Demergers on the radar

Hi Sougata, I dont have any views on this, although read about it in an article

I’ll paraphrase from this magazine which is a great source to read up on current M&A deals

Key Pointers as covered in the article in it:

  • Refex Industries has a Wholly owned subsidiary Refex Green Mobility which has this cabs business. In Step-1 this will merge with Refex Industries. In step 2, it will again demerge into a separate listed company with mirror shareholding as per Refex Industries.
  • This green cabs business was started in 2023 itself and is very small. Topline ~29 crs and Loss 7 Crs. Refex consol. topline is 2468 crs and PAT 158 crs - so this business only ~1% of topline

My words=> Listing it out separately right now is a bit puzzling as not sure what valuation this tiny business will get. Another puzzling thing is low consol. debt of group but pledge of promoter shares of ~27%

Disc.: I have no idea about the company/business - just paraphrasing here from the magazine article (as i didnt want to share screen clippings - ppl can subscribe as monthly price is just Rs.150/-). Plus saw the promoter pledge on the exchange, which is a bit puzzling.

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Demerger of Apollo Hospitals and its Pharmacy business

Below are back of the envelope calculations on valuation of Apollo businesses.
Note: Numbers used are ESTIMATES to arrive at BALL PARK VALUATION range.

Hospital / Healthcare Min Max
EBITDA (cr) 2700 2800
EV/EB 29 32
Valuation (cr) 78300 89600
Disgnostic + Retail Health Min Max
EBITDA (cr) 155 175
EV/EB 25 30
Valuation (cr) 3875 5250
Pharmacy & Digital Health Min Max
Sales (cr) 9100 10000
P/S 1.0 1.2
Valuation (cr) 9100 12000

Combined Value of Entity could be ~Rs91,000cr - Rs107,000cr. Current MCap is ~ Rs102,000cr.

SEBI Disclosure: https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/b05b3d6e-7db9-49cd-8065-1553478d4543.pdf

Latest Deck: https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/4430a828-14c2-4c64-8cff-b68f1a2904f1.pdf

Disclosures: No Investments. Not a SEBI registered analyst. Above post is for discussion purpose only. Please do your own due diligence

5 Likes

This looks fair play we can look for pharma ,and diagnostic will good ,as they hospitals so it will be proxy

any thoughts on Demerger of veranda learning ? JK shah business has great potential they expect FY26 PAT can be Rs 100 Crs market cap currently is 1700 Crs-1900 Crs. Next year there will be more growth in Jk shah