Britannia (Buy Commodities, Sell Brands)

1.Britannia took price hike
2.palm oil price fell 50% from high in may-June
3. New products introduction
4. Every FMCG company given great result ITC NESTLE HUL

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One thing evident in this mega inflation enviornment is that urban/premium is doing much better than ruralโ€ฆhence urban focussed FMCG faring betterโ€ฆ Britannia seems to have a unique proposition here, their products are urban focussed but even in rural, plain biscuits can prove cost effective snacks/food . Similar thing was observed during lockdown etc. When biscuits everywhere in India seemed to substitute many food articles not readily availableโ€ฆin both urban and ruralโ€ฆ

Disc. Invested since longโ€ฆNot added since long because not sure about corporate governance but business seems solid hence could not exit also. Views maybe biased. I can be wrong in all my assessments and not eligible for any recommendations

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https://twitter.com/blitzkreigm/status/1589184860484427776

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This has been clarified by Management, that they borrowed 1000+ crore for Dairy unit capex, at a rate of 5.6%. And their treasury yields were much higher than this. This was put up in the latest tweet by Mangalam Maloo himself (author of the above original post)

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britannia and varun beverages leads the fmcg pack

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Britannia Q2FY24 Concall Summary

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  • Britannia Industries Ltd reported a 40% decrease in its consolidated net profit for the quarter ended December 31, 2023.
  • The net profit amounted to Rs 556 crore compared to Rs 932 crore in the same period last year.
  • Analystsโ€™ expectations were not met, with a poll of six brokerages predicting a net profit of Rs 566 crore.
  • Sequentially, Britanniaโ€™s profit slipped 5% from Rs 587 crore.
  • Factors contributing to the muted growth include a high base effect, some price cuts, high competition, and low single-digit volume growth.
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Tweet from Analyst Mohalla

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Britannia Industries Limited: Financial Overview for FY 2023-2024

Key Financial Metrics

  • Revenue: The total revenue for FY 2023-24 was โ‚น16,186.08 crores, showing an increase from โ‚น15,618.42 crores in FY 2022-23.
  • Net Profit: The company reported a net profit of โ‚น2,082.05 crores in FY 2023-24, compared to โ‚น2,139.30 crores in the previous year.
  • Earnings Per Share (EPS):
    • Basic: โ‚น22.01 for FY 2023-24 (FY 2022-23: โ‚น23.17).
    • Diluted: โ‚น22.01 for FY 2023-24 (FY 2022-23: โ‚น23.17).

Financial Position

  • Total Assets: The companyโ€™s assets stood at โ‚น8,370.84 crores by the end of March 2024.
  • Equity and Liabilities: Total equity was โ‚น3,527.52 crores and total liabilities were โ‚น4,843.32 crores as of March 2024.

Ratios

  • Debt-Equity Ratio: 0.58 in FY 2023-24, which suggests a healthy balance between debt and equity financing.
  • Net Profit Margin: 13.32% for FY 2023-24, indicating the percentage of revenue that constitutes the net income.

Dividend

  • The Board recommended a final dividend of โ‚น73.50 per equity share for FY 2023-24.

Auditorโ€™s Opinion

  • The financial statements received an unmodified opinion from the auditors, indicating that they present a true and fair view of the companyโ€™s financial condition and operations in accordance with applicable accounting standards.
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Few of my takeaways from Q1 FY25 of Britannia Industries

๐‚๐จ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐“๐ซ๐š๐ฃ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ:

  • Revenue grew 4% year-over-year to INR 4,130 crores, with volume growth of 8%
  • Operating profit increased 10% to INR 680 crores, with margins at 16.5%
  • Rural markets showing signs of recovery, with rural growth outpacing urban
  • Focus on driving topline growth even if it means slightly lower margins in the near-term

๐’๐ญ๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐œ ๐๐ฅ๐ฎ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐ญ:

  • Continuing distribution expansion, especially in rural areas and Hindi belt states
  • Implementing sales transformation project with Bain & Co to improve efficiency
  • Investing in brand building and innovation, launching new products like Pure Magic Stars
  • Scaling up adjacency businesses like dairy, with focus on cheese and beverages
  • Expanding manufacturing footprint with new facilities coming up in UP and Bihar

๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐ƒ๐ฒ๐ง๐š๐ฆ๐ข๐œ๐ฌ:

  • Recovery in rural demand after prolonged slowdown
  • Premiumization continuing across portfolio
  • Focus on innovation and new product launches
  • Expansion into adjacent categories like dairy and snacks

Industry Tailwinds:

  • Improving rural sentiment and consumption
  • Moderation in inflation compared to previous years
  • Growing preference for packaged and branded food products

Industry Headwinds:

  • Inflationary pressure on key commodities like flour, sugar, and cocoa
  • Intense competition, especially from regional players
  • Downtrading in certain markets to cheaper alternatives

๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ/๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ:

  • On slower pace of distribution expansion: Management emphasized weighted distribution growth and focus on extraction from high potential outlets
  • On margin pressure: Company prioritizing topline growth over margin expansion in near-term
  • On dairy business profitability: Gross margins in line with overall business, but depreciation impacting net profitability

Competitive Landscape:

  • Continuing to gain market share, albeit slowly
  • Large gap with market leader (50% share vs Britanniaโ€™s 18%) provides headroom for growth
  • Facing competition from both large national players and regional brands

๐…๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฃ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ:

  • Targeting high single-digit to double-digit volume growth
  • Expect 4-5% inflation in coming months, may take some pricing actions
  • Focus on driving topline growth even at slightly lower margins

๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅ ๐ƒ๐ž๐ฉ๐ฅ๐จ๐ฒ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ:

  • Investing in manufacturing capacity expansion
  • Continued investment in brand building and innovation
  • Scaling up adjacency businesses like dairy

Opportunities & Risks:

Opportunities:

  • Rural recovery and distribution expansion
  • Growth in adjacency businesses like dairy and snacks
  • Premiumization across portfolio

Risks:

  • Commodity price inflation
  • Intensifying competition
  • Potential economic slowdown impacting discretionary spending

๐‚๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ž๐ซ ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฌ๐ž:

  • Rural demand showing signs of improvement
  • Some downtrading observed in certain markets

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