Buy & Hold vs. Rotating the Profits — What’s the Real Wealth Builder?

Frquent trading and short term investment will definately affect return by

A…Inrease tax payment
B…Reduced invested capital (tax amount is deducted from capital)

I have tried to explain in detail as below.

Effect of taxation on return
(Short term v/s long term investor)


Lets take example
1 cr invested for 10 yrs @18% cagr return

Person A will invest 1 cr for 10 yrs
and will pay 12.5 % longterm capital gain tax at the end of 10 yrs

Person B will gain 18% return every year and he will sell stocks every year and will pay 20% short term capital gain tax.He will reinvest remaining amount (after tax) in new stocks
He will follow this strategy every yr upto 10 yrs

========================
Person A…
-1cr @ 10 yrs@ 18% cagr
-1cr will grow to 5 cr after 10 yrs
-Profit 4 cr
-Tax@ 12.5%@ 50 lkhs tax
-50000000-5000000=4,50,00,000
-So, 1cr into 4.5 cr@ after 10 yrs
-Cagr return after tax@ 16.23%

========================

Person B
Short tem investment @ selling every 1 yr

1cr @18% return@selling every yr@10 yrs

1st yr
1.0 cr+18% retrun=1,18,00000
11800000-10000000=18,00000 profit
1800000×20% tax=3,60,000 tax
11800000-360000=1,14,40,000

-So, at the end of 1st yr, person B asset will grow from 1cr to 1.18 cr
-He will pay 360000 tax
-He will reinvest 1,14,40,000
-This will be repeated till 10 yrs

2nd yr@
11440000+18%=13499200
13499200-11440000=20,59,200
20,59,200×20%=4,11,840
13499200-4,11840=1,30,87,360

3rd yr
13087360+18%=15443084
15443084-13087360=23,55,724
23,55,724×20%=4,71,144
15443084-4,71,144=1,49,71,940

4th yr
14971940+18%=1,76,66,889
1,76,66,889-14971940=26,94,949
26,94,949×20% =5,38,989.84
1,76,66,889-5,38,989.84=17127900

5th yr
17127900+18%=2,02,10,922
2,02,10,922-17127900=30,83,022
30,83,022×20%=6,16,604.4
2,02,10,922-6,16,604.4=1,95,94,317

6th yr
1,95,94,317+18%=2,31,21,294
2,31,21,294-1,95,94,317=35,26,977
35,26,977×20%=7,05,395
2,31,21,294-7,05,395=2,24,15,899

7th yr
2,24,15,899+18%=2,64,50,760
2,64,50,760-2,24,15,899=40,34,861
40,34,861×20%=8,06,972
2,64,50,760-8,06,972=2,56,43,788

8th yr
2,56,43,788+18%=3,02,59,669
3,02,59,669-2,56,43,788=46,15,881
46,15,881×20%=9,23,176
3,02,59,669-9,23,176=2,93,36,493

9th yr
2,93,36,493+18%=3,46,17,061
3,46,17,061-2,93,36,493=52,80,568
52,80,568×20%=10,56,113
3,46,17,061-10,56,113=3,35,60,948

10th yr
3,35,60,948+18%=3,96,01,918
3,96,01,918-3,35,60,948=60,40,970
60,40,970×20%=12,08,194
3,96,01,918-12,08,194=3,83,93,724

After 10 yrs, person B will have 3,83,93724 after paying tax

=========================
After paying taxes

Person A(long term investor)
-1cr will grow to 4.5 cr@ after 10 yrs
-Cagr return after tax@ 16.23%
-50 lkhs tax

Person B(short term investor)
-1 cr into 3.84cr@after 10 yrs
-Cagr return after tax@ 14.40%
-71 lkhs tax

=========================

Here we have seen example for
1cr invested @18% cagr@ 10yrs

Now,lets take other exapples

1…Effect of invested capital
=Now think, initial amount is 10cr ,
instead of 1cr, then

Person A@ 10cr will grow to 45 cr
Person B@ 10cr will grow to 38cr

2…Effect of return
=If cagr return is 20% instead of 18% then it has more profound effect.

3…Effect of duration
=Same way, if someone is investing for 25 yrs with low turnover ratio (but and sell for 10-20 times ) and other person is investing for 25 yrs with high turnover ratio(50-100 times buy n sell), there will be huge impact of taxation on return

=========================

In conclusion,

If we talk about taxation effect on return( keeping everything equal), short term investor will have reduced return as compared to longterm investor.

4 Likes

But with high churning, you can get way more than 18%. It should also be kept in mind.

While generating 18% return over long term, capital will be sitting idle for a considerable amount of time over an year.

But with high churning, compounding is not over an year, but over monthly or weekly or even daily depending on the frequency of trading. But one should be able to identify such opportunities continuously.

For one starting with a small base, one has to keep churning. He or she can’t keep their funds idle.

4 Likes

No single big investor recommand high churning

3 Likes