Bluejet healthcare - Boutique CDMO

Hi @lohiyaakshay08

I am a conservative value investor and due ro this i missed all rally in defence, Railways as valuations were not justified when i noticed and still not justified.

Force motors was my long term bet entered around 1200, i sold at 17000 before results as both P/E and P/S matix were stating euphoria, today it crossed 20K​:joy::joy:. This is problem for a value investor.

Investing in growth stocks is based on future growth and growth stocks are known stocks hence human intervention is high and movement will be zigzag.

Value stocks are also growth stocks but hated by market, participation is low hence safety of margin is high and once things turnaround large alpha can be created. Risk here is your capital can sit idle for longer term and you will blame yourself for being idiotic. Probability of losing money is low if things not turnaround and probability of making big is very high if things turnaround. You can allocate a large capital in these scenarios.

Just an explanation, both investors makes money, just individual style of investing.

This message is not related to current board discussion hence would’nt write more.

30 Likes

Thanks @lohiyaakshay08 for this clear explanation. Based on some further searching on the internet, it appears that absorption costing is mandatory for financial reporting under Ind (AS), which means all companies would be following the same method. One should not think that Blue Jet is following a practice different than others. So the market’s reaction is still very surprising!

Perhaps, it is just that the stock was too hyped up and needed an excuse to correct. And this was it.

(Disc.: No interest in the stock. For academic discussion only)

26 Likes

wrote about bluejet healthcare in detail -
BlueJet healthcare.pdf (783.9 KB)

do share your feedback or any errors i might have made.

post 1Q i think there is lot of skepticism regarding the margins of the company however reading management’s past commentary i don’t see any red flag regarding margins as such, if we look 4Q FY25 and 1Q FY26 clubbed , margins remains 53%, similar situation happened in 4Q FY24 when management attributed the fall to goods in transit and inventory release & margins reverted back next quarter.
from 4Q FY24 -

Company’s growth in last few years in CMI side has been muted. Reading the commentary of contrast media players growth might be coming back . GE healthcare ( company’s largest customer in CMI ) expects growth in iodinated contrast media segment to double in decade. management also confirmed the demand scenario in 1Q FY26-

For Bempedoic acid oksuka recently finished https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/circj/89/8/89_CJ-25-0089/_article Phase 3 trials


Bempedoic acid (180 mg/day) reduced LDL-C by -25.25% compared to -3.46% with placebo after 12 weeks. Launch in japan is expected to be in 4Q.

bempedoic acid is getting traction as 1L for non statin patients and triple combo can be a major boost if it materializes. however there are some promising developments in oral PCSK9 inhibitors which might affect the Rx growth but It seems 2-3 years down the line and also the costs associated with PCSK9 are much higher than bempedoic acid.

Disclaimer - Long in a basket of CDMOs which includes BlueJet; i might be wrong in my judgment , do you own due diligence .

31 Likes

excellent paper indeed ! You have done a comprehensive analysis and the paper gives a thorough overview of bluejet as of today.

You can consider covering a few additional relevant perspectives

(a) a bit of colour on the supply chain dynamics on BA intermediate, esp Fareva and Neuland angles

(b) even in contrast media there is potential competition coming up with Zydus and Supriya ?

(c) Shareholding composition - high levels of promoter stake (approx 86%), recent investments by FII’s etc.

These are just some suggestions to further develop an excellent paper.

5 Likes

Board has approved acquisition of 102 acres of land. Phase 1 of Investment is expected around 1000cr and will become operational from FY29.

