Data Center Value Chain in India: Investment Opportunities

Big Positive for Data Center and Cloud Firms

After seeing the budget fine print, there are a few things to see.

If a foreign company builds or rents a data center in India and uses it to provide services to people in other countries (like the US, UK, or Japan), the Indian government will not tax the income they make from those foreign customers.

But if they sell those services to Indian customers, they still have to pay taxes on that specific portion of their income through a local Indian branch.

So the one who can lease or rent a data center to a foreign company is positive. Not all domestic data centers will be

AI DATACENTERS GRID CRISIS EXPLAINED

Hyperscale Power Surge: A single DC needs 500 MW–1 GW of continuous demand.
and AI servers: 2–4x power vs traditional. Hyperscalers pre-buying years ahead

Grid Stress Factors: Voltage fluctuations, harmonic distortion, and reactive imbalances.
Requires fast stabilization via STATCOMs, FACTS, and HVDC.

India Opportunity: 200+ DCs developing rapidly. AWS/Azure/Google expanding footprint.




Aurionpro Wins Data Center Deal from IDBI
Source 1:
Source 2:

Blue Cloud Softech’s landmark $1 billion investment to develop a nationwide, 800 MW AI-native data center network. By baking zero-trust security directly into the hardware, they are creating an autonomous infrastructure that protects data at the source in line with India’s sovereign data policy and Digital Personal Data Protection Act.

Source:



AI & data center-related stocks in India

that have either won an order or have mentioned DC themes in their latest conference call


Credits:

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Data Center and Storage Industry Growth in India

India’s data centre capacity is expected to double in the next few years.

Growth in data centers is being led by hyperscalers, which requires storage for training sets, data logs, model versions and compliances.

Around 80% of hyperscalers storage capacity to reside on HDDs in an AI-centric data center as scale, cost, and density matter.

India’s data center industry has been growing at 24% CAGR since 2019.

Industry is expected to add 795 MW of new capacity by 2027 taking the entire capacity to 1825 MW.

India is moving from IT services economy → digital infrastructure economy

Read the transcript of Finolex Cables of Q3FY26




Management sees fairly robust demand for optical fibre cables in data centers. Can Gain Market Share from Sterlite Tech and HFCL.

Two important second-order impacts of war that one should know:

  1. AI runs on energy: A rise in energy prices is detrimental to the AI and semiconductor (SC) growth story. Helium, a derivative of natural gas, is a critical gas used in data center cooling. No wonder SC stocks are tumbling.

  2. AI hard assets (DCs) also need to be built in safe sovereign partner locations with affordable and skilled manpower. Reading that large cloud companies like MS Azure, AWS, etc. are now shifting their DC workloads from Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Oman to safe locations like India and Singapore.


Akanksha Power & Infrastructure Limited (APIL) an SME company, will develop Micro Data Centers in Orissa under Konark Cloud.
Source:

Ivalue Infosolutions Ltd., another SME, had an interesting con call. They describes itself as an orchestrator of AI infrastructure, sitting between technology OEMs and end customers to integrate complex solutions across the data center value chain.

They provide the hardware necessary to run AI workloads, specifically powering data centers by supplying GPUs through partnerships with vendors like Supermicro and Lenovo.

They operate at the foundational level of the value chain, providing the core DCI and network pillars required to run AI systems.

Through their Center of Excellence (COE), they showcase advanced data center technologies such as air cooling, liquid cooling, and sovereign AI deployments

They provide an AI advisory and services overlay, helping customers manage their entire AI transformation journey.

Atlanta Electricals Ltd My Q3 & 9M FY26 Concall Key Takeaways


Strategic shift to higher voltage transformers (33 kV → 765 kV) with better margins
Focus on high-entry-barrier segments for long-term profitability
Order book at all-time high ₹2,451 Cr (execution over ~1.5 years)
Strong demand driven by transmission bottlenecks and RE integration
₹9.6 trillion transmission capex pipeline till 2032
Solar curtailment and grid constraints supporting transformer demand
Emerging segments: BESS and data centers gaining traction
Backward integration (tanks/radiators) planned from next year
Demand expected to exceed supply for next 3–4 years
Targeting ~40% revenue growth with utilization ramp-up

My Overall View:

  1. Strong structural growth story driven by capacity, demand tailwinds, and margin expansion
  2. Execution and approvals remain key near-term monitorables
  3. Positive long-term outlook with improving operating leverage

24/03/2026



KRN HEAT EXCHANGER Data Center Opportunity Size


The value of US data centers under construction has officially surpassed the value of office buildings under construction for the first time in history.


Clean Max Enviro Energy Solutions Ltd Saw 10X Growth in DC & AI Business in last 2 years

25/03/2026


NTPC Green Signs MoU with Nxtra Data (Airtel’s data center arm)
Aimed at developing renewable energy projects to supply round‑the‑clock (RTC) green power

Supply and geography:

  1. Pan‑India green power supply planned for Nxtra data centers
  2. Designed to meet growing energy demand from data center infrastructure

Strategic angle

  1. Taps into fast‑growing data center power demand
  2. Supports clean energy transition and decarbonisation of digital infrastructure

NTPC Green gains a high‑quality anchor customer in the data center space, strengthening its long‑term renewable power monetization story.

Source:

26/03/2026


The top 3–4 Indian groups (Adani, Airtel, CtrlS, Reliance) will control 35–40% of total capacity by 2030.

Foreign hyperscalers are not building alone; they partner or lease. This is unusual compared to the USA/Europe.

Budget 2026 gives a 30-year tax holiday for foreign cloud companies using Indian data centers. This is a game-changer.

If power projects delay, the 10 GW target may slip to 2032. But AI demand is so strong that money is pouring in anyway.

