Escorts Limited - Playing for Margin Expansion

Hello Members,

Trying to exercise the open offer, offer price will be a key figure to participate.

As per shareholding it’s seems if open offer will come than acceptance ratio will come around 51 %.

# Notes from ET Total Investment Cr. 9400 Kubota Stake
1 Co to raise stake up to 53% 9363726 Preferential Shares @ 2000 1873 Stake will be 15%
2 Nanda family retains stake Open offer for 26 % stake @ 2000 7527 Stake will be 40%
3 Kubota Corp will invest 9400 Cr. To increase stake upto 53 % Remaining will come from Cancellation of treasury shares Stake will be 53 %
4 Kubota Currently holds 9.9%
# Total Equity 134834566
1 Overseas Corporate Bodies - Kubota 9.09
2 Nanda Family 11.6
3 Rakesh 4.75
4 ESCORTS BENEFIT AND WELFARE TRUST 25
50.44
5 Mutual Funds & FPI 28.95
6 Financial Institutions/ Banks 0.09
7 Insurance Companies 0.13
8 Non-Institutions 18.35
9 Employee Benefit Trust 2.06
49.58

Regards,
Murari Shah

Open offer is announced at Rs.2000/share for quantity 3,74,91,556 shares (26% of shareholding).

Public holding for Sept 2021 is 8,27,27,746 shares (includes 1,22,57,688 of Kubota holding), so remaining is 7,04,70058 shares. Based on this acceptance will be atleast 53% if all shares are offered.

BSE Link : https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/D10F0483-87BF-403A-AB75-0B51AACC3E6A-154956.pdf

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has any brokerage released any report post the transaction concall done on Friday?

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Here is the transcript for the Kubota open offer related meeting, concall-Transcript-EscortsLtd-Earnings-Nov18-2021.pdf (escortsgroup.com)

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Any opportunity in Escort open offer ?

Open offer price - 2000 Current market price 1850 / Open offer date 10-Jan-21.

As Kubota is taking over the board with 55% stake in the company, Escort is also a re-rating candidate as is going to be a MNC company.

SES says Kubota is not pay INR 2000 as reported for Escorts stakehttps://www.moneylife.in/article/kubota-is-not-paying-any-premium-for-escorts-shares-ses/65842.html

And company response…
https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/9e56dfd7-b607-42cd-8b1d-238994f68d2d.pdf

Will be interesting to see how the markets react in next few days

See, Firstly, If it was really unfair to the existing shareholders, why would the Promoters (the Nanda family) allow this? They are not getting the new preference shares, Kubota is. How would they benefit from it?

Secondly, I think even if this plays out to be unfair somehow this could lead to increase in the open offer price, as I don’t think Kubota would want this deal deal to fall apart for a 3% premium (Rs. 2052), as is implied by SES.

So, I think this is going to be either a case of I win or I win big.

Any change in open offer program ot its still intact ?

If it is @ 2000 than good arbritrage opportunity is available, Also date 10th Jan is near by.

Regards,
Murari Shah

ESCORTS: RAKESH JHUNJHUNWALA INCREASED ITS STAKE FROM 4.75% TO 5.22% IN CO DURING Q3

Looking at this development, RJ will not participate in open offer so AR ratio may be around 60%

Regards
Murari Shah

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Eacorts open offer might get delayed due to statutory approvals, News coming on cnbc.

Any update on escorts buyback open offer date?

I thought it was going to begin on 11/01…but yet have not found much details

Yes, No update on exchange websites.

Hello,
It should take atleast another 2 months. The process never completes in the timeframe mentioned in the DPS. It would have gone to SEBI for comments. They take 3-4 months for clearing the DPS. Then only company can launch the buyback/open offer. I would presume that the same would be completed by March end.

Regards,
Nikhil

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It is currently with SEBI and they have sought some clarification from merchant banker

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Thanks for the update

I was going through previous open offers approved by SEBI and noticed that it usually takes 2-3 months for SEBI to approve the open offer.

Assuming the same time is taken, escorts open offer should ideally be approved by SEBI in the month of Feb

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The status on the SEBI Website has been updated and now it is showing as under-process

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IIFL has given a 12 month target of Rs. 1560 for Escorts and says that it is the open offer which is not letting the price fall.

According to them - post the open offer, the price will fall.

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ICICI DIRECT recommends buy with TP 2200. Can’t say who’s research is going to be right.

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