With this, it now looks likely that company will use equity fund raise to bring the promoter stake to 75% level & not do secondary sale; sentimentally +ve for the stock

13 Likes

Blue Jet Healthcare -

Q1 FY 26 results and concall highlights -

Revenues - 353 vs 161 cr, up 119 pc ( revenues in Q4 FY 25 were @ 340 cr ). Revenues in Q4 FY 25 were @ 340 cr
Gross margins @ 48 vs 54 pc ( gross margins in Q4 FY 25 were @ 55 pc )
EBITDA - 121 vs 45 cr, up 173 pc ( margins @ 34 vs 27 pc ). EBITDA in Q4 FY 25 was @ 140 cr with 41 pc margins
PAT - 91 vs 38 cr, up 141 pc ( PAT margins @ 25.7 vs 23.2 pc ). PAT in Q4 FY 25 was @ 110 cr

Segmental Breakup of Q1 sales -

Contrast media intermediates - 97 vs 64 cr
High intensity sweeteners - 35 vs 35 cr
Pharma intermediates and APIs - 212 vs 60 cr
Others ( spent oils & industrial solvents ) - 10 vs 2 cr

Segmental revenue CAGR over last 4 yrs -

Contrast media intermediates - 3.4 pc
High intensity sweeteners - 7.8 pc
Pharma intermediates and APIs - 82 pc

Overall company level revenue CAGR for last 4 yrs @ 26 pc

Cash on books @ 248 cr

Company’s total reactor capacity @ 1178 KL ( across its 3 facilities ) with a portfolio of 51 commercialised products - 19 contrast media products, 4 high intensity sweeteners and 28 Pharma grade products

BlueJet supplies contrast media intermediates to 3 of the world’s largest contrast media players. The relationship of company with its clients is very sticky as the supplies require strict control over impurities and specific product profiles. Company now aims to forward integrate into more advanced contrast media intermediates in order to realise better sales and profitability by moving up the value

Seeing good traction in new contrast media intermediates - company hopes that H2 should be much better than H1 for their contrast media business

Company’s high intensity sweeteners plant in US FDA compliant. Company offers sweeteners to aprox 300 customers globally. Target industries include - Oral care products, table top sweeteners, soft drinks, confectionary products, Pharma products, food supplements, animal feed

Company makes Pharma intermediates and API in 3 key therapies - Cardiovascular, CNS, Oncology. Company’s clients include 40 multinationals across India, EU, North America and Asia

Company is currently supplying advanced intermediates for 4 APIs that are currently under patent. One is an Onco API, another one is a CNS API and 02 are Cardiovascular APIs

Seeing good traction in new contrast media intermediates - company hopes that H2 should be much better than H1 for their contrast media business

The Cardiovascular intermediate that the company supplies for the on patent molecule is seeing strong demand as the end molecule is growing rapidly in Developed markets

Company’s new plant in Mahad ( expected to go commercial in H2 ) - focussing on Contrast media intermediates and KSMs shall position them very strongly in this space

Seeing increased enquiries in their CDMO business. Given the interest that they are seeing in this segment, they are advancing with a plan to build a multipurpose plant at Mahad and a state-of-the-art R&D center at Hyderabad. The GMP compliant plant shall have a 30 reactor capacity and will be a versatile plant with capability to supply from a few kilos to multi-tons to their CDMO clients in any geography. This plant should go live in H2 FY 27 and should entail a capex of aprox 300 cr ( this capex includes aprox 100 cr already spent towards the contrast media plant as mentioned above ). Company is also building a state of the art R&D plant at Hyderabad focussing on newer chemistry platforms like peptides, intermediates for GLP-1s, biocatalaysis

Company is tracking about 20 new opportunities with high client interest and visibility. About 30% of these, which is approximately six, are in late phase III or commercial phase

Additionally, company aims to add another 1000 KL reactor capacity in next 2-3 yrs in order to emerge as a globally competitive CDMO. Company intends to acquire a land parcel for the same and build 4 manufacturing blocks on the same - 2 for CM products, 01 for HI sweeteners and 01 as a multi purpose block ( mainly catering to Pharma intermediates )

In Q4 LY, there was an inventory buildup of aprox 75 cr which got liquidated in Q1. This inventory build up led to better cost absorption in Q4 and hence there is a QoQ GM drop that’s visible in company’s results

New CM intermediates - based on Iodine and Gadolinium are expected to go commercial in Q2 - should support the contrast media vertical in Q2

Company believes, they should be able to sustain > 50 pc GM wef Q2 ( closer to 52-53 pc )

Company has a good estimate of the expected demand coming their way and that’s why they are going in for the aggressive capex as mentioned above ( conjecture : they seem to be anticipating very strong demand in contrast media segment in addition to Pharma intermediates )

Company aspires to clock 500 cr kind of sales in CM division in FY 26. This should be their new base for this division from where they intend to keep growing

In a recent media interview, CEO guided for a 15-20 kind of growth for FY 26 ( although they refused to give guidance on the concall )

Disc: initiated an investment position, not SEBI registered, not a buy/sell recommendation, posted only for informational purposes

21 Likes

:pushpin: Esperion Therapeutics Inc. (ESPR) share price climbs more than 100% in 80 days.