Source

01-04-2026


CleanMax and STT Global Data Centers Partnership Key Points

See strong demand from data centers/AI driving capacity scale-up (130+ MW deal).
The AI/DC segment is now ~42% of the 5.7 GW portfolio (rapid expansion).
It is Increasing tilt towards high-quality C&I clients (AI, data centers).
Long-term PPAs ensure stable & predictable cash flows.

Early mover in AI-linked renewable demand
Strong positioning in hybrid (wind + solar) solutions for 24x7 power
Beneficiary of structural shift: AI + data centers → massive power demand

So, CleanMax is evolving into a key enabler of India’s AI + data center energy ecosystem

$1 billion investment in Nxtra Data (data center business of Airtel)
Capacity expansion: 300 MW → 1 GW
Target: ~25% market share in DC

STRUCTURE:
Nxtra valued at ~$3.1 billion.
Airtel retains controlling stake.
No separate valuation assigned to Nxtra.

02-04-2026

MACQUARIE on INDIA’S AI ECOSYSTEM:

India emerging as a major global AI growth market, with $400 Bn+ investments announced across AI ecosystem. Strong infrastructure build-out led by domestic players Rapid AI adoption across sectors Expanding venture funding into AI startups Increasing enterprise and government focus, India is positioned to become one of the largest AI markets globally. Execution capability emerging as a key strength Power demand growth (~3.6% CAGR over last decade) supports digital infrastructure expansion. AI ecosystem still in early stages but scaling rapidly Strong long-term structural opportunity Multi-year growth runway across AI, data centers, and digital infra Positive — structural theme with long-term compounding potential

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India now hosts 278 data centers across 33 cities :india: as per the data centers map

Breakdown by major hubs:
• Mumbai – 47
• Navi Mumbai – 22
• Chennai – 34
• Bangalore – 31
• Hyderabad – 29
• Noida – 19
• Pune – 16
• New Delhi – 13
• Ahmedabad – 11
• Kolkata – 10

Smaller but emerging: Jaipur (5), Gurgaon (5), Cochin (6), Coimbatore (3), Indore (3)… and many more

India’s digital backbone is scaling fast. Data is the new oil.

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who will gain market share from HFCL and STLTECH?
i think even if they loose market share the industry growth is phenomenal.

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Tejas Networks can take a bit of the domestic market, while Corning, a world leader, is conducting significant R&D in this field.


The data center cooling market to see $2.5 bn investment.

Amber, Voltas, Krn heat exchanger, Hitachi, Blue star, Schneider Electric Key Beneficiaries

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Do Tejas Networks manufactures Optical fibre cables? I am doubtful of it.

Corning is doing a lot of R&D but I think indian companies in these sectors are focusing on R&D too not aggressively but yes.

No, they are not yet fully in OFC, but they are gaining share in the high-value networking and optical equipment segment, often bundled with fiber.

So they can move up the value chain. If the Tata Group decided to partner with a specific cable manufacturer (or even eventually acquire a small one), they could offer a full turnkey solution that bypasses the traditional dominance of STL or HFCL in the Indian market.

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Data center value chain and Key beneficiaries of this growth

(Source: Avendus Spark Report on DC)


AI hardware investment in the US increasing a rapid scale about $325 bn (3m avg)

Spending growth is broad-based across semiconductors, servers, data centers, power construction & HVAC.

Servers are the biggest contributors

Data center-linked construction employment increased by about 212k since 2022

Strongest job growth seen in electrical contractors, HVAC contractors & utility construction

Similar Growth in India May Play Out.

(Source: Goldman Report on DC)


Source:

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https://x.com/abhayjainp/status/2041418265063522733?s=20

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India currently has 153 operational data centers. The US stands at 5427, a staggering amount more than 30x that of India’s. Big opportunity for us.
(Source: Cloudscene)


The theme of powering data centers has a long runway

Goldman Sachs projects, demand from data centers to grow 220% by 2030 relative to 2023 levels

Demand in 2030 would be roughly the same size as the sixth biggest power-consuming country

TD Power & MTAR key beneficiaries

(Source: Goldman Report)


Read This:

Long time lurker in this thread and thanks Karan for all the inputs you have been adding. Respect!

Comparing Atlanta transformers vs voltamp, Voltamp seems to be in much better position to cater to the demand with some solid fundamentals. I am also wary of the newly listed companies taking advantage of a developing theme and getting pumped. I might be totally wrong though. I will do my analysis of Voltamp vs atlanta, but curious to know if anyone has looked into it already?

Thank you, Udhayt for the kind words.

Yes, They are debt-free and maintain a very disciplined approach to order intake, often prioritizing margins and cash flow over aggressive top-line growth. Also They are currently commissioning a new greenfield facility for EHV transformers (expected by mid-2026), which will allow them to capture larger utility and data center projects.

Yup, but part of the game, all we can do is manage the risk, Position Size and Diversification.

I have read about it, but not tracked it deeply; it was recently listed. They have better Growth, ROE and ROCE than Voltamp, but also a higher P/E, nearly triple that of Voltamp. A lot of future growth is already priced in.

If you prefer a sleep well at night stock with a proven track record of through-cycle performance, Voltamp is the clear winner. However, if you are looking for the player that is capturing the most incremental market share during this data center boom, and you can stomach the volatility, Atlanta is the one to watch.

(Disc: NO RECO FOR BUY/SELL)

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Will study Voltamp soon, thx for recommending

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Voltamp is much better but share price is too costly

This is the main issue with discovered sectors. There is nothing cheap or even fair value in this space. I myself had to bite the bullet and go with Aeroflex

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I think Anant Raj looks good at this point, not cheap but fair.

Yes, most things are Priced in at this level

Maybe you can buy DELL in US market available at forward PE of 15. Still cheap.

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