KIE analysis sounds fair.
In times like these, Its good to be defensive and be extremely picky about the small cap stocks you keep in your portfolio. Regardless of the quality of the stock, its valuation (low/high PE), there will be draw downs, but as long as there’s conviction in business model, one can use it as an opportunity and keep adding. There’s a time to take risks and a time to be defensive, one can’t always allocate 75% PF to small caps, its okay to rebalance.
P/E ratios are not particularly useful for cyclical companies, look at the business momentum and try to think 2-3 quarters ahead. During a crash, markets won’t spare low P/E companies either.
Out of curiosity I compared few small cap funds against their index. Rolling returns over 7 years - https://bit.ly/3ScWHr4
Here I have compared few flexi cap funds. Excluded Axis and ICICI since they are only few years old. And included PPFAS Flexi cap fund. - https://bit.ly/3Spq8GB
From historic data, small caps are doing much better than the flexi cap funds.
Since small cap funds tend to go down during a market crash as compared to Mid and Large caps, wondering if it would be a good idea to get into some of these funds during the next major crash.
I have seen most of new investors are blindly investing in small caps without proper diversification. For these investors when tide turns they might lose money seriously as they might not have patience to remain invested during the serious correction cycle. I think this is the message are being given by all reputed fund houses/fund managers focusing on new /non-experienced investors.
Disc - I have investment in PPFAS Flexicap, Axis Small Cap and SBI Small Cap MF
I think, Thakkar has addressed this concern by saying that, many fund houses have different funds but they have same research team which buys different stocks to be included in different scheme. So if they break it up their scheme into 10 different funds like midcap , smallcap or value or any theme then per scheme aum will be just 4000 cr and then you might feel comfortable with that scheme. But nothing has changed really .just the packaging.