Q2 2025 Earnings beat forecasts. Bempedoic Acid-based NEXLETOL & NEXLIZET drive revenues up.

More bempedoic-based products in the pipeline.

BlueJet Healthcare ( BLUEJET ), the supplier of Bempedoic Acid.

New markets, such as Japan & Canada, are set to open soon in H2 2025.

31 Likes

Daiichi- Sankyo has reported 21 % growth in sequential quarter on quarter sales in Nilemdo/ Nustendi. YoY growth is 61 %
FY2025Q1_Financial_Results_Presentation_E_V2.pdf (3.6 MB)
.

18 Likes

Disclaimer - I am not adding any value to this thread. But I have a personal observation with technical strength of a stock. When a stock touches 200 SMA, it is generally a very decisive moment for that scrip. Today Blue Jet touched 200 SMA(daily) with 5% price correction. I did not find any news on the public domain which warrants this sudden fall. In my experience, price often knows things which is not visible in public domain. I am keeping this in close vigilance.

Disclaimer - Invested but small position of the portfolio.

13 Likes

Promotor bought property worth 200 cr recently, any link with this fall?

It sounds that the purchase is an old news (bought in May and July 2025). Interestingly, at around the same time (late July 2025), the Board of Blue Jet Healthcare approved the acquisition of about 102.48 acres of industrial land in Andhra Pradesh, aimed at building a new manufacturing facility, with Phase I investment expected to be around ₹1000 crore, buildable by FY 2028–29.

3 Likes

Today’s fall is mainly due one Investment adviser initiated a Sell call on Bluejet

7 Likes

Was there any reason behind why they are bearish on the stock, I am not able to find any article on the reason behind Lower circuit. Disclaimer: Invested and accumulating

2 Likes

Some news suggests a decline in Bempedoic exports on a monthly sales basis.

This is unverified. Request people who follow export trends to verify.
@Bazungu @selmar25 @r8b8

7 Likes

Is this fall is connected to US tariff on Indian Pharma ?

2 Likes

There export to us is around 6-7% and even after the tariffs US will not able to make factories overnight.
This trump will take u- turn soon

2 Likes

More than 70% of their export is in Europe, it’s not being impacted because of US tariffs. May be this quarter export data is showing some decline in numbers.

5 Likes

I have gone through a quick check on this company and surprise to see the quality of Cash flow from Operation compare to Operating profit (Conversion of Operation profit/EBITDA to CFO in FY25 is very ordinary). Ideally CFO/EBITDA should be measured in block of 3 to 5 years (even with limited information available in screener) which is less than 60% (cumulatively since 2020 to 2025). This along with low float (new listed IPO should be immediately comply with 75% shareholding norm of SEBI) and to an extent case of peak earning at peak valuation in this case.
Low salary to the revenue as earlier highlighted in case of being GMP compliant is also a risk worth considering.

3 Likes

How do you rate among these three BlueJet vs Aarti Pharmalab vs Neuland.

1 Like

Bluejet 3 years CFO / EBITDA = 51.81%
Sector’s Median 3 years CFO / EBITDA = 69.74%

If we go back 1 year in time, and compute the same data for last 3 years (2022 - 2024) and 5 years (2020-2024) then:

Bluejet’s 3 years CFO / EBITDA = 75.68%
Sector’s Median 3 years CFO / EBITDA = 67.14%

Bluejet’s 5 years CFO / EBITDA = 70.36%
Sector’s Median 5 years CFO / EBITDA = 64.85%

Disclaimer: Invested

16 Likes