CDSL - Stock for our children

Highlights of the revised tariff are as follows:

  1. Uniform tariff of Rs. 3.50 per debit transaction

  2. The discount applicable to the following transaction types prior to the revision in
    tariff shall continue:

Discount of Rs. 0.25 per debit transactions done by female demat account holders (as sole holder or first holder)

Discount of Rs. 0.25 per debit transaction in Mutual Fund and Bond ISINs.

Earlier, CDSL had a rate per debit transaction that was in the range of ₹3.75 to ₹5.5. Does anyone know how this range was decided for the transaction?

Will this have any impact on margins?

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What’s difference between Debit transaction tariff and DP charges while selling a scrip?

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In the light of reduction in transaction charges, its worth noting that transaction charges make up only 26% of CDSL’s total revenue. While it is significant, it is not anything that wont get offset with increasing userbase every month. Additionally, CDSL is also looking into new businesses too which may start adding to top line in few quarters,

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Quarterly update:
New invester and companies addition pace is accelerating with nearly 1.2 Crore investor accounts and almost 3500 new companies added during the quarter.
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Expect reasonable growth in revenue and profits as compared to Q1.

AJ
Disclosure: Remain invested. Vews are biased.

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Hi, Can you @AJ41 share the link where you get this data from? It would be helpful for me! My biggest portfolio investment is in Cdsl. Thank you :pray:

I have put this up in my notes. I will be tracking these growth variables going forward. Thank you!

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HDFC Securities gave a buy call to CDSL, with a target price of 1640 at 42x PE multiple for FY26E earnings.

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CDSL Q2 FY25 Result Update

  • Revenue up 55.7% YoY and 24.96% QoQ
  • PAT Growth at 48.6% YoY & 20.71% QoQ
  • CDSL became the first depository to register 13.5+ crore demat accounts as on
    September 30, 2024
  • During the Q2 FY 2024-25, 1.18 crore new demat accounts were opened.

https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CDSL_26102024132623_MediaReleaseMerged.pdf

Disclosure: Invested

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So, P/E has come to 55 from 60 due to earning rise.

Disc - I have 3.25% of funds allocated to CDSL

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What are your views on CDSL Valuation? Currently trading at 72 P/E and in general the highest valuation ever

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adding to your point, i found this piece of information today Pace of new demat account openings takes a breather to hit seven-month low

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The problem with such high quality and high growth stocks is that while we see higher valuations and a itch to book profits, but once we exit, it becomes very difficult to enter again as prices don’t fall enough. Let’s look at CDSL valuation chart on Screener:

Valuation in 2021 was at the same level as it is today. If we exited in 2021, we wouldn’t have got the chance to enter back and missed all subsequent gains. Plus also consider tax issue. Price chart updated below,

I think that the exit will be prudent only when the growth starts to slow down and if valuations remain stretched.

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I agree with you; I’m in the same dilemma. I’ve made peace with my process, which involves booking profits during periods of market exuberance and adding back without hindsight biases. This approach helps me stay consistent.

Additionally, I regularly review the allocation of single stock positions relative to the overall portfolio, as trimming can often be beneficial and use that to buy /add more to other long term stocks.

I also follow the strategy of adding around the moving average on a monthly basis and trimming based on predefined rules.

Disclaimer: I’ve been invested since the 270 range, so I might have my own biases and top 3 allocated stock as of now.

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QOQ increase in number of investor accounts at around 4.3%, way lesser than the very high bar set in the previous quarter where it was around 9.5% growth

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Latest Dec data.

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14 Crore demat accounts roughly translate to 10% of India’s population - the question is how many unique investors we have in India. I wish CDSL publishes the unique count of active customers which would be a better matric to follow.

The day 10% of Indians start investing would be the starting point for this countries’ prosperity and CDSL will likely be one of the biggest beneficiaries in that growth journey.

AJ
Disclaimer: Holding CDSL from last many years. Opinions are biased.

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