Concord Control Systems - An SME railway stock

Hi all.

Company Overview:
Concord Control System (Screener Link: Concord Control Systems Ltd share price | About Concord Control | Key Insights - Screener ) is an electrical machinery manufacturer, which includes clientele like Indian Railway, Larsen & Toubro, Tata Projects, Sterling and Wilson among others.

Their product range includes Vehicular Coupler, Emergency Lighting System, Brushless DC carriage fan, Exhaust fans, Cable Jackets, Bellows etc. and products required in electrification of coaches and Broad-Gauge network of Indian Railways like: Battery Charger 200 AH, Battery Charger 40 AH, Tensile Testing
Machine. They are approved vendor by Research Design and Standards Organisation (“RDSO”) to
manufacture and supply these products for the Indian Railways.

They are currently developing several new products and are in process of developing product prototype of Control and Relay Panels and has received Capacity cum Capability Assessment certificate for the same from RDSO.

The company recently acquired Advanced Rail Controls Private Limited (ARC) which has been working in various niche areas of rolling stock technology. The company focuses on developing high end embedded control solutions for rail domain and is peerless in its spectrum of working.

Currently the company has two manufacturing units situated at Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh with total size measuring to over 1880 sq. mtrs with a well-equipped laboratory & modern technology along with R&D units.

Financials:
The total revenue of the company stands at 6660 Cr in FY 24 compared to 4960 Cr in FY 23 while the profit stands at 1304 Cr in 2024 compared to 544 Cr in 2023.
The company has been growing at an astounding TTM CAGR of 139% and 79% over 5 years and a 5 year ROE of 48%. Their OPM stands at a very decent 26%

Market Cap is 640 Cr with a PE of 49 and BV of 77. CMP stands at 1071.

Strengths: - Key Trigger

The company started its operations in the year
2011 when we got approval to manufacture and
supply battery charger in traction system of railway
electrification. Your company further expanded its
business in manufacturing products fitted in
coaches of Indian Railways in the year 2013 and got
approved for Emergency Light Unit which is one of
the most critical items of rolling stock application in
coaches of Indian Railways for passenger safety.
Emergency Light Unit switches on automatically in
case of power failure or in case of accidents.
Thereafter in the year 2014 we successfully
received RDSO approval for manufacturing and
supply of Tensile Load Testing Machine for Porcelain
& Composite Insulators before installation electrical
lines. Eventually our company got approval to
Supply Brushless Dc Carriage Fans to Indian railways
when it changed its technology of fans from normal
DC to Brushless DC

The above excerpt from the company AR demonstrates its ambition and ability to handle more responsibilities while expanding in a financially adept way.
This coupled with Govt led PLI schemes for indigenous mechanical parts is another key growth driver for CCS.
The company also harbors ambition to breach the export market and secure further lucrative contracts.

The company is headed by Nitin Jain and Gaurav Lath. While Nithin Jain comes from a mechanical engineering background, Gaurav Lath has an entrepreneurial streak, engaged in few other companies as well.

Both hold 35% each of the equity in the company which signals healthy skin in the game and one of the promoters has recently purchased more shares in the company as well, which all signals a positive outlook for me.

The company has a high moat with regulation led barrier of entry.

Risks:
My main concern with this company is there not being much information being available online. (no concalls)
EDIT: While this quite a concern, i’m still comfortable to invest into this counter keeping in mind that the company deals with established players like IR, L&T, Tata etc. The fact that the company has been operational since 2011 and hold their ties signals a decently seasoned enterprise in my eyes.

The company is purely a railway based play with 100% concentration, so whenever the railways story comes to an end so will the green patch for this company.

As IR is its main client, any negative change in order book size would also negatively affect the company.

From their Annual Report:

Competitive forces could prevent the Company from achieving its
goal on account of declining revenues or margins.
Mitigation: The Company focuses on superior quality
service and affordability. The Company knows its
competitors and its customers and with differentiated
services and marketing strategies mitigates this risk
to a greater extent.

Disc: Invested, biased. Might add more on correction.

9 Likes

Highly risky bet my friend!

Could you share the reasons why you think so?

Well, as you said, not much information about this is available. Turnover is also small. I would like them to prove themselves consistently for sometime (multi fold growth, not linear growth which is there in their balance sheet right now).
We already have other good stocks in railway to go for (like texrail).

I may be wrong as well!

2 Likes

Sorry, much has passed since the past 2 months. My simple rationale of picking a stock in a favorable sector with low market cap and high growth rate has played out well and I saw more members of the forum discussing this stock in other threads too.

The growth story for CCS is on track with management promising similar growth trajectory for the stock. Marquee investors have also entered into the counter. I’m just uncomfortable with the very high PE rating though I don’t mind sitting tight and seeing how it plays out.

2 Likes

The total revenue of the company stands at 6660 Cr in FY 24 compared to 4960 Cr in FY 23 while the profit stands at 1304 Cr in 2024 compared to 544 Cr in 2023.

All these figures should be in Lakhs. 6660 Lakh revenue for the year ended 2024 and so on

2 Likes

I think CCS is in a sweet spot particularly after the acquisitions of Advanced Rail Controls Private Ltd, Progota India P. Ltd, Concord Lab. The solutions provided by these companies seems to be game changer for this company.

The order book is very healthy. No wonder the management has aspired 40~50% revenue growth for next 3-5 years. A 40~50% growth in FY 25 with a 23~25% EBITDA margins.

Disclosure: Invested and biased

3 Likes

This recent report captures about the stock (just in case if this thread did not cover it)

What surprises me is their association with big marquee clients.


The valuations may not be cheap (though it has corrected from its peak). However, my experience says growth stocks of tailwind sector don’t come cheap.

Btw; This is not a buy recommendation.

3 Likes

Being OEM to railways, only time will tell, how Concord manages to secure some of the pie.

4 Likes

Today company has declared the results. Company seems to have posted good set of numbers.
Revenues, profits and EPS are up Y-O-Y and H-O-H basis. EPS at 14.49.

2 Likes

:beginner: #ConcordControl reports Strong H1FY25.

:diamond_shape_with_a_dot_inside:.Revenue: ₹50 Cr vs ₹30 Cr, H2 at ₹35 Cr
:diamond_shape_with_a_dot_inside: PBT: ₹12 Cr vs ₹8 Cr, H2 at ₹9 Cr
:diamond_shape_with_a_dot_inside: PAT: ₹8.6 Cr vs ₹6 Cr, H2 at ₹6.8 Cr

#ConcordControl released an investor presentation

20241121_134858


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Recording of 1st Concall:

4 Likes

Concord Control systems management looking for more acquisitions. They are looking for new capabilities is also a very good for the long term. Company is a small fish and trying to enter in a large pond (Kavach vertical).
If they are able to go for some more acquisitions then the targets of tooling with the given decent margins can be achievable.
Very interesting to study.
With thanks

Disc: having holding

6 Likes

Have booked half profit and now looking at the valuations in this fall im wondering whether to hold my other half of investment or sell that too

Anyone has any insights from the Mar 26th analyst meet with the company at Bharat Connect Conference: Rising Stars?? Of late the trading volume is a bit high compared to average.

Recently money control has updated Ashish Kacholia’s holding in the company.

https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/ashish-kacholia-added-nine-new-names-raised-stakes-in-five-stocks-during-the-march-quarter-selloff-13007686.html

1 Like

Outstanding results have been declared by the company. Revenue has increased by 115 percent from 35.7cr to 77.03cr. Profit increased by 111 percent from 6.8cr to 14.37cr and EPS grown by 97 percent from 11.46 to 22.64. Full year EPS increased to 37.13 as compared to 21.97. On a sequential basis too, a significant growth in all cylinders is visible. Looking forward to management concall and presentation.

Source: BSE

Discl: Invested and may be biased

Looking forward for main board listing given the growth. Wish it happens asap.