32 | 10.89 | 9.68 |
EPS (Rs) | 12.56 | 7.33 | 2.66 | 3.68 | 2.22 |
THE SALES AND QUARTERLY FIGURES FOR LAST FEW QUARTERS ARE AS FOLLOWS :
Sep ' 12 | Jun ' 12 | Mar ' 12 | Dec ' 11 | Sep ' 11 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sales | 402.13 | 414.04 | 365.64 | 360.30 | 350.44 |
Operating profit | 26.94 | 20.33 | 14.05 | 14.30 | 13.63 |
Interest | 4.59 | 5.24 | 4.92 | 4.10 | 4.64 |
Gross profit | 23.08 | 15.69 | 10.32 | 10.89 | 9.68 |
EPS (Rs) | 12.56 | 7.33 | 2.66 | 3.68 | 2.22 |
There has been a steady growth of profit margins on qoq basis sep 11 had npm of .73 % and sep 12 had npm of 3.6% with a steady growth in each quarter .
Also if we look at yearly performance in view of npm the margins have increased from previous years with last two quarters showing large increase .( why and how have they increased needs more digging )
the product portfolio of the company looks simple and boring ( thats why i like it ) .
from the first looks like it has got its act together in a boring industry(read boring as not fancy)…:)…
with the sales kicking in at past rates (high probability event) the increase in margins can lead to a strong re-rating of the company .
:::already stock price has more than doubled led by some strong buying happening in the stock.
I think all dairy forms had increased the milk prices aroundApril2012 .I remembered heritage also increased the milk prices (As i am using it). But i have read news like milk production is more thanconsumption in recent time.Dairy forms are converting liquid milk to milk powder because they are not able to sell all collected milk.It could put more pressure on profitability incomingquarters [as milk prices maydecline and every dairy wants to sell collected milk with low prices].
Dis : I have not invested and not read about this company.But I have read news related to milk production in local news paper.
Heritage Foods India rose 3.15% to Rs 527 at 12:19 IST on BSE on report the company will hive-off its retail business into a separate arm to rope in strategic or financial partners. |
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Hi Ranvir,
Yes, this seems to be developing into a very promising and interesting story. I have been missing it at several entry points and have been able to trade on small qtys.
A friend of mine who is a very good investor is super bullish on it.
Milk business though simple and boring but has a sustainable competitive advantage by way of brand value and distribution network.They are now talking about value added things being launched.
If they are able to turnaround or sell off their retail operations, it would be a huge trigger.
Do keep updating on the developments.
Thanks & Regards,
Ayush
Disc: Do not hold as of now
Arokya milk/Arun Ice creams are famous brands in Tamil Nadu , but Hatsun Agro is in a permanent slumber. What could be the difference between Heritage and Hatsun ?
I had looked into both Hatsun and Heritage. I had found Hatsun as better investment and have created a thread in “Not so hidden gems”.
Heritage didnt look worthy because of its debt, profit margins, political links, though I had not looked in detail about revenue contributions, they are not asfocusedon dairy as Hatsun is.
I think recent frenzy inHeritageis more because Azim premzi bought some stake.
Hi Mahesh,
The value picks blog guy has been super bullish on Heritage foods right since when it was consolidation around 200 levels. According to him , Heritage is a fully integrated company . Meaning,they directly procure milk from dairy farmers , label it and send it to retail outlets (their own and others ) . There are no middle men involved which reduces the cost of procurement. It seems such business model is very difficult to replicate. Does Hatsun also follow the same model ?
asfocusedon inHeritageis
Arokya milk/Arun Ice creams are famous brands in Tamil Nadu , but Hatsun Agro is in a permanent slumber. What could be the difference between Heritage and Hatsun ?
Debt equity as of FY12 was 2.5 for Hatsun & 1.5 for Heritage. OPM was 6.9% for Hatsun vs 6.6% for Heritage. P/E was 26 for Hatsun vs 19 for Heritage. If similar earnings are reported for H2 as in first half then Hatsun will be at 22x FY13 while Heritage will be at 12.5x.
asfocusedon inHeritageis
OPM figures were for latest available qtr for both co’s.
Heritage didnt look worthy because of its debt, profit margins, political links, though I had not looked in detail about revenue contributions, they are not asfocusedon dairy as Hatsun is.
I think recent frenzy inHeritageis more because Azim premzi bought some stake.
Hi,
Just adding some market info -
Lot of knowledgeable investors are bullish and have met the management team at heritage. So there may be more speculative buying in next 2-3 months.
Shankar, Hatsuns sourcing of milk, they buy directly from farmers too(not just that, they take care of their cows, they have their ownveterinarydoctors, and sell food to the cows) I will need some time look in detail and update here.
I had looked into both Hatsun and Heritage. I had found Hatsun as better investment and have created a thread in “Not so hidden gems”.
Heritage didnt look worthy because of its debt, profit margins, political links, though I had not looked in detail about revenue contributions, they are not asfocusedon dairy as Hatsun is.
I think recent frenzy inHeritageis more because Azim premzi bought some stake.
The company will be meeting in near future to declare BONUS in some time within a span of 1 month.
The results have been very good and it’s given to understand that the company is looking forward to hive off their bakery div (in time to come).
The company not only sells milk but also their by products and dairy items, ice cream etc.
Company products are well accepted in South India and company has plans to expand to different states.
A stock to watch and study more in detail to get familiar.
sanjoy bhattacharya has added Heritage Food in ‘Contrarian portfolio’ complied for forbes india. I’m simply a big fan of sanjoy for his stock picking skills, unfortunately not much details on why he likes.
Good days ahead?
possible triggers
1). Boost in the economy with new govt
2). FDI in reatil will help to tie up with any MNC or attract Investments.
3). High chances of spinning off retail business. In such case, Diary segment will be valued at around 750 Cr with 75 cr Net profit. current MCP - ~500cr
4). Huge interest in Dairy businesses in India by MNCs.
5). High chances of TDP govt formation in AP. Morale boost for promoters.
Positives for Heritage:
1). Pricing power - Heritage milk Rs. 1 costlier than other brands but still has highest market share.
2). Entering into value added Milk prodcuts.
3). Diary business can be treated like consumer products with Asset light model, pricing power and Brand recall. expcted to command a PE of at least 15-20.
4). Debt will be reduced by FY14. Good dividend is expected.
Negatives:
1). Parlours are not doing well
2). Own products ( heritage brand) doesn’t have brand recall except Milk, Curd
3). Huge Overhead costs in Retail segment.
disc: Invested. Biased opinion.
Views invited from VPs.
Hi Sridhar,
I am positive on the dairy industry as well and am accumulating Hatsun. I had taken a brief look at Heritage but the baggage of the retail biz turned me off. Maybe that is why the market is not giving it a better valuation? If/when they hive it off, it will be good for the dairy biz.
)- HG