Mahanagar Gas Ltd - a natural monopoly

Q4FY23 Q4FY22 Q3FY23 YOY QOQ
OP REVENUE 1610 1086 1671 48 -4
EBITDA from op 389 215 256 81 52
% 24 20 15 22 58
NET profit 268 131 172 105 56
EPS 27 13 17 105 56
SALES VOLUME(SCM MILLION) Q4FY23 Q4FY22 Q3FY23 YOY QOQ
CNG 217 204 228 6 -5
PNG DOMESTIC 45 42 45 7 0
PNG INDUSTRY+COMMERCIAL 40 37 40 8 0

Good set of results by MGL.
Operating margins which were below 20% during last few quarters due to high NG cost is improving (24% in Q4).
Margins should trend higher in next few quarters as NG cost is down substantially and gas sourced by APM route ( which forms more than 80% for MGL) has come under price regulation as per KP committee adopted by Govt. Even though CGD companies have passed on majority gas sourcing cost reduction to consumers , it will help in increasing the volumes sold and margins.

QOQ reduction in sales volume in CNG to some extent must be due to BEST taking off 400 CNG buses due to fire accident during Feb/March which seems to have restated again.
Mumbai: Most BEST buses withdrawn after fire are back on road.

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