Adani Ports - Leader in ports

I am sharing some basic data of Adani Port to understand,

FY’23: Revenue Rs 22405.39 Cr, EBIDTA 12500.63 (55.79%) and EPS 24.58
Cargo Handing: 339 MMT
H1FY24: Revenue Rs 13583.1 Cr, EBITDA 7428.6 (54.69%) and EPS 17.90
Cargo Handling 9 Months: 311 MMT
Expected Cargo Handling by the Company ~ 415 MMT (minimum), generally Q4 is better than Q2 and Q3. I am not factoring other acquisition, DFC and future transshipment port etc.

FY24: Estimated EPS ~ Rs 35 (re calculate after 9months result)
FY25: Projected EPS ~ Rs 44-45

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9 Months update:
Total Income: Rs 21010.04 Cr
EBITDA: 12917.75
PAT: Rs 5887.11
EPS: 28.10
Estimated EPS, based on Q4 as compared to good quarter : Rs 11.5/- per shares
Estimated EPS (E) : Rs 39.60/-

1b796c75-2024-42c1-89ea-012d8318fcbf.pdf (2.3 MB)

Guidance for FY25 vs Audited FY24

Cargo : 500 MMT vs 420 MMT

Revenue : Rs 30000 Cr vs 28210 Cr

EBITDA : 18700 Cr vs 17363 Cr

ROCE : 20% vs 18%

Net debt to EBITDA : 3.0-3.5X vs 2.3X

Key Highlights from Concall:

Targeting 1,000 MMT cargo volumes in 2030

Current domestic port capacity at ~627 MMT, capacity expansion at existing ports being guided by cargo demand

Domestic port volume growth >2x the country’s cargo growth rate.

Acceleration in growth driven by newly introduced trucking segment, supported currently through asset light model approach

Trucking and container rake segments combined to contribute over 2/3 rd of the revenue of the entire logistics segment

EBITDA margin supported by growth of agri logistics, bulk trains and warehousing

Ramp up at all ports and particularly the ones acquired in the last few years; commissioning of Vizhinjam Port, India and WCT, Sri Lanka

Asset additions continues across various sub-segments of logistics business; new trucking segment launched, likely to be the largest revenue contributor for logistics in two years

Healthy transformation of EBITDA to operating cashflows averaging over 90%

Average turnaround time (TAT) for ships at ~0.7 days vs other ports in the India minimum 2 days